“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

TIL the Dec 2020 storm was named Gail. lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, TheSnowman said:

CAN WE FINALLY gave ONE that YOU Guys DON’T?  - Thank You  

Sign Eastern RI and SEMA.    

ICON is still the best.  Gets the full good stuff in.  But can’t believe the Euro Caved.  

 

 WHEN is the last time

1. EURO was alone OTS, all other models with the GFS on a hit.

2. All models But the GFS Came to the Euro.

3. GFS remains steadfast throughout, and All non-GFS Models eventually Cave to the GFS.  

Lots of beer already huh…

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, dendrite said:

TIL the Dec 2020 storm was named Gail. lol

March 2017 was Stella

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I've always refused to call them by the TWC name. Plus, by calling it by the date, it helps everyone else not forget the year. 

Also, home insurance have significantly different coverages for “named storms”.  Intended for tropical systems 

[brooklynwx99]

good god

[HIPPYVALLEY]

9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Euro is still weak outside of sema.

I can tell this surprises you. 

I’m slightly intrigued by this but very cautious.  That old saying “this can only come so far north” is in play.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

good god

Need to see that a few runs in a row. 

[Typhoon Tip]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If we can introduce more WCB into it, then it can go onto HECS territory, but that would def require amplifying this a bit more. 

True... but, this is going to have an elevate hook back MAUL.  We might not need that direct isentropic burst just because the beast is so exceptionally far formed.  So... with a CCB running underneath it can get dicey for some zones.

But yeah... in an ideal sense... probably lightning and thunder in the witches crouch  (the occlusion wedge) where said MAUL is elevating over the CCB flow ... But that's SE of the coast.  It should bend back and parallel for a spell far enough W to clip along and SE of PVD-BOS.   Maybe makes up for having the isentropic 10" gift before the wind type of storm.    If this ticks NW a couple more times, move this along.    Should be moderate with nasty wind gusts, say PWM-NYC

[78Blizzard]

With the ICON, Ukie and Euro all on board now, can there be any doubt? They all were kicking and screaming to get here.

Still not game time, but looks like the GFS schooled them all this time.

 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

True... but, this is going to have an elevate hook back MAUL.  We might not need that direct isentropic burst just because the beast is exceptionally formed.  So... with a CCB running underneath. 

But yeah... in an ideal sense... probably lightning and thunder in the witches crouch  (the occlusion wedge) where said MAUL is elevating over the CCB flow ... It should bends back and parallel for a spell.   Maybe makes up for having the isentropic 10" gift before the wind type of storm.  

Yeah and I think this is how Jan 2015 became very prolific....we were able to jack up the CCB by wrapping up instability into it. We didn't get a true WCB in that. 

[lurker]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Lots of beer already huh…

 

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I've always refused to call them by the TWC name. Plus, by calling it by the date, it helps everyone else not forget the year. 

Only thing I like about names is multi KUs in a year helps keep separate 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Only thing I like about names is multi KUs in a year helps keep separate 

Feb 01…Mar 01….

But yeah, tougher when you have 2+ in a month. 1st world problems.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I can tell this surprises you. 

I’m slightly intrigued by this but very cautious.  That old saying “this can only come so far north” is in play.

I know I doesn’t seem APATT but that’s what it shows. Just keeping it real.

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sit on my face BIG BOY!

Celebrating a bit too much...

[dendrite]

Bump NW on the EPS AIFS as well.

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

TIL the Dec 2020 storm was named Gail. lol

78 was Larry. Channel 3 named them. Had one of the best Mets

[dryslot]

Just now, dendrite said:

Bump NW on the EPS AIFS as well.

Keep it going.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

The only reason all your Jan 2015 comparison posts aren’t getting reported is because at least this time no one WOR expects 24-36” lol. 

[DavisStraight]

14 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

looks like 20+ in mattapoisett 

Not too shabby at Pit 2 either, plus Pit 2 should do well tonight.

[Chrisrotary12]

19 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I think the next TWC name this year is Hernando

As long as it ends in the letter o… Nemo, Juno…

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

True... but, this is going to have an elevate hook back MAUL.  We might not need that direct isentropic burst just because the beast is so exceptionally far formed.  So... with a CCB running underneath it can get dicey for some zones.

But yeah... in an ideal sense... probably lightning and thunder in the witches crouch  (the occlusion wedge) where said MAUL is elevating over the CCB flow ... But that's SE of the coast.  It should bend back and parallel for a spell far enough W to clip along and SE of PVD-BOS.   Maybe makes up for having the isentropic 10" gift before the wind type of storm.    If this ticks NW a couple more times, move this along.    Should be moderate with nasty wind gusts, say PWM-NYC

Yea, it's Jan 2022 right now.

[hooralph]

 

Jeff - the National Weather Service in NWS Upton NY has issued a Winter Storm Watch. Please pay attention to the guidance below.

Severe

Winter Storm Watch issued February 20 at 1:12PM EST until February 23 at 6:00PM EST by NWS Upton NY

Description * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 6 and 10 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and southeast New York. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. The combination of gusty winds and heavy wet snow could bring down tree branches.

[dryslot]

Just now, Chrisrotary12 said:

As long as it ends in the letter o… Nemo, Juno…

Bingo?

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Keep it going.

Tick tick

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Aifs has a nice track but keeps the totals from reaching higher end status. Probably a solid 10-15” in eastern areas 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Tick tick

Lets get 2 more like the last 2.

[ORH_wxman]

Regular EPS

 

[nutmegfriar]

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

78 was Larry. Channel 3 named them. Had one of the best Mets

Didn't Hilton utter his infamous "this isn't going to be a gullywumper" statement for this storm?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Aifs has a nice track but keeps the totals from reaching higher end status. Probably a solid 10-15” in eastern areas 

Bruh, that’s an easy 15+ in sema world on skynet.