Is we back? February discussion thread

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, TheBudMan said:

That would be great NNE gets whacked while Kev sobs giant tears and joins TeamTorch 

Why? That would crush all of SNE

[weatherwiz]

Another thing to factor into the Sunday/Monday ordeal too is this is really going to be the first system in quite some time that is convectively active across the deep South and that is something that could negatively influence the northern side of the storm and have much moisture/QPF is really available. 

[SouthCoastMA]

UKMET looks slightly better, but still offshore. 

Going to need to see some other models come more on board at 18z/0z or the Euro is likely toast. The EuroAI may be telling in a few minutes. 

[Torch Tiger]

Euro ai already ran.. looks like crap 

[Torch Tiger]

Oops on mobile I need glasses, that was aigfs lol

[MJO812]

Gefs improved 

[NeonPeon]

The snow is melting super fast here. Don't think my track will make it through the week, even with the nighttime lows. Sun angle is real.

[dendrite]

Send some of that sun up here. 31.9°

[Great Snow 1717]

4 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

The snow is melting super fast here. Don't think my track will make it through the week, even with the nighttime lows. Sun angle is real.

Do you mean pack?

[Kitz Craver]

Cloudy and chilly here in ACATT

[WinterWolf]

36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Had a feeling this would happen. Every single warmup since October this has happened 

WTTTE…

[SouthCoastMA]

41.4° - feels like early April!

[NeonPeon]

2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Do you mean pack?

Cross country ski track. I've been doing like 7 km a day a block from my house.

But same difference.

[Torch Tiger]

27 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Euro ai already ran.. looks like crap 

ended up being correct anyway 

[40/70 Benchmark]

42 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I've been very confused about this. 

Where has all the talk come from about muting warm ups all winter? Outside of that stretch we had in January, I don't think there's been any [realistic] signals of any "warmups". I mean I suppose you can quantify this week as a "warmup" though its still below climo. Where between January and up until now has there been any true warmups signaled? And 2m temperature anomaly maps from a few OP runs

Yea, the mid January warm up got stronger...it's just not readily apparent because maxes weren't that high..it was more mins..there was also one in early December that did get muted somewhat.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Skynet ticked se. 

[Kitz Craver]

Start of the cave I’m guessing

[mahk_webstah]

Euro ai still south for Sunday Monday but also shows energy passing through ne . You wonder if that could phase in.  20th looks strange.  E to w across lower Midwest and redevelops of nj but then heads se 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I definitely ain't afraid of this ghost.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Euro ai still south for Sunday Monday but also shows emoji passing through legal. You wonder if that could phase in.  20th looks strange.  E to w across lower Midwest and redevelops of nj but then heads se 

How the hell does an emoji pass through legal, and what does that have to do with snow in Methuen?

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

How the hell does an emoji pass through legal, and what does that have to do with snow in Methuen?

Lol I fixed it

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, Kitz Craver said:

If the EURO steps towards the other guidance, even the slightest tick, could be time to get the Elmer’s out

Do you sniff to drown your sorrows?  Not me, I whiff only to celebrate the good times.

[ineedsnow]

Euro meh

[MJO812]

Euro is just a trash model these days. Aifs ensembles also trended south

[40/70 Benchmark]

Yea, def. caving.

[kdxken]

39° and clouds but the melt is real.

[dryslot]

Focus on the period around the 19th, The 16th is fools gold.

[brooklynwx99]

why even look at the euro do this shit when you have the AIFS

[MJO812]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

why even look at the euro do this shit when you have the AIFS

Aifs has been way better 

[kdxken]

45 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Oops on mobile I need glasses, that was aigfs lol

Accuracy is a must while trolling.