March Madness

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

80s are not common before 3/11 there…nevermind mid 80s. But yeah it usually ramps up mid month.

We were on school trip in mid March in the early 1970s with t-shirt weather. Think it was near 80 felt like 100 to us after being in snow and cold. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Back to weather... started a thread for Tuesday/Wednesday

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Uh oh....

P Sunny

6.6

[Lava Rock]

Pretty disappointing to see winter end this week if that is the case. I'm sure we'll see some more chances after Weds along with a bit of cold, but once the pack is decimated I'm read to move on. I thought we'd be safe at least till 2nd or 3rd week of the month, but such is life. 

[SouthCoastMA]

Went from 3.39 to 4.49 a/gal over the weekend, and I'm due for a fill up on 3/11. Fun times

Lets get this warmth in here. 

[Typhoon Tip]

23 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Pretty disappointing to see winter end this week if that is the case. I'm sure we'll see some more chances after Weds along with a bit of cold, but once the pack is decimated I'm read to move on. I thought we'd be safe at least till 2nd or 3rd week of the month, but such is life. 

It's poor timing on the season, really

This hemispheric super synoptic layout/behavior could have very well set up in Dec or Jan or early in Feb, but instead by happenstance does so in March, when the climate clock and solar recovery are not only ticking... but, time seems like it is speeding up to Old Man Winter.   Just sayn'

This pattern doesn't scream "end" to me though - all three major ens systems hitting this hard.  Overnight EPS for 300 hours

 

PV on our side of the hemisphere with -2 SD anomalies anchoring over the Canadian archipelago means that cold is aplenty. Whether it delivers in the right times and spaces to be involved in events at our latitude?  It won't be because winter has intrinsically ended, it means being bent over and sore butted by chance ... those are different predicaments to suffer.  LOL.    Either can certainly happen in March.   My suggestion is just to keep your "expectations" sufficiently lubed at all times such that when chance invades your dignity it won't be as painful.  

I will say though .. part of keeping expectations in check, notice that this PV is underpinned by modest +anomalies?  Those anomalies are actually "potentially" much higher, but the PV being of greater magnitude is compressing the heights to the point where it masks that potential.  But that potential is going somewhere and it is converted into velocity (U component) of the westerlies... consequentially being higher than normal.   Speed isn't an auto 86er on chances... but it does cause needle threading this, as well as sheer reductions in amplitude that. 

 

[Typhoon Tip]

Fast moving TX Panhandle to Detroit cutters seem like an option in that baseline pattern, too.  

 

[codfishsnowman]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Man 2012 is close to knocking on our door. Too bad. 

Good God I hope not

[The 4 Seasons]

36 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Uh oh....

P Sunny

6.6

you have a season to date total 65.25 on the sig is right?

@Damage In Tolland as well

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

you have a season to date total 65.25 on the sig is right?

@Damage In Tolland as well

69”

[Typhoon Tip]

oh yeah ... clocks go ahead an hour this Sunday.   Finally getting models in the middle of the night - thank god

[The 4 Seasons]

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

oh yeah ... clocks go ahead an hour this Sunday.   Finally getting models in the middle of the night - thank god

and why is getting model data later a good thing?

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

and why is getting model data later a good thing?

vroom  sarcasm.

It's alright.  there's no vocal inflection in here

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

vroom  sarcasm.

It's alright.  there's no vocal inflection in here

got it, i thought about that for a sec but nothing indicated sarcasm, over txt it can be hard to tell sometimes. 

[WinterWolf]

14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

got it, i thought about that for a sec but nothing indicated sarcasm, over txt it can be hard to tell sometimes. 

57.5” on the season to date bud. I private messaged you last week with that number …but maybe it didn’t go through?  

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

57.5” on the season to date bud. I private messaged you last week with that number …but maybe it didn’t go through?  

so you didnt get anything yesterday?? 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

so you didnt get anything yesterday?? 

A dusting…not enough to move the needle. 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

so you didnt get anything yesterday?? 

Hoping we can pull something mid month…to at least get to 60”….that’s a nice round number. 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Man 2012 is close to knocking on our door. Too bad. 

I'm thinking more like 2010. 2012 came off a wall-to-wall warm and snowless winter. 2010 came off a more cold and snowy winter, but flipped warm once the calendar flipped to March, and never really looked back.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

I'm thinking more like 2010. 2012 came off a wall-to-wall warm and snowless winter. 2010 came off a more cold and snowy winter, but flipped warm once the calendar flipped to March, and never really looked back.

Snowy for you guys in the mid Atlantic for sure…we got shut out up here that year. But ya…I agree otherwise. 

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, Lava Rock said:

Pretty disappointing to see winter end this week if that is the case. I'm sure we'll see some more chances after Weds along with a bit of cold, but once the pack is decimated I'm read to move on. I thought we'd be safe at least till 2nd or 3rd week of the month, but such is life. 

I think this may be the last chance to ride this week, Next week will start the pack decimation process.

[dryslot]

34 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

and why is getting model data later a good thing?

Less people staying up for it.................

[Lava Rock]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I think this may be the last chance to ride this week, Next week will start the pack decimation process.

Heading to Portage Thurs. Ride Fri/Sat. Friends are staying till the 12th. I told them to bring their shorts. 

[Kitz Craver]

Beginning my slow walk to checking out. These next couple weeks of melt are gonna be nudging me in that direction as well. Pack will be wiped clean by the end of this warmup and at this point I don’t care too much about stat padding. If we get something legit mid month and by that I mean over 12” that’d be cool, Otherwise I’m selling. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

Beginning my slow walk to checking out. These next couple weeks of melt are gonna be nudging me in that direction as well. Pack will be wiped clean by the end of this warmup and at this point I don’t care too much about stat padding. If we get something legit mid month and by that I mean over 12” that’d be cool, Otherwise I’m selling. 

This, Once we hit March, Days are numbered on the snow pack now, So ready to move on, Sure we can still get snow, But it will have little use.

[mreaves]

17 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I think this may be the last chance to ride this week, Next week will start the pack decimation process.

I have tomorrow off and will be riding.  Not my sled but am lucky to be able to access one.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

you have a season to date total 65.25 on the sig is right?

@Damage In Tolland as well

Yes.

[Hoth]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

oh yeah ... clocks go ahead an hour this Sunday.   Finally getting models in the middle of the night - thank god

I’m just stoked I won’t have to run in the dark after work. 

[FXWX]

Has a Season to Date snow totals map been posted yet?  Looking for a total for anyone in the Bristol, CT area?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

24 minutes ago, FXWX said:

Has a Season to Date snow totals map been posted yet?  Looking for a total for anyone in the Bristol, CT area?

@The 4 Seasons