Neblizzard Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Nibor said: A measly 32-34 hour storm , with 12-16 hours of chaos. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 JB WAS RIGHT 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Because we deserve this… 7 3 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: You really have to wonder if the American guidance is overdoing it since nothing else is that extreme. Obviously it's still going to be a tremendous storm with over a foot for most of the area. Only time will tell. What I can say is everything has trended towards the gfs and hasn't stopped yet. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Mr. G just said lasting until Monday night possibly Tuesday morning. He also chuckled at his own snow map and basically said yeaa those numbers will be going up...he knows...lol 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Keeeps a snowing until early Monday afternoon 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS brought the eggs. Just need the Euro to go ham and we've got an omelette! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 968! Hold Me Wow. CCB death bands will be impressive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 00z GFS Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 00z Snow 10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: The banding def looks like it shifted north this run it would move south. Honestly I think these bands are only modeled better by the very short range models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, Neblizzard said: A measly 32-34 hour storm , with 12-16 hours of chaos. I’m of the opinion that this could be preeeeeeeety preeeeeety pretty good? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 warm seclusion 17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 *bookmarking for future less than 36 hours out both American models have me at 18+ and in Morris county *shrug* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, David-LI said: it would move south. Honestly I think these bands are only modeled better by the very short range models. There’s no way at this point to predict where the death bands set up. That’ll be the HRRR maybe 12 hours out. We’re all in the game for a historic outcome. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 00z GFS AI AIGFS Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 Snow 10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Santa Claus said: a lot of people in the area are not at all ready for or expecting that if NAM and GFS verifies yes it would be bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I’ll have to look but anyone have good analogs to this setup-maybe Feb 1978 (seriously)? I'd have to say not far off the mark with 2/78. Same general evolution. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 00z Summary Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow NYC SREF: 1.5 / 14.1 NAM: 2.3 / 22.3 ICON: 1.8 / 16.7 RGEM: 1.0 / 9.2 GFS: 1.9 / 19.1 GFS AI AIGFS: 1.6 / 16 Update GFS / GFS AI AIGFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 It’s quite possible this will develop an eye like feature on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Here comes Lee Goldberg updates! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Canadian running, hopefully it trends tucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Such textbook synoptics. The NAM and GFS progs are extreme, upper echelon - but think of it this way, 75% of that sort of outcome is still a crusher. Def wish my work schedule lined up in a way that I could have flown out to experience it. January 96 was a seminal event on my path towards becoming a NWS met.Ironically enough, during 2006 I was up skiing at Whiteface where we just had cirrus up there. And then in 2016 I had already been in the Chicago area for 5.5 years. Did get to experience the Feb 2010 craziness after missing the early month 'snowmageddon' and happened to be back in NYC during Nemo in 2013. Here's to an all timer for the area. 8 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
njwx7 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 CMC coming in more amped as well 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 8 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I’ll have to look but anyone have good analogs to this setup-maybe Feb 1978 (seriously)? None of these really fit. Many of those events surprisingly did jackpot areas just inland a bit but the systems were not this deep. https://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=EC&fhr=F048&rundt=2026022100&map=thbCOOP72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 LOL at Lee Goldberg calling for 8 - 12 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 ABC 7 Lee Goldberg increased totals. 8-12 city, 10-15 east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 What a beauty. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 lee has the city in the 8-12 inch range now why i feel these weather tv mets are still playing catchup.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Canadian running, hopefully it trends tucked It follows the rgem so expect it to look pretty similar to that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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