Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

Snowing nice here right now under lighter returns, I get it haha. @Bubbler86 wonder whats been going on up in BLS/Pen Mar? They've been under a band for hours. 

I will not get up there this Am but not snowing 1/2 down from Pen Mar despite the radar. 

[hstorm]

Measured 3.5” OTG this morning in Great Falls. Didn’t measure during the storm, but fair to say 4.5”-5” before compaction. Gorgeous with mood flakes falling right now. 
 

30 degrees.

[300 square feet]

Light snow again in Reston with the wraparound band. Looks like 2.5-3” on the ground. 

[JakkelWx]

13.5" with drifts over 2 feet. was probably 14" really with all that drifting make it difficult to measure

[snowfan]

My folks in southern York county just sent a deck Pic

 

[Weather Will]

2-3 inches and waking up to light snow.  Solid winter advisory event for sw Frederick county.

[EstorilM]

Got an inch south of Leesburg - marginal temps in a storm like this will always disappoint. I'm kinda impressed LWX bit onto the models too and had like 5-8 here lol. 

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, EstorilM said:

Got an inch south of Leesburg - marginal temps in a storm like this will always disappoint. I'm kinda impressed LWX bit onto the models too and had like 5-8 here lol. 

They and the NWS kinda whiffed on this one. Never should wave been a warning in the first place, imo. Never believed 5-10!

[WxUSAF]

DC and Baltimore in every Nina beach blizzard 

[Nomz]

Somehow still snowing in Georgetown. Area of weak radar returns to our west, and winds are blowing out of the west, so I guess it makes some sense? Literally zero accumulation from the whole event in the square I see out my window. 

[snowfan]

The localized nature of the enhanced banding was evident on the drive to work. An inch + more in suitland than at my place, which is very unusual. 

[heavy_wx]

Measured just over 2" of snow depth on my car in North Bethesda. There's still some light snow coming down but I don't expect any more measurable accumulation.

[Nomz]

DC snow hole absolutely out for blood this time my god.

[Bubbler86]

16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Not snowing here either.  About 5" as well.   Only about 1-1.5 on the road. 

Moderate snow now.  Covering the driveway again. 

[Terpeast]

Flurries, maybe get a dusting out of this little random band?

[Nomz]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Right, lol And people told me and others to stop talking about Nina stuff when it literally drove the boat. Miller B too late. There's no more "lower shore sadness". 3 blizzards in 10 years while we get scraps ain't struggling. I made this thread saying "There's no way..." and sure enough it happened....smh But we should never believe a setup like this will ever do anymore than it did today--no matter what the models say. Terrible.

Do you think storms magically move east because "its a nina" 

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, Nomz said:

Do you think storms magically move east because "its a nina" 

No it's because coastals in Ninas simply develop too late because they're NS driven. Nina=dominant NS. That's why 1996 was once in a generation because the anomalous blocking pushed it so far south that it bombed out in time.

[jwLwx]

1 hour ago, T. August said:

Actually picked up an additional .8” over the past 3 hours… total at 3.0” in Havre de Grace.

Bit more up on the hill, as usual. Couldn't measure before heading out for work, but more than 3" up this way.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

It’s actually really nice outside, surprising,

maybe like 3 inches?

[hstorm]

Band has turned into a pretty steady light snow. 
 

[ge0]

it's pretty but a huge disappointment overall. definitely not wsw

[WxUSAF]

Final reports TBD, but broadly across the metro corridor and central MD, looks more like a "slight" bust than a major one.  Most of the original WSW areas did barely verify.  Eastern HoCo and BWI area (i.e., me) clearly got stuck betwixt and between, which I was sorta worried about.  DCA stunk because DCA had like a high of 54 yesterday or something probably.  

[NorthArlington101]

4.5” with some some flurries

Dayum. Probably gonna go with 4” for my corner of Arlington since I think you got a better hit from
the overnight stuff.

[Nomz]

Do yourself a favor and whatever you do, do not look at the BOX radar

[poolz1]

29/27.  5" otg with some light snow falling.  

[mattie g]

We were supposed to take off from DCA 45 minutes ago, but we’ve had to wait to be de-iced due to the less than an inch they got here. Meanwhile, my family is spamming me with reports and videos about the storm in South Jersey.

Yay!

[EstorilM]

24 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

They and the NWS kinda whiffed on this one. Never should wave been a warning in the first place, imo. Never believed 5-10!

Yup, I definitely said "no way" on what, Friday? Not a chance it meets criteria - advisory seemed appropriate factoring in temps.   I mean the MODELS showed 5-8" of snow possibly falling out of the sky, but we've been through this a million times. The only element of this storm that surprised me (for my area) was just how many of the mets seemed to buy into the model hype without taking a step back for a moment. 

Then again, you get into even a 2 degree difference and I guess it's a slightly different story, but ground temps were warm too - AND that band never really set up through northern-western Loudoun regardless, so I don't think we even had the QPF there after the 3-4pm (brief) thump; that was the end of the real event for me (which was not how it was supposed to play out, nor what the WSW had either.) 

[SnowtoRain]

The Eastern shore had a steep gradient. My forecast was 10 to 15" ended up with 5.5". Just to my east CAPE land down to Denton had 8 to 10" then most of Delaware to the beaches had 12 to 20". A lot of trees down in DE and Lowe shore of MD.

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, SnowtoRain said:

The Eastern shore had a steep gradient. My forecast was 10 to 15" ended up with 5.5". Just to my east CAPE land down to Denton had 8 to 10" then most of Delaware to the beaches had 12 to 20". A lot of trees down in DE and Lowe shore of MD.

Looks like the models were too far west with the qpf, meaning the SLP capture took a bit longer than originally thought. Those kinds of details are tough to nail down, as are meso banding structures.

[Nomz]

MD Mesonet snow depths. Literally every mile mattered. Some spots out east you probably picked up an inch a mile