psuhoffman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 SREF has been predicting the next run pretty well recently. 9z moved west 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Hrr is a blizzard! 12" here Stalls snowing well into Monday Pna? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: We're just not north enough for them to fully develop unless you're east and NE. You guys both know better. This isn’t a Miller B - not in any meaningful way. Every storm that pops a coastal isn’t a Miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, psuhoffman said: Pna? Guess the super warm temps yesterday and high of 50 today isn't going to matter much.. I'd much rather it snow than be right lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Guess the super warm temps yesterday and high of 50 today isn't going to matter much.. I'd much rather it snow than be right lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 It’s super early but NAM is more negative and deeper right from the jump. Might be about to do a thing. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 FV3 really likes those of us in the 81 corridor. 4 inches by midday tomorrow. Before the storm really gets going. We need to maximize that initial slug out this way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I don’t hate what the Nam is doing through 27 vs 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Reverse psychology aside, I actually like where I’m at from a temps and upslope/easterly flow perspective for the sake of potential upside. Just like in basketball, the pivot is key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Like this run for everyone through h30, but the 95 folks are going to really like it. Heavy snow west of the bay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, DDweatherman said: I don’t hate what the Nam is doing through 27 vs 6z Surface low is way north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 H5 looks like it is much more like 00z again. Surface reflects that and is closer to that result through 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Like this run for everyone through h30, but the 95 folks are going to really like it. Heavy snow west of the bay. 32/32 during it. That would up the ante for us if it’s right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, LP08 said: 32/32 during it. That would up the ante for us if it’s right Definitely not ignoring nam’s thermals. Heavy qpf this run also can’t hurt temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, LP08 said: 32/32 during it. That would up the ante for us if it’s right Gives us a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Nam did some wonky stuff with the lead wave 6z back to its normal crazy stuff this run. EDIT: Snow all the way down to Charlottesville at 7pm tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Big shift! CCB action for most of our sub during the afternoon. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, TowsonWeather said: You guys both know better. This isn’t a Miller B - not in any meaningful way. Every storm that pops a coastal isn’t a Miller B. Is this because of the lack of upper flow energy? The distinction at times seems arbitrary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Good stuff right at sunset at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Center of the h5 low is more southwest than both 06z and 00z. Not by a ton but it doesn’t take much to get us a better result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 WB 12Z 3K NAM is west with this run. However, way too warm everywhere during the day for much accumulation except maybe on grass/mulch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Methinks we’re gunna like the 12k NAM. The SLP gets pulled straight West nearly to the mouth of the Chesapeake between hours 30-33. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I love good NAMing in the morning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Big shift! CCB action for most of our sub during the afternoon. W surface temps above 32 during the afternoon.....thats going to struggle to accumulate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Good stuff right at sunset at 36 Hr 36 is a beaut Clark. Wide qpf field far s & w. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 22 minutes ago, snowfan said: Yall are blind. The hrrr was awful. It's the HRRR at range, so take it with a grain of salt, but to say it's awful was not even remotely true for our areas of AA Co. That was an onslaught. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, snowfan said: W surface temps above 32 during the afternoon.....thats going to struggle to accumulate Dynamic cooling man! If we get ++snow falling i like our chances to accumulate even during the day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Still smoking at 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Love this 500mb wind map off Nam 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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