Snowlover11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, NJwx85 said: Just got upgraded to a Blizzard Warning here in Rockland. Beat me to it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: The euro probably won't budge much I'm glad to see that it made a pretty good move. The 10 inches that the Euro is showing for our area seems like a realistic worst case scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 The groundhog slander too. I've never seen folks so indignant about winter weather in the middle of FebruaryYou leave that resplendent rodent out of this!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, winterwx21 said: I'm glad to see that it made a pretty good move. The 10 inches that the Euro is showing for our area seems like a realistic worst case scenario. Yeah I feel alot more comfortable now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Over and under odds of what the Central Park official measurement will be regardless of how much snow actually falls? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 8-16 still great call by Mt Holly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: Beat me to it!! mt holly not biting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Euro is locked in for 8 to 12Sure moved 75 miles west. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: its like people in nj complaining about bad winters; ask anyone from a place with bad winters what they think of our mellow winters here....got family in maine..... im from albany, and my whole family is from syracuse. although its 2 hours and 17 mins to my parents house from my apartment in white plains. winters down here are light work compared to upstate, cant fathom maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, Winterweatherlover said: SE tick but not much Its not so much southeast as the members are congealing around a more cohesive mean. You lost some of the crazier members, and there werent a ton of SE members to lose, so it results in a look thats slightly SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: Over and under odds of what the Central Park official measurement will be regardless of how much snow actually falls? I think 16 inches would be a fair 50-50 over under. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 102 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 CTZ009>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-220800- /O.EXT.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk- Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 102 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 15 and 20 inches, highest amounts across Long Island. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph with isolated gusts up to 60 mph. Gusts on the east end of Long Island could reach 65 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strongest winds are expected Sunday evening through Monday afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Ok, time to up those accumulations - the King is on board! Best Euro run yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Not sure why EURO is so low on the amounts, don't think that will verify. In a few hours we can begin nowcasting against prior runs for location of low and especially paying attention to the shorter range models tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Upton increased amounts to 15-20 for NYC area. 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 As expected blizzard warnings expanding, clear as day that would need to be done 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Don't forget we have a snowfall contest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Fair Lawn NJ now under Blizzard warning, about 30 miles NW of manhattan 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, vegan_edible said: im from albany, and my whole family is from syracuse. although its 2 hours and 17 mins to my parents house from my apartment in white plains. winters down here are light work compared to upstate, cant fathom maine maine is not as bad as syracuse. no way. syracuse area is the snowiest in the country. but maine is probably colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Ball is back in the GFS/NAM court. Lets watch it hold serve!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, Snowman92 said: Not sure why EURO is so low on the amounts, don't think that will verify. In a few hours we can begin nowcasting against prior runs for location of low and especially paying attention to the shorter range models tonight. The Euro has largely been too dry on QPF all winter nationwide it seems. I have seen it miss amounts by several inches, even in storms where only like 5-8 inches fell 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 hours ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 12z Summary Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC / Snow 10:1 NYC SREF: 1/8 / 17.1 NAM: 2.5 / 24.1 NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6 ICON: 1.4 / 13.9 RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1 GFS: 2.0 / 20.3 GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8 GGEM: 1.5 / 14.7 GEFS: 1.8 / 17.8 UKMET: 1/2 / 12.9 Euro : 1.0 / 10.2 Euro AI AIFS: 1.3 / 12.6 2/21 12z Summary Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC / Snow 10:1 NYC SREF: 1/8 / 17.1 NAM: 2.5 / 24.1 NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6 ICON: 1.4 / 13.9 RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1 GFS: 2.0 / 20.3 GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8 GGEM: 1.5 / 14.7 GEFS: 1.8 / 17.8 UKMET: 1/2 / 12.9 Euro : 1.0 / 10.2 Euro AI AIFS: 1.3 / 12.6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mean / Average (All Models Included) Total QPF (NYC): 1.64 inches 10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 16.8 inches 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 maine is not as bad as syracuse. no way. syracuse area is the snowiest in the country. but maine is probably colder. The Sierra's would like a word about the snowiest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 FINAL CALL MMU: 8-14 - area of highest uncertainty NYC: 12- 16 (locally 20) central/E LI: 16-20 (locally 2ft) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro has largely been too dry on QPF all winter nationwide it seems. I have seen it miss amounts by several inches, even in storms where only like 5-8 inches fell Nam was overdone with yesterday's rain. Different situation of course but always smart to take 1/3 off what nam shows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Sref is going to show ridiculous amounts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I’d go 18-24” for Nassau/Suffolk and coastal NJ, 12-18” everywhere else. It looks completely primed for possibly a historic event. Someone where banding can pivot overhead might get 30”. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 13 minutes ago, Snowman92 said: Fair Lawn NJ now under Blizzard warning, about 30 miles NW of manhattan Yes. Blizzard Warning for Bergen county NJ. But. Fairlawn is not 30 miles NW of Manhattan. Straight line distance is 14.3 miles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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