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10 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah a weak El Nino would give us a decent chance, but unfortunately the signs point to this one being strong. I'd much rather have a La Nina like the last couple winters than a strong El Nino. 

A west based mod niño would be good as well 

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2 hours ago, dmillz25 said:

A west based mod niño would be good as well 

It would be great if we can finally get some help from the PDO and get the warm bath water out of the western Pacific. That should tamp down the ridiculous Pacific jet but a super Nino will just flood the continent with mild air and overwhelm any other positive trend. We’d have to hope for one huge STJ driven event like Jan 2016 or Feb 1983. 

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4 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah a weak El Nino would give us a decent chance, but unfortunately the signs point to this one being strong. I'd much rather have a La Nina like the last couple winters than a strong El Nino. 

A strong nino is likely a 3 week winter like 15-16-hopefully with a big blizzard in there

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