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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread


Maestrobjwa
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5 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Unfortunately I think there's going to be alot of disappointment in the area between the actually coastal and where the IVT sets up.

With these marginal temps its going to be hard to accumulate without rates.

I told my wife this morning don't be surprised to wake up to bare grass tomorrow morning lol.

Here's to hoping we all get slammed

 

Yep...smh I reeeeallly need next year's Nino to deliver, lol

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7 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Unfortunately I think there's going to be alot of disappointment in the area between the actually coastal and where the IVT sets up.

With these marginal temps its going to be hard to accumulate without rates.

I told my wife this morning don't be surprised to wake up to bare grass tomorrow morning lol.

Here's to hoping we all get slammed

 

Yep...smh I reeeeallly need next year's Nino to deliver, lol

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6 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Unfortunately I think there's going to be alot of disappointment in the area between the actually coastal and where the IVT sets up.

With these marginal temps its going to be hard to accumulate without rates.

I told my wife this morning don't be surprised to wake up to bare grass tomorrow morning lol.

Here's to hoping we all get slammed

 

Agreed. I'm preparing the boys that there's a good chance they have school tomorrow.

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25 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

There’s a “ridge” a mile to the west of me peaking at 475-500 ft, and I haven’t noticed any difference. But if talking about going up past the bigger hill on rt 7 west of leesburg, then yeah they’ve done better. 

Earlier that hill had rain/snow mixed. I am about to head home back in Purcellville but it looks like it is all rain out there now. Looking at security cameras 

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2 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

Earlier that hill had rain/snow mixed. I am about to head home back in Purcellville but it looks like it is all rain out there now. Looking at security cameras 

It's all nothing out here, actually. No precip.

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I think the IVT is forming out of a secondary arctic front which will get squeezed into the circulation around the bombing coastal low. It won't be able to advance much further east than north-south through DC. 

The 500 mb low is currently located near central Ohio and will not phase with the coastal low until almost 00z, so there are many hours of gradual development leading to the rapid intensification phase. Milder air is being slowly transformed to a sub-freezing or near-freezing saturated air mass as heights fall over the entire region in advance of the 500 mb low reaching Chesapeake Bay around 21z. I think it will be snowing hard in many parts of this region by then. Rain will be suppressed to a line from RIC to Ocean City MD southeast. 

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1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

Literally every meteorologist who posts on here said today was an all day snoozer until after 5pm. Why are all you easties jumping ship? Boo hoo you're not getting 10"...or are you?

Personally? I’ve been down this road too many times. Warm temps hold on a smidge longer and rates don’t make up for it. We flip to white rain and end up with an inch of slush on the grass after the sun goes down.

I guess the fact that I have to travel at the ass crack tomorrow morning doesn’t help. :lol:

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3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:


With love, who cares? Storm not starting to accumulate til 5pm for anyone in the suburbs

That's true. Probably just my impatient teenage self. Soon enough you and I will get 2" per hour in that norlun trough band! :snowing:

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