The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[CentralNJSnowman]

4 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

Rain in Brooklyn. This will impact snow totals if rain keeps up

It really shouldn’t.  No accumulations forecasted till afternoon and not much till very late afternoon

[nycsnow]

4 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

Rain in Brooklyn. This will impact snow totals if rain keeps up

lol was predicted and normal, low didn’t even form storms not til late tn. Even if it’s snow right now it’s not sticking 

[Juturna]

Just now, nycsnow said:

lol was predicted and normal, low didn’t even form storms not til late tn. Even if it’s snow right now it’s not sticking 

Kicker is still in Missouri and people are worried about the morning drizzle.

[MANDA]

Updated my final forecast for out this way at 10:00 last night to 12-18”. We’ll see how this all turns out soon enough.  The 12” seems like a reasonable floor and anything over 18” would have to come from intense banding which is hard to nail down in advance.  We’ll see how it plays out.

Currently light snow and 31 degrees.

Western edge was always going to be difficult and the NAM insane amounts were not be believed verbatim.

Good luck to all!!!!

[RKO36]

Obviously every storm is different, but is there any source that tracks NWS forecasts (or any outlet's forecast) vs. what happens in reality?

[allgame830]

1 minute ago, snowman19 said:

Where did I say NYC isn’t getting a foot? The RGEM has a foot in the city. As far as what the NAM has been selling? Throw it in the trash, it’s going to start backing down and playing catch up. There’s a reason why the NAM/SREF are getting retired this year and it’s not because it’s good. The only thing it’s good for is warm nose events and that’s it. This is a classic NAM over amp and it’s going to bust horribly IMO

Dude seriously…. Step away from the board you have been mostly silent. And the sref cut back like an inch. Still snows roughly 18 inches. Either you stop trolling or I am going to silence your posts. 

[Mail Man]

1 minute ago, allgame830 said:

Dude seriously…. Step away from the board you have been mostly silent. And the sref cut back like an inch. Still snows roughly 18 inches. Either you stop trolling or I am going to silence your posts. 

He's trolling trying to ruffle feathers.

[Brasiluvsnow]

" Let The Pigeons Loose " as snow is falling in New City / Rockland County !!!!!! It is nowcast time ladies and gentleman , everyone enjoy this and stay safe, THIS is going to be epic !!!!!!

 

[allgame830]

Just now, Mail Man said:

He's trolling trying to ruffle feathers.

I’m aware, just like going back him because it’s fun and since it’s daily posted whatever the limit is he can’t post anymore at some point until the next day LOL

[BxEngine]

Back to the storm. If you want to discuss personal shit take it to PMs. If you hid all winter and are here now to troll, find somewhere else to post. 

[Snowman92]

8 minutes ago, Juturna said:

Ah here we go, expecting a lot of these posts even when accumulating snow for some areas isn’t forecast until late afternoon/evening.

Calm down. I am aware accumulations and heavy snow doesnt start till later , just stating the rain is pretty serious right now and the ground will be wet and puddles are forming. Won't be easy for the snow to necessarily pile.up with ease. 

[495weatherguy]

Looks increasingly likely that this storm is going to deliver amounts on LI that seemed impossible the last few years. 
 

Will this storm be the end of this winter?  Or is this just an extension of winter. 
 

either way, try to enjoy the storm, as much as one can in situations like this 

[MANDA]

1 minute ago, Mail Man said:

He's trolling trying to ruffle feathers.

I think he is just trying to make the point that there is a large difference between the max NAM/SREF amounts and most everything else. The RGEM is not a trash model.  Give it a chance unfold and see where this is going.  Me personally I don’t think we see 24”+ amounts with this but I also believe RGEM amounts are on the low side.  

 

[GregRups21]

Snow Montvale nj. Not sticking yet


.

[Snowman92]

Looking at my ring live view looks like snowing now in fair lawn NJ.

[huntingtonwx]

light snow here in huntington, long island

 

[allgame830]

Just now, MANDA said:

I think he is just trying to make the point that there is a large difference between the max NAM/SREF amounts and most everything else. The RGEM is not a trash model.  Give it a chance unfold and see where this is going.  Me personally I don’t think we see 24”+ amounts with this but I also believe RGEM amounts are on the low side.  

 

I definitely agree with that. I don’t see widespread 2 feet amounts but I’m sure there will be quite a few. His claim was baseless earlier. I think we land somewhere in the middle between the NAM/SREF and rest 

[lee59]

36 degrees here with an east wind gusting to 20mph. light rain. I am expecting about 18 inches here and wind gusts at my house between 45 and 50. Anything more will be an over achiever. 

[SnoSki14]

Every storm people panic day of. It's like clockwork.  Oh it's starting as rain, oh it's too warm, oh it's too dry, amounts are too light, models are ticking east/west, it's not snowing yet, etc. 

And 90 percent of the time it's nonsense and means nothing. 

[weatherpruf]

11 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

lol was predicted and normal, low didn’t even form storms not til late tn. Even if it’s snow right now it’s not sticking 

Many news outlets said snow. I heard them. They are still saying it. Mt holly said rain possible, but the public doesn’t read the nws discussions. Cut people some slack. Even yesterday people right here were saying snow by 8 am, despite temps being in the high 30s. 

[BoulderWX]

First flakes in Morristown. Expecting around a foot. Was not expecting such an early start time. 

[BxEngine]

8 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

Calm down. I am aware accumulations and heavy snow doesnt start till later , just stating the rain is pretty serious right now and the ground will be wet and puddles are forming. Won't be easy for the snow to necessarily pile.up with ease. 

Snow is measured on a white board. Not in puddles.

[Northof78]

Obs thread started 

[messier77]

Flight cancelled last night.  Will miss the great blizzard of 2026.  Damn.

Next flight in is Wednesday.

[MANDA]

6 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

First flakes in Morristown. Expecting around a foot. 

Going with 12-18” here.  

[jllevin79]

Light snow in New City right now.


.

[BoulderWX]

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

I'm by New Brunswick and despite the 18-25" forecast in place I am also going with a foot. 

Wow, I just looked at my latest warning and saw it was 18-25 too!!

[Brasiluvsnow]

Snow began falling at 7 am here in New City ,,,,Let's do this guys and gals 

 

[NsWx516]

27 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

lol was predicted and normal, low didn’t even form storms not til late tn. Even if it’s snow right now it’s not sticking 

Currently snowing in northern Nassau and its starting to stick to the grass and patio

[SnoSki14]

One caveat is that ratios at the height of the storm could be closer to 12:1 vs 10:1

These CCB setups under intense coastals can really deliver the goods.