Solution Man Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Ukie coming over, even has the ccb this time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 ukie for sure a better run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Still plenty of time for another west shift to get the western burbs in the goods! (I can’t sleep…) Let's go for broke. 12"+ east of I-81. Just do it. Go out with a bang. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Ukie is still the warmest surface but it is way better than 18z. Give it another nudge and I think it would stop raining so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Let's go for broke. 12"+ east of I-81. Just do it. Go out with a bang. I like your thinking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 UKIE looks much closer to the GFS and its wet.. still keep us mostly rain though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Let's go for broke. 12"+ east of I-81. Just do it. Go out with a bang. I’m in. Let’s do this! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Still plenty of time for another west shift to get the western burbs in the goods! (I can’t sleep…) are you not worried that almost all the precip the GFS gives us is before 8pm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, baltosquid said: Ukie looks more amped. Let's see if it finally beats the temps it has been doomsaying about. Temps unchanged, lol But that low? Tucky tucky! Would love for this to be a Euro preview--however I'm not sure if the whole preview thing is still a thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 UKIE has gone fishing. It's so far from consensus at this point that I'd ignore it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 8 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: That includes you my friend Yeah I edited i thought east was west lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Snowman. said: UKIE looks much closer to the GFS and its wet.. still keep us mostly rain though I ignore the UKIE for thermals…well actually I ignore the UKIE in most regards, but good to see it move to the GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I can't remember the last time we saw the modeling break to the GFS like this. Absolutely amazing to see. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, nj2va said: I ignore the UKIE for thermals…well actually I ignore the UKIE in most regards, but good to see it move to the GFS. Totally makes sense. It is a positive step regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 whats going on here ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 18 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Along and east of I-95 will need to watch this very closely. This is giving shades of some of the monsters of the past for east of the fall line. I feel really good if I’m along the west shore of the Bay and points east. 11 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, baltosquid said: Ukie is still the warmest surface but it is way better than 18z. Give it another nudge and I think it would stop raining so much. Somebody who knows more about p-type outputs can expand/correct me, but there’s something funky about how pivotal and UKMET are interacting here. Here’s a sounding from 21Z in DC that looks a lot like snow to me, but the p-type map has it (and the next frame) as rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 13 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: February 11th 1983 Remember it well. After about 2' fell, I hiked several miles down New Hampshire Ave. from Colesville to White Oak, picked up a case of beer at Giant, and continued several more miles carrying the case to a friends apt. off Adelphi Rd. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, SnowDreamer said: Somebody who knows more about p-type outputs can expand/correct me, but there’s something funky about how pivotal and UKMET are interacting here. Here’s a sounding from 21Z in DC that looks a lot like snow to me, but the p-type map has it (and the next frame) as rain. <snip> That would be +RASN 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJ3 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: I wasn't here at that time but the P-day blizzard of 79 was epic. True. Nothing has compared to it since. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 00z GEFS mean snow is 6"-10" east of US 15. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I was in Western Atlantic Co NJ in '78, '79, '83, NYC Blizz of '96 and back in SJ PD2 in '03. All epic 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 10 minutes ago, baltosquid said: That's a big shift west!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 11 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said: Somebody who knows more about p-type outputs can expand/correct me, but there’s something funky about how pivotal and UKMET are interacting here. Here’s a sounding from 21Z in DC that looks a lot like snow to me, but the p-type map has it (and the next frame) as rain. The surface is 36, so it’s falling as snow and probably 50/50 mix of snow/rain at the surface. The model is outputting it as rain in reflectivity probably bc the surface temp being 36 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Damn 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 hours ago, CAPE said: now this is a map worth showing! my all time favorite with absolutely unbelievable rates in Baltimore!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: Can we make the dark blue part bigger this time? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, CAPE said: Damn Wow. What's 50th percentile look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Damn surely there are a couple members that death band DC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts