MuddyWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 TBlizz will meh this up until he measures 2ft 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, CoastalWx said: Nothing I want more than for that to tug N and stall off ACK lol. Stall won’t happen though but love to have the tug. Yea, it's progressive, but a tug NW pretty much equates to a stall for all intents and purposes. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 20 minutes ago, dryslot said: Just going on the strength of the SLP will want to get this west a bit. The strengths may be what helps pull it west if it really wraps up, but of course, then it’s LBSW. Not really our storm, but it could end up being fun for us and epic to our south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes, I don't think we are done trending on that...I'm delaying my first map until late night bc I don't have the balls to go with my gut yet. Well....if it has to snow let's do a repeat of this: Sorry, not sorry to those in Western CT and MA. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Massplow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes, I don't think we are done trending on that...I'm delaying my first map until late night bc I don't have the balls to go with my gut yet. What time is late i gotta rest up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, metagraphica said: Well....if it has to snow let's do a repeat of this: Sorry, not sorry to those in Western CT and MA. So dirty. I hope you rain now. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Massplow said: What time is late i gotta rest up Depends how quickly I can vanquish the wife and kids for the night I may try to get a jump on the H5 graphics today to save time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 8 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: can see the little fuji here... slightly later phase with more NS involvement leads to later occlusion Looks like a deformation band from Northwest Massachusetts over towards the pope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 RGEM shunted east a little at the last second. Still a good hit for eastern folks but slightly less than 06z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, metagraphica said: Well....if it has to snow let's do a repeat of this: Sorry, not sorry to those in Western CT and MA. You don't say that!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 30 minutes ago, dryslot said: He was lagging behind on panels apparently ha ha. Too much "toggling" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 15 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: can see the little fuji here... slightly later phase with more NS involvement leads to later occlusion I wrote a tl;dr on page 68 that discusses some of those trough axis idiosyncrasies we've been observing. I spent ... more time than I responsibly should have ... going over those fundamentals of Met wrt the various guidance sources, and spoke about them in that missive. Paraphrase, there's still NW correction room in this whole thing. Longer recap: the S/W ridging that rolls out ahead of trough amplificaiton has been either under done by error, or, just gong to be anomalously weak in this case. I leaned on the latter in that discussion, just because I couldn't find a guidance that has a better more "balanced" looking roll-out ridge. But that is an important feature when system's are creating their own positive feedback arena - during life cycle of the total wave space. The end result of which tends to position the axis farther W than the eastern flank of the trough - which is what all guidance has been consummately doing... I also discussed that the ridge west has been relatively well anchored near MT longitude, and the trough has been en masse tending to stretch E. That's also a correctable aspect. Your ICON above seems to evince the latter concepts... at least, showing how the total wave geometry matters in this. The ridge in the west is, if anything, nudged W by pubes ...but the trough in the east is also simultaneously availing of the total trough space and not as biased on the eastern flank. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM shunted east a little at the last second. Still a good hit for eastern folks but slightly less than 06z Hopefully just noise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM shunted east a little at the last second. Still a good hit for eastern folks but slightly less than 06z Ugh....didn't want any regression pushes this quickly...at least it's still in lala range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ugh....didn't want any regression pushes this quickly...at least it's still in lala range. Yeah mesos are still marginal right now for utility. ICON gives a 20-burger for SE MA/Cape 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6 minutes ago, Massplow said: What time is late i gotta rest up Good luck with that! I could rarely nap, or go to bed early before an event when I had my residential route 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah mesos are still marginal right now for utility. ICON gives a 20-burger for SE MA/Cape 2.35" qpf wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Any ocean enhancement with this one? Figured there's always some with a coastal near the benchmark, especially a deep sub 980mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: Any ocean enhancement with this one? Figured there's always some with a coastal near the benchmark Maybe some? Temps aren’t super cold and actually hover near 32 there for a time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Any ocean enhancement with this one? Figured there's always some with a coastal near the benchmark Delta-Ts aren't particularly big.....esp this time of the year after the type of winter we've had....water temps are chilly. Might be some as the winds turn more northerly and if we can get 850s down to roughly -10C or so.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 ICON is Jan 2022. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe some? Temps aren’t super cold and actually hover near 32 there for a time. Yeah, I was kinda thinking that..no arctic antecedent airmass in place. Could be some damage with wetter snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 GFS up next, guess we will see if it decides to flinch or double down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So dirty. I hope you rain now. That storm had me grinding enamel off of my teeth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Jan 15 was colder and stalled for a bit, iirc. This could be a Jan 15 lite, or I guess Jan 22 lite. I wasn't here at the time, but I think Sandwich had close to 30" in 2015' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Jan 15 was colder and stalled for a bit, iirc. This could be a Jan 15 lite, or I guess Jan 22 lite. I wasn't here at the time, but I think Sandwich had close to 30" in 2015' This has easy 30" potential for SEMASS .. I'd be ecstatic if I was there, I'm hoping for sloppy seconds out here.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Will this be powder inland ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 SE Mass and Cape/Islands storm? Haven't been paying it too much attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: balls to go with my gut The mixed metaphor award! I love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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