nw baltimore wx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, nw baltimore wx said: It actually got better! Enjoy your whiskey! Cool. Cheers! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I think there’s a limit to how far east it’ll go as the sfc low track is pretty much locked in +/- 30 miles, and most models have had the norlun from HGR - W loudoun - Fauquier though it shifted east by maybe 10-20 miles on 00z. I don’t think it’ll shift further east by more than 10-20 miles, and certainly not to bmore unless the storm actually changes track Ahh I see. Welp, guess I'll have to accept my fate of being in the middle--but 6-8" still isn't bad. I'm guessing the NAM solution wasn't realistic? (Was that really a triple phase?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I think there’s a limit to how far east it’ll go as the sfc low track is pretty much locked in +/- 30 miles, and most models have had the norlun from HGR - W loudoun - Fauquier though it shifted east by maybe 10-20 miles on 00z. I don’t think it’ll shift further east by more than 10-20 miles, and certainly not to bmore unless the storm actually changes track are you saying we're in a good spot for the norlun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3z HRRR much colder than 0z HRRR, probably just reverting back to the real solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, bncho said: 3z HRRR much colder than 0z HRRR, probably just reverting back to the real solution I dont know. Surface low is pretty east from it's last run. But that model is a clownshow anyways 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaleCityDave Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago My only question now is what time should I start my jebwalk tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, bncho said: are you saying we're in a good spot for the norlun? Your guess is as good as mine. It’ll be a narrow band only 10-20 miles wide. Either we’re in a good spot for it or not. We’ll probably know the answer to this early tomorrow evening when it begins to form. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago All that shit gonna be melted when i get home at 10pm Monday. Save some for me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Anyone who says with any surety they know where the Norlun is gonna set up is lying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: My temp in Reisterstown is falling nicely. Down to 34 degrees. Yes 37 here and dew barely rising with temp drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Over/under on what time the first pressure change map depicting the storm “forming further S than expected” gets posted tomorrow….Any takers? #tuckbabytuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Anyone who says with any surety they know where the Norlun is gonna set up is lying.Good thing no one’s saying that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago we're fewer than 24 hours out and sweating the GFS? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I'm riding the NAM at this point. Model is good at this range. 33.6/29.2 I don't know what to say other than I've felt this storm for over a week now and everything that's happened this week has led me to believe this is going to be a big thing. Rest up because tomorrow we celebrate. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, jayyy said: Over/under on what time the first sea pressure change map depicting the storm “forming further S than expected” gets posted tomorrow…. Any takers? #tuckbabytuck Hallucinating on pressure change maps is peak PHL-BOS HECS behavior on this board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MLynnWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 36/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Hallucinating on pressure change maps is peak PHL-BOS HECS behavior on this boardCorrect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 26 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Temp down near freezing. Can’t hurt. I feel weirdly zen about this storm, maybe I’m channeling @Bob Chillin my middle age. Let’s see what happens! I hope the old school MoCo/HoCo band sets up and dumps white asteroids for hours hahaha. Unfortunately I've had to root against this one down here and was never in the game anyway so it was easy. The 3 week glacier really set me back with property development work and I'm behind schedule. Picked up 2 nice excavator jobs for the second half of March so I'm seven days a week on our land until then. Had a real good winter down here this year. I gotta root for warm and dry from here on out so I'll only jump back into wx disco if I'm in legit crosshairs for a late season event. Always pulling for my northern friends. Enjoy the storm! 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, jayyy said: Over/under on what time the first pressure change map depicting the storm “forming further S than expected” gets posted tomorrow…. Any takers? #tuckbabytuck Gonna be about 6am Eastern Standard Time. It's gonna form more souther! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18 minutes ago, DaleCityDave said: My only question now is what time should I start my jebwalk tomorrow? When the rain is changing to snow. Get headphones and blast every track that reminds you of past snowstorms. Watch the dendrites blow right past the streetlights! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 50 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Lol, now DC gets more than Baltimore. @Maestrobjwais going to jump. On TT it's showing 4" for DC and Baltimore. QPF pushes 1"+ so that makes no sense. What gives? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: On TT it's showing 4" for DC and Baltimore. QPF pushes 1"+ so that makes no sense. What gives? It has to be something with their temperature algorithm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Jebman said: When the rain is changing to snow. Get headphones and blast every track that reminds you of past snowstorms. Watch the dendrites blow right past the streetlights! Trammel Starks Pier 32 is mandatory for sn++ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, LordBaltimore said: Trammel Starks Pier 32 is mandatory for sn++ I don't know that one...."fair weather" and "good ole days" are my go-tos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago If I were there right now I'd be makin a road trip to DE or New Jersey. Man that place is gonna get demolished! Those high winds blasting snow is gonna make that place look like it is getting Mammothed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 38 minutes ago, DaleCityDave said: My only question now is what time should I start my jebwalk tomorrow? 8:35pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago If I were there right now I'd be makin a road trip to DE or New Jersey. Man that place is gonna get demolished! Those high winds blasting snow is gonna make that place look like it is getting Mammothed.Read my mind. So excited I can’t sleep at all. About to take some melatonin to try to get some rest before the marathon begins 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago down to 38/30DP. dropped 2 degrees in the last half hour... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Super excited to see this storm play out. Going to one for the history books so get ready to save some satellite gifs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Super excited to see this storm play out. Going to one for the history books so get ready to save some satellite gifs. I’m excited for the real OBS to begin. Watching the phasing and bomb out play out in real time is gonna be awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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