Masswx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Scooter and Jr both sleeping naked tonight? Potentially 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Is there any legitimacy to the 18z runs not being as accurate? No, But some think there is, Every run gets current data, I commented earlier about the Euro having it at 18z seeing its the last global out in that timeframe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Omg eps Im naked 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: the AIFS doing what it did gives more confidence that the euro shift is legit but we will obv want to see it hold at 00z I suspect it's real. @dryslotmade a great point about the data ingest. Hey, I will fully admit if I missed the boat here and try to learn from it. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, Masswx said: 975 mb chugging way north of 12z still on the southern Side of models but the best run of the euro for This storm in days And you gave up last night. This could trend into what we were seeing on some models five or six days ago. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I suspect it's real. @dryslotmade a great point about the data ingest. Hey, I will fully admit if I missed the boat here and try to learn from it. this is sick 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, Masswx said: Potentially Kick mom out of bed and replace with the KU book. 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1985 Polar Bear Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nailed it. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Omg eps Im naked What else is new 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 23 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: holy shit AIFS!!! So what is going on here? The ECMWF AI has consistently been more impressive than its op run, esp. at 500 w/ the intensity of the 500 low cut-off when it moves off the E Coast. Now it is even more aggressive at 18z w/ an intense symmetric closed 500 low not far S of ACK at 96 hr, and a SNE crushing. So given the short history of AI versions vs. its own op, which one usually "wins?" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Scooter and Jr both sleeping naked tonight? Damn man, you should probably keep your fantasies hidden from the rest of us. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, CCHurricane said: It did, not all the way but a huge shift. 00z runs will be TENSE... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I didn’t mean to imply that this could be a burp run just because it was 18z. Like Jeff said, more, newer data. I want to see at least one additional run of all the majors before I feel confident. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 0z should tell the tale if this 18z run burped or not but i think its on to some changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, CCHurricane said: It did, not all the way but a huge shift. First run to ingest recon data and voila 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I may have to stay up late and do a preemptive social media post in advance of a first call tomorrow. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I may have to stay up late and do a preemptive social media post in advance of a first call tomorrow. We up late. High and quite possibly…naked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, 1985 Polar Bear said: Enjoy! My weekly watering hole 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Omg eps Im naked As is the prisoner in back seat 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: With the prisoner in back seat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, dryslot said: 0z should tell the tale if this 18z run burped or not but i think its on to some changes. Agreed. 00z has been my target to take this seriously as we are getting into that 72-84hr timeframe. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Man this "hobby" sucks lol It's like gambling, you get so excited with a win only to likely lose it all next hand. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, vortex95 said: So what is going on here? The ECMWF AI has consistently been more impressive than its op run, esp. at 500 w/ the intensity of the 500 low cut-off when it moves off the E Coast. Now it is even more aggressive at 18z w/ an intense symmetric closed 500 low not far S of ACK at 96 hr, and a SNE crushing. So given the short history of AI versions vs. its own op, which one usually "wins?" The AI EURO has been a bit more waffly the last 3-4 events beyond like 60 hours. I felt through February it never moved once on anything inside like 108. The systems this month its definitely bit more bouncy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Omg eps Im naked Just bend that antifa prisoner over and unload. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: lol this just got real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 28 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: From MA forum. That includes snow from tomorrow's system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Wankum basically dismissing the Monday storm has me more excited 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Cyclone-68 said: Imma Wank it basically now until Monday when the storm hits. This has me super excited That’s a long time and a lot of recovery in between. Good luck! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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