Is we back? February discussion thread

[ma blizzard]

32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro and euro ai trying to bring it back later this week 

we take the Euro Op 

still a lot of spread .. CMC says what storm and the GFS is amped 

also another SWFE next Monday! shaping up to be a weenie op run  

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Could scrap for a couple of inches mid week here and then maybe a modest paste dump Friday night? 

[dendrite]

30 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

we take the Euro Op 

[OrangeCTWX]

12 hours ago, tunafish said:

How, on the eve of a HECS, does one possibly find themselves so downtrodden they are reduced to looking at D11 2m temp maps?  

Look... I'm here, too, losering it up, so I can say that.

12°F

LOL touché.  

[VivaManchVegas]

The cold is effing relentless.  I though next week was going warm... the Euro says niet. 

[VivaManchVegas]

4 hours ago, mahk_webstah said:

Kearsarge? 

[MJO812]

Euro is pretty snow for you guys gojng  forward

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Euro is pretty snow for you guys gojng  forward

Yes but we won’t be able to really look at it til Tuesday 

[MJO812]

[SJonesWX]

3 hours ago, mahk_webstah said:

I’ve never tried to look for my house from there.

I wouldn’t even know which direction to look lol. been up there many times, there are several ski areas that you can see, and I’ve never been able to figure out which is which. Pats and Crotched for sure

[Prismshine Productions]

Could scrap for a couple of inches mid week here and then maybe a modest paste dump Friday night? 

That's my thoughts buddy

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[MJO812]

[Damage In Tolland]

4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Euro is pretty snow for you guys gojng  forward

Yeah it’s had that look now for several days 

[Ginx snewx]

Ack killing it Euro 27th

[H2Otown_WX]

28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Ack killing it Euro 27th

From rain to suppression depression? Can't trust that model at all anymore. Might as well stick with new king JMA.

[mahk_webstah]

Sheesh so much for a good stretch up here. Everything trending south.

[dendrite]

33 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Sheesh so much for a good stretch up here. Everything trending south.

Yeah I’m ready to get put out of my misery

[mahk_webstah]

16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah I’m ready to get put out of my misery

Yes. Unless we can somehow pull off a large storm next week then I’d prefer to spring melt and plant. It’s been a pretty good winter. What’s your snow total? I haven’t calculated mine.

[wokeupthisam]

It's been deep winter up here for 3 months.  So if we miss on more snow the next two weeks I'm good.  Ready to track thru the pack in the woods, tap the maples and get going on spring.   

[JJBASHB]

The south trend has been unstoppable this year.  I’m ready for 40s and mist while YUL is 75.  

[Typhoon Tip]

Indexes broadly like March 10 as the end.  It's obviously negotiable at this time range, but in so far as seeking a spring thrust ... on or around then.   Melt and mud season sets in. 

Prior to, there's a signal for activity between 2nd and 5th of March.  There's smaller sub-index variety maintenance disturbances ( ex, this Friday) prior to, but a larger retirement party correction event could manifest during that first week.    

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Friday looks South now.  Maybe 1”-2” on Wednesday? 

[SJonesWX]

1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said:

Yes. Unless we can somehow pull off a large storm next week then I’d prefer to spring melt and plant. It’s been a pretty good winter. What’s your snow total? I haven’t calculated mine.

You didn’t ask me, but going into today I’m at 60”, about 10” of average. that said, it’s been a fantastic snowpack year, best in many years.

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Friday looks South now.  Maybe 1”-2” on Wednesday? 

Both seem good for SNE

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, wokeupthisam said:

It's been deep winter up here for 3 months.  So if we miss on more snow the next two weeks I'm good.  Ready to track thru the pack in the woods, tap the maples and get going on spring.   

Sap isn’t flowing yet?

[Baroclinic Zone]

So we got a couple more snowers this week…?

[Typhoon Tip]

40 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

So we got a couple more snowers this week…?

Honestly they look like nuisance events.  

The fast moving thing on Wed appears to be a diffusely defined polar warm front-cold front bundle relaying through at the speed of CC baseline fast velocity (haha). It's not even modeled to have much QPF and it really shouldn't given that sort of synoptic passage. 

The one on Friday has trended S, because it is trading amplitude. It is weaker,  to the point of being a fast narrow almost ANA ribbon look.  That's usually one step away from capitulating to oblivion. Those don't typically do more than cost windshield detergent as one keeps up with grimy road mist.  If it comes back a little more, it's still moving fast in a progressive foot and just has too low of a ceiling to matter.  If it comes back even more... maybe fast moving overrunning deal.   

 

[dryslot]

34 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Sap isn’t flowing yet?

It should be on these warmer days near 40 with below freezing nights.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, SJonesWX said:

You didn’t ask me, but going into today I’m at 60”, about 10” of average. that said, it’s been a fantastic snowpack year, best in many years.

Yeah, I’m about 8”-10” below average here still but there has been snow on the ground almost continuously since early December. 

[wokeupthisam]

51 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Sap isn’t flowing yet?

 

16 minutes ago, dryslot said:

It should be on these warmer days near 40 with below freezing nights.

Yeah it has but no good runs yet, that'll change fast by this time next week I think.  I've got about 75 trees to tap and it's all buckets, so won't take me long to get 'em in when it looks like they're ready to run good...