The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[LVblizzard]

3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

More amped 

That backside vort keeps getting closer to phasing into this thing. If that happens this turns into a BECS.

[WeatherGeek2025]

it's like a hurricane cat 2 but a blizzard 

[Winterweatherlover]

Just now, boxingdayblizzard said:

Unbelievable.

The banding def looks like it shifted north this run 

[Nibor]

[winterwx21]

1 minute ago, Rjay said:

The American guidance has been taking roids

You really have to wonder if the American guidance is overdoing it since nothing else is that extreme. Obviously it's still going to be a tremendous storm with over a foot for most of the area. 

[SACRUS]

 

GFS AI

 

 

 

 

 

[Allsnow]

Keeeps a snowing until early Monday afternoon 

[jm1220]

Just now, Winterweatherlover said:

The banding def looks like it shifted north this run 

I’ll have to look but anyone have good analogs to this setup-maybe Feb 1978 (seriously)? 

[Nibor]

[NsWx516]

This is total insanity…..4-8 inches my ass

[boxingdayblizzard]

Same output as the NAM

 

[Neblizzard]

Just now, Nibor said:

A measly 32-34 hour storm , with 12-16 hours of chaos.  

[WestBabylonWeather]

JB WAS RIGHT

[Allsnow]

Because we deserve this…

[Rjay]

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

You really have to wonder if the American guidance is overdoing it since nothing else is that extreme. Obviously it's still going to be a tremendous storm with over a foot for most of the area. 

Only time will tell.  What I can say is everything has trended towards the gfs and hasn't stopped yet. 

[Blizzardo]

Mr. G just said lasting until Monday night possibly Tuesday morning.

He also chuckled at his own snow map and basically said yeaa those numbers will be going up...he knows...lol

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Keeeps a snowing until early Monday afternoon 

 

[JonClaw]

GFS brought the eggs. Just need the Euro to go ham and we've got an omelette!

[hudsonvalley21]

4 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

968! Hold Me 

 

 

Wow. CCB death bands will be impressive.

[SACRUS]

 

2/21 00z GFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 00z

 

 

 

Snow 10:1

[David-LI]

4 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

The banding def looks like it shifted north this run 

it would move south. Honestly I think these bands are only modeled better by the very short range models.

[Santa Claus]

a lot of people in the area are not at all ready for or expecting that

[jm1220]

4 minutes ago, Neblizzard said:

A measly 32-34 hour storm , with 12-16 hours of chaos.  

I’m of the opinion that this could be preeeeeeeety preeeeeety pretty good? 

[forkyfork]

warm seclusion

[BoulderWX]

*bookmarking for future 

less than 36 hours out both American models have me at 18+ and in Morris county *shrug*

[jm1220]

1 minute ago, David-LI said:

it would move south. Honestly I think these bands are only modeled better by the very short range models.

There’s no way at this point to predict where the death bands set up. That’ll be the HRRR maybe 12 hours out. We’re all in the game for a historic outcome. 

[SACRUS]

 

2/21 00z GFS AI AIGFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

 

Snow 10:1

[David-LI]

1 minute ago, Santa Claus said:

a lot of people in the area are not at all ready for or expecting that

if NAM and GFS verifies yes it would be bad 

[MANDA]

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I’ll have to look but anyone have good analogs to this setup-maybe Feb 1978 (seriously)? 

I'd have to say not far off the mark with 2/78.  Same general evolution.

[SACRUS]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 00z Summary

Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow NYC

SREF:  1.5 / 14.1
NAM: 2.3 / 22.3
ICON: 1.8 / 16.7
RGEM: 1.0 / 9.2
GFS: 1.9 / 19.1
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.6 / 16

Update GFS / GFS AI AIGFS

[weathermedic]

It’s quite possible this will develop an eye like feature on Monday