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Is we back? February discussion thread


mahk_webstah
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3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I can see it now 18z gfs is a bit closer then 18z AIFS and euro show a region wide 15-30” just for it to be gone on all guidance at 00z and this verifies as a shredded non phasing POS . 

This.

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3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I can see it now 18z gfs is a bit closer then 18z AIFS and euro show a region wide 15-30” just for it to be gone on all guidance at 00z and this verifies as a shredded non phasing POS . 

What did i say just a few hours ago lol...more teases coming

We'll see more today and tonight. 

Every day the euro suite is baiting us.

ecmwf-aifs-all-east-t850_mslp_prcp6hr-1770897600-1771243200-1771243200-40.thumb.gif.e9c9eda21324ce1ebfe9e3b4695c42a4.gif

 

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3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

What did i say just a few hours ago lol...more teases coming

We'll see more today and tonight. 

Every day the euro suite is baiting us.

ecmwf-aifs-all-east-t850_mslp_prcp6hr-1770897600-1771243200-1771243200-40.thumb.gif.e9c9eda21324ce1ebfe9e3b4695c42a4.gif

 

Interesting how a more phased system really pulls that cold air in from the northern stream. 

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Did a pack check at my hood. 14 to 15 inches on average. Some spots a little more that were more shaded some spots a little less that had a lot of sun. And my parents is about 15 to 17 inches. Some spots closer to 20 inches that were protected and the spots in the sun less.

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Based on this year, you might lean a bit towards the AI models. But I think that’s probably only true when the set up supports them and I think what I’m hearing the meteorologists and really smart hobbyists say that the setup doesn’t support the better outcomes.

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I don't know if this is necessarily about bringing the storm more north as much as it is building a precipitation shield farther poleward due to better dynamics. That's probably something to watch for. There really is little to support the storm bumping north, however, if we can increase the dynamics a bit (with assistance from a better northern stream) we might be able to build some light precip into the region.  

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16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Did a pack check at my hood. 14 to 15 inches on average. Some spots a little more that were more shaded some spots a little less that had a lot of sun. And my parents is about 15 to 17 inches. Some spots closer to 20 inches that were protected and the spots in the sun less.

CC helping there more so than in CT ?

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