Is we back? February discussion thread

[SouthCoastMA]

The Canadian ensembles might be the northern outliers now, while the EPS did a sharper cave back to consensus. 

[Torch Tiger]

20 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I get the game. It a high reward/low risk gamble he's playing..but imagine it does comes back. To him, its worth the glory in the face of all the naysayers. 

i wouldn't completely rule out a scrape or it coming back a bit more. aren't the s/w's we're tracking like 5000 mi. away? or even developed?  is everything properly sampled yet? 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

W MA is definitely falling behind the rest of MA with seasonal snow totals. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Sneakily light snows Friday night/ early Saturday?

[Damage In Tolland]

30 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Yes, I don't think there is any one model that is currently more superior to the others, enough to trust on an island. Maybe the AI ones get there at some point. I'm just glad the Euro pulled the rug cleanly at 12z, rather than stringing some along painfully like late January. 

With such intriguing EPS members, too soon to write it off .we wait till tomorrow afternoon 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

30 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I get the game. It a high reward/low risk gamble he's playing..but imagine it does comes back. To him, its worth the glory in the face of all the naysayers. 

Yea we all know his game. We don’t need Bill Bellichek scouting in binoculars to figure out the KFS tendencies.

[SouthCoastMA]

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea we all know his game. We don’t need Bill Bellichek scouting in binoculars to figure out the KFS tendencies.

Any idea when the AIKFS will be deployed

[SouthCoastMA]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

With such intriguing EPS members, too soon to write it off .we wait till tomorrow afternoon 

compare 6z to 12z..big cave. maybe hang your hat on some of the CMC ensembles 

[codfishsnowman]

36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

W MA is definitely falling behind the rest of MA with seasonal snow totals. 

Supposedly I average 50 inches a year

 Didn't hit that in 19-20 with the big early season storm and didn't hit that in the 17-18 winter even with the March and April that everyone goes bananas over but it really was lousy here in death valley 

I have not been over 50 inches since 2014-2015.

I think the last season around 50 inches was ,2016-2017 primarily due to two good size events....one in February and one in March.

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, codfishsnowman said:

Supposedly I average 50 inches a year

 Didn't hit that in 19-20 with the big early season storm and didn't hit that in the 17-18 winter even with the March and April that everyone goes bananas over but it really was lousy here in death valley 

I have not been over 50 inches since 2014-2015.

I think the last season around 50 inches was ,2016-2017 primarily due to two good size events....one in February and one in March.

Those two storms in Feb and March in the 2016-2017 winter, remind me of the same storm…they were quite similar in their amounts and I think of them as very much twins for some reason. 

[SnoSki14]

2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

The low SST’s this year should make for a tantalizingly miserable April for some folks.  Bwah ha ha…

Only if there's a lot of easterly flow which isn't guaranteed. 

[Lava Rock]

40f next week going to feel like a heat wave

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[dryslot]

10 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

40f next week going to feel like a heat wave

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

Heading back up next week to camp, You going?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Lots of oft and  on snow showers the past two hours from the lake streamers.

It’s only amounted to a coating but still winter appeal.

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Lots of oft and  on snow showers the past two hours from the lake streamers.

It’s only amounted to a coating but still winter appeal.

Same here 

[ineedsnow]

18z EPS has more hits compared to 12z

[kdxken]

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z EPS has more hits compared to 12z

Can you post those really teeny maps please? I need a headache.

[The 4 Seasons]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z EPS has more hits compared to 12z

AIEPS is pretty beefed up again... thats all thats loaded so far on wxbell no regular EPS yet, this storm wont die lol. i feel like more teases are coming tonight and tomorrow...

 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Can you post those really teeny maps please? I need a headache.

12z had 2

18z much better. Enjoy 

[VivaManchVegas]

Little dust up coming through with flakes and graupel. 33.1.  Hit 38 today. Hoping for a warm up to kill the 5 " ice damns.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

It does almost every year....the question is are we going to keep the continuous winter train going or is the ride mostly over and then we're just mixing in stat padders in March/April. Could go either way....some years like this died a slow death in late Feb/early Mar (like 2011)....while others went gangbusters (2001)....some gave us faux spring and then went gangbusters back to winter afterward (2017 and 2018 both did this)

2015 was a slow death.

[40/70 Benchmark]

33 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z EPS has more hits compared to 12z

Gonna take a pretty compelling development to pull me back in on that.

[dendrite]

On/off hour waxing and waning of the euro products again?

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

On/off hour waxing and waning of the euro products again?

seems like it though 00z was the big "on" one last night and then 6z backed off slightly then 12z now 18z is back up again..

[The 4 Seasons]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

2015 was a slow death.

for you, yeah, for the S. coast and CT  we had a storm in late feb that was near warning, then a warning event in march 1 then march 4-5th then another boarderline warning event on march 21st. 

id also add 2021 and 2014 to that list. 2014 was painful watching the march storm slip away with virtually nothing in march and 2021 ended abruptly around Feb 22nd with a rogue interior event in late april. 

[The 4 Seasons]

damn this storm

[HIPPYVALLEY]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Gonna take a pretty compelling development to pull me back in in that.

Hopefully, a little model tuggie tug tonight gets things moving for you…

[ineedsnow]

8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

damn this storm

@Damage In Tolland 

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Hopefully, a little model tuggie tug tonight gets things moving for you…

I need consistency and consensus....too much volatility. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

for you, yeah, for the S. coast and CT  we had a storm in late feb that was near warning, then a warning event in march 1 then march 4-5th then another boarderline warning event on march 21st. 

id also add 2021 and 2014 to that list. 2014 was painful watching the march storm slip away with virtually nothing in march and 2021 ended abruptly around Feb 22nd with a rogue interior event in late april. 

Yea, March 2014 was awful.