SnowenOutThere Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 For the record we've now blown by the previous most daily posts count for all previous threads this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 New 00z NBM PARA 6 1 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: And now these mfers gave us free shots. I told them i need to be coherent for the GFS pbp. The stare was as blank as an untitled document in Word. If you came dressed like Bethoven with the OMG Folks Avatar look they would know what your talking about pbp gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Jake Wx said: New 00z NBM PARA Where do I sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 NAM looks better so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: For the record we've now blown by the previous most daily posts count for all previous threads this winter. Thread would be/will be a disaster with posts lamenting about white rain and warm temps Sunday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmvpete Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: #HoCoBullseye Worth noting this is an experimental product that is based off the WPC's 61 member Super Ensemble. It is a tool to gauge the the potential for a warning level event. No one actively adjusts these up or down to create a forecast. It is a tool, just like so many others to use. It is also worth mentioning this product is not using new EPS data yet. The screen shot here was the most recent run after 21Z. The latest update should be posted within the next half hour or so. 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, WxUSAF said: Thread would be/will be a disaster with posts lamenting about white rain and warm temps Sunday afternoon. Can’t wait for the “I’m at 42° at 3 pm posts” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 SS looks more amped on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 hours ago, stormtracker said: You're in a better spot than I am...at least you don't have to make the call to cancel before any potential event happens. When we get 37”, I’ll be stuck at home until after my scheduled presentation on Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 9 minutes ago, IronTy said: We saw it once before. A long time ago. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Bwahaha I take back everything bad I've ever said about AI. 5 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmvpete Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, wxmvpete said: Worth noting this is an experimental product that is based off the WPC's 61 member Super Ensemble. It is a tool to gauge the the potential for a warning level event. No one actively adjusts these up or down to create a forecast. It is a tool, just like so many others to use. It is also worth mentioning this product is not using new EPS data yet. The screen shot here was the most recent run after 21Z. The latest update should be posted within the next half hour or so. The WSO is actively used to determine the need for watches across the CONUS. Obviously if the probabilities continue to go up, the more the WPC super ensembles would suggest the potential need for watches given the higher probabilistic odds for a warning-level event. But this is not the end-all-be-all for watch decision making. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 WB 0Z HRRR at HR 48 compared to 18Z GFS and 18Z EURO at 54. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 8 minutes ago, LP08 said: Can’t wait for the “I’m at 42° at 3 pm posts” Don’t forget warm grounds, recently warmer temperatures, and the increased sun angle will cut these snow totals in half. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z HRRR at HR 48 compared to 18Z GFS and 18Z EURO at 54. As you probably know, hrrr isn’t comparable with the globals because it isn’t a global model. But same goes for the nam, which we do pbp on anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z HRRR at HR 48 compared to 18Z GFS and 18Z EURO at 54. Is it good? I’m pickled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z HRRR at HR 48 compared to 18Z GFS and 18Z EURO at 54. Why are you comparing hrrr at 48 to those? May as well compare hrrr at 48 to gfs at 384 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 9pm the new HH? JB Black. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: As you probably know, hrrr isn’t comparable with the globals because it isn’t a global model. But same goes for the nam, which we do pbp on anyway I understand the HRRR is not reliable at HR 48, if ever, but seems to be showing an amped solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Don’t forget warm grounds, recently warmer temperatures, and the increased sun angle will cut these snow totals in half. latest AFD even talks about sun angle... we're cooked for sure 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, caviman2201 said: latest AFD even talks about sun angle... we're cooked for sure The sun is pretty strong at night 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, TSSN+ said: The sun is pretty strong at night Blinding. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, TSSN+ said: The sun is pretty strong at night Reflection off the moon. Unless it's a New Moon, then we're in business. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Sharper Trof and a little more stream interaction on the NAM through 39 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Home...not even drunk. NAM look shaper with the northern stream so far 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Reflection off the moon. Unless it's a New Moon, then we're in business. No new moon until March 18. But that’s the next storm. #1993vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Moon angle might be deadly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 12 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I understand the HRRR is not reliable at HR 48, if ever, but seems to be showing an amped solution. So that means the amped solutions are not reliable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, AdamHLG said: No new moon until March 18. But that’s the next storm. #1993vibes . GFS probably hasn't ingested the latest moon phase data. Once it does....it's over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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