“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[CoastalWx]

Locking in the herpes. STDs for all.

[Bostonseminole]

AIGFS did not change much

[ROOSTA]

JUMP

[SnowHole413]

It’s gone

[CoastalWx]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

The mid-levels don't really look terrible...I mean just from looking at them I would think higher QPF but who knows. There are so many processes going on as the low rapidly develops and strengthens there is so much to truly factor in

Agree. Wonder if this deepening H5 low and CK vexrion playing havoc. 

[dendrite]

ha

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Agree. Wonder if this deepening H5 low and CK vexrion playing havoc. 

That's what I'm thinking. It's very bizarre. 

[dendrite]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Agree. Wonder if this deepening H5 low and CK vexrion playing havoc. 

i know you meant convection there

robbing some moisture maybe?

[Masswx]

If this is a rug pull Im quitting this hobby

[Great Snow 1717]

Better guard the bridges...

[HoarfrostHubb]

USA!!!!

[Masswx]

USA gold baby

[Henry's Weather]

LOL

[HoarfrostHubb]

Hughes!!

[dendrite]

Just now, Masswx said:

If this is a rug pull Im quitting this hobby

You can check out anytime you like

But you can never leave

[weatherwiz]

SCORE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Henry's Weather]

There’ll be less to remove, nice

[Typhoon Tip]

Can this winter please go ahead end now ?   haha ... 

Ah boy.   Yeah if that decides to be the verifying solution, this is largely a bust.  Probably not in the fairest or absolute sense... call it a 70 .. 80% bust.  

The NAM did tick E spanning the last couple of runs... something is causing this to do this almost on top of the event.  It would be fascinating to understand what exactly that is, whether it is something about data sampling/grid initializations, vs over processing, or somehow error born in between.   

The larger synoptic scaffolding is unchanged.  This is all, 100% of it ( as far as I can tell) idiosyncratic to the internal handling of the system and how it integrates within that synoptic totality.     Not sure there is really a way to account for that, so any such study might just reveal this to be random.  Interesting. 

[LSC97wxnut]

GFS take away, but USA hockey delivers?

I'm confused...

[Modfan2]

Tip threw some warnings out earlier, will have to see what the following model suites doing 

[Greg]

Just now, Masswx said:

If this is a rug pull Im quitting this hobby

If it is this possibly could be one of the largest busts since March of 2001.

[Kitz Craver]

Let’s gooooooooo!!!!!

[Bostonseminole]

USA USA!

[HoarfrostHubb]

The goalie should be the MVP

[Kitz Craver]

USA USA USA!!!!!

[Ginx snewx]

Usa!! Golden Goal

[mahk_webstah]

It’s time to just look at the short range models and watch the radar. It’s under 24 hours so I don’t really trust the GFS.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Greg said:

If it is this possibly could be one of the largest busts since March of 2001.

Feb 2024

[Johnno]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

The goalie should be the MVP

Absolutely 

[EastonSN+]

Ai cut back a touch. USA