AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, stormtracker said: Yall ready for the biggest cave in GFS history? Bout to dig into some 90 minute Dogfish and some sushi and watch the modern day Hindenburg. Not even reverse psychology can stop this beast i can think of no better way to witness the incoming implosion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Let’s fuckin do this! I hear TAPS playing in the background though. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I need someone to stop the slow bleed of the IVT northeast every damn run. Y’all are focused on the lost cause coastal but that IVT is realistically our only shot and has no one else noticed it’s slowly bleeding like 10-20 miles northeast every run! If that keeps up it’s gonna end up congrats Philly or even NYC by the time this gets here. It’s been sitting basically over us for the last 24hrs haven’t seen that much of a move 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Likely the meet in the middle with a 70/30 or 60/40 lean towards the other globals. Issue is that’s no good for us. A compromise is a miss. Just a closer miss. Could help the Delmarva. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 the stupid mf'er is going to triple down and beat the Jan16' DGEX run that showed 50" 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I need someone to stop the slow bleed of the IVT northeast every damn run. Y’all are focused on the lost cause coastal but that IVT is realistically our only shot and has no one else noticed it’s slowly bleeding like 10-20 miles northeast every run! If that keeps up it’s gonna end up congrats Philly or even NYC by the time this gets here. You're just mad the imaginary coastal doesn't jackpot your backyard! We southrons know how this is going to go, so we're focused on an all-time model yeeting of the (entire model suite) by GFS. IDGAF about some IVT junk that drops 2" of slush that doesn't stick to roads here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, Interstate said: You do not need reverse psychology... this is happening What's the floor where we can say cave? Because 12z was peak, it's not going to get better from there, obviously. But losing say 5 or 6 inches wouldn't be a cave. So, what's the line here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I actually disagree, not like the IVT has been going east every run on all models. the further west and south the low is and any capture also matters to the IVT depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, psuhoffman said: I need someone to stop the slow bleed of the IVT northeast every damn run. Y’all are focused on the lost cause coastal but that IVT is realistically our only shot and has no one else noticed it’s slowly bleeding like 10-20 miles northeast every run! If that keeps up it’s gonna end up congrats Philly or even NYC by the time this gets here. I mean the exact placement of the IVT is harder to parse… I think getting a better h5 pass and something a bit more amped are some clear trends to hope for. The GFS isn’t going to be right. We are not going to get crushed by a sub 980 over the Chesapeake. But a trend towards something less pathetic is good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, stormtracker said: What's the floor where we can say cave? Because 12z was peak, it's not going to get better from there, obviously. But losing say 5 or 6 inches wouldn't be a cave. So, what's the line here? No one breaks 18” or maybe 12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I whole bunch of downers in here... If it is not going to happen, then there is no need for you to be here. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: What's the floor where we can say cave? Because 12z was peak, it's not going to get better from there, obviously. But losing say 5 or 6 inches wouldn't be a cave. So, what's the line here? If it’s worse than 6z it’s a semi cave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, TSSN+ said: It’s been sitting basically over us for the last 24hrs haven’t seen that much of a move It’s jumpy. But if you go back and put a line through the axis of the IVT 24 hours ago and average all the models together the mean was somewhere through west of DC up to like Frederick. Remember we were east of the heaviest qpf. Now we’re on the western edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I can’t believe we are all sitting here waiting for another 35 inches of digital snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: What's the floor where we can say cave? Because 12z was peak, it's not going to get better from there, obviously. But losing say 5 or 6 inches wouldn't be a cave. So, what's the line here? As long as the H5 stays similar... I am happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What's the floor where we can say cave? Because 12z was peak, it's not going to get better from there, obviously. But losing say 5 or 6 inches wouldn't be a cave. So, what's the line here? Over half, then we know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Likely the meet in the middle with a 70/30 or 60/40 lean towards the other globals. Issue is that’s no good for us. A compromise is a miss. Just a closer miss. Could help the Delmarva. JB is going 6-12 for DC to Boston with pops of 18 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Maybe the best HECS is the friends we made along the way. -pna 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 It’s a runnin 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 The run has begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, bncho said: It’s a runnin 144 people on standby lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Won’t take long to know where it’s going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Time to assemble the crew. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 My God. Here we go. Buckle up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It’s jumpy. But if you go back and put a line through the axis of the IVT 24 hours ago and average all the models together the mean was somewhere through west of DC up to like Frederick. Remember we were east of the heaviest qpf. Now we’re on the western edge. That’s when the models also had us in the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What's the floor where we can say cave? Because 12z was peak, it's not going to get better from there, obviously. But losing say 5 or 6 inches wouldn't be a cave. So, what's the line here? 11" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Will the GFS cave... lets roll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I need someone to stop the slow bleed of the IVT northeast every damn run. Y’all are focused on the lost cause coastal but that IVT is realistically our only shot and has no one else noticed it’s slowly bleeding like 10-20 miles northeast every run! If that keeps up it’s gonna end up congrats Philly or even NYC by the time this gets here. Those are so hard for us to get down here and so hard to pin down ahead of time that I might think the fake GFS solution is more likely. It’s also not a lot of snow in marginal temps so meh. Big dog hunting all the time and especially in late February after a decade of nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 It's 'Party's Over' time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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