NEG NAO Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: my question is what's stopping this from running inland? this 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We still have some blocking The preceding wave also shifts the boundary further east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 9 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: my forecast for the week We all post things that are sometimes useless to the average reader but your percentage is getting a little too high. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: We all post things that are sometimes useless to the average reader but your percentage is getting a little too high. thank you for that! you motivate me to keep going. I won't post it here any longer though 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro looks similar to CMC and is a miss! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: thank you for that! you motivate me to keep going. I won't post it here any longer though The New England forum loves your posts. Maybe it's time to share some with them. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 17 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: my forecast for the week Why are you putting snow amounts for something a week away? Just stick to chance of snow or something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: Euro looks similar to CMC and is a miss! Which is exactly the reason why we need to wait until 0z Wednesday night before we take anything seriously. It’s going to be model mayhem at this range, to be expected. You have models showing a major snowstorm, a blizzard, a near miss and no storm at all. You aren’t going to get anything close to consensus right now 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: The New England forum loves your posts. Maybe it's time to share some with them. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Meh. He’s doin what he loves. Leave him alone. Even if it is completely insane. next time just put “chance of snow” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 10 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: Euro looks similar to CMC and is a miss! Eps is more amplified than the op. Red flag 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Eps is more amplified than the op. Red flag thats why ensembles are important at this range 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 27 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: We all post things that are sometimes useless to the average reader but your percentage is getting a little too high. I don't mind it. The enthusiasm and the good natured way he takes the criticism is better than a lot of us. One quibble, and happy to be corrected by anyone on this: It's "Wintry" not "Wintery" right? Always bugs me when I see it written the latter way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This one is going to require fairly perfect timing of the western ridge building. Pretty much any delay in that or any unforseen disturbance at this time flattening that ridge will kill this. I think it'll be Thursday before we know much 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Love him or hate him, DT has a very good point here. This is a very interesting read with facts to back it up. This may be the reason why we are seeing so many completely different solutions and flip flopping run to run with multiple models. We have many weather balloon sites permanently down right now in important areas of the CONUS due to budget cuts. It definitely makes sense. Worth the read: 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said: I don't mind it. The enthusiasm and the good natured way he takes the criticism is better than a lot of us. One quibble, and happy to be corrected by anyone on this: It's "Wintry" not "Wintery" right? Always bugs me when I see it written the latter way. thanks I think you're right that's a typo, it should be Wintry mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 37 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: We all post things that are sometimes useless to the average reader but your percentage is getting a little too high. Actually CP …. WG’s efforts bring back TV show memories from my youth. Raul Dahl ‘Way Out’ and even the Outer Limits and they were fun to watch. Stay well, as always….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago really nice configuration on the AIFS-EPS synoptically... Pacific trough is spiking a ridge over MT, decaying block over SE Canada with confluence, and vort amping underneath the block. one of the better setups we've had recently 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 16 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Love him or hate him, DT has a very good point here. This is a very interesting read with facts to back it up. This may be the reason why we are seeing so many completely different solutions and flip flopping run to run with multiple models. We have many weather balloon sites permanently down right now in important areas of the CONUS due to budget cuts. It definitely makes sense. Worth the read: maybe that's why the models have been all over the place this winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 20 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Love him or hate him, DT has a very good point here. This is a very interesting read with facts to back it up. This may be the reason why we are seeing so many completely different solutions and flip flopping run to run with multiple models. We have many weather balloon sites permanently down right now in important areas of the CONUS due to budget cuts. It definitely makes sense. Worth the read: can't read it its blocked but probably he said there will be no storm or rain plus he just put a video out a few days ago saying nothing through March 1 -thats why you are posting it ? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Which is exactly the reason why we need to wait until 0z Wednesday night before we take anything seriously. It’s going to be model mayhem at this range, to be expected. You have models showing a major snowstorm, a blizzard, a near miss and no storm at all. You aren’t going to get anything close to consensus right now Cmc ensembles show the coastal . Op is wrong. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc ensembles show the coastal . Op is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Which is exactly the reason why we need to wait until 0z Wednesday night before we take anything seriously. It’s going to be model mayhem at this range, to be expected. You have models showing a major snowstorm, a blizzard, a near miss and no storm at all. You aren’t going to get anything close to consensus right now Agree, possibly even waiting till 00z Thursday. Have to get more sampling in the next few model runs and the players on the field. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, coastalplainsnowman said: I don't mind it. The enthusiasm and the good natured way he takes the criticism is better than a lot of us. One quibble, and happy to be corrected by anyone on this: It's "Wintry" not "Wintery" right? Always bugs me when I see it written the latter way. Very true, that's why you can't hate the guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 31 minutes ago Share Posted 31 minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago 2 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: This one is going to require fairly perfect timing of the western ridge building. Pretty much any delay in that or any unforseen disturbance at this time flattening that ridge will kill this. I think it'll be Thursday before we know much Hmmm, sounds like this applies to any potential snow situation? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted 11 minutes ago Share Posted 11 minutes ago Bozeman today. looks and feels like summer here. sunny and 60. not a flake of snow. Jives with my last few SLC trips. Under an inch for season. Devastating winter out west and a summer water crisis coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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