Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[MJO812]

Ukie way west of 12z

[weathafella]

41 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ukie way west of 12z

The flounder are worried…

[40/70 Benchmark]

45 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ukie way west of 12z

Where was it, Britain?

[SnoSki14]

There's a follow up system that has more potential imo

[HIPPYVALLEY]

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Where was it, Britain?

Thanks, just spit my beverage all over the keyboard. 

[Greg]

Well, this may be nothing, but the Euro actually looks decent. But that it is pretty much the only model holding serve right now.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

27 minutes ago, Greg said:

Well, this may be nothing, but the Euro actually looks decent. But that it is pretty much the only model holding serve right now.

Verbatim, would get  some accumulating snow pretty far west.

[George001]

I’m not buying this eastern trend at all. Something big is going to happen this weekend.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, George001 said:

I’m not buying this eastern trend at all. Something big is going to happen this weekend.

Something different from what the models are showing right now is going to happen for sure.
I’m not convinced it will be big for us, but they are definitely going to be some surprises over the next 48 hours.

[Roger Smith]

Buy citrus soon, prices will skyrocket next week. (Florida freeze coming)

[vortex95]

An atypical thing about this storm, it deeply occludes rather far S for a coastal storm (~35N) and has multiple low centers strung out SW to NE, so you will have a huge swath of heavy precip NW of the center, pivoting slowly.  How much this pivot is obviously is key (pivotal!?).  It can be one of those things, once you are in it, you are in it for awhile, yet not to far NW, just internment flakes in a dry stiff wind.  So very sharp snowfall gradients as possible.

Among the best snowfall gradient storm for eastern MA occurred 2/9/1987.  I got 2" in Woburn MA w/ no real wind, and CHH had 23.4" w/ frequent gusts 60-70 kt.  Second Cape Cod-only blizzard in two weeks!  A 7-year old CoastalWx was NOT happy!   But I was not either, even though 1986-87 was a good winter (only one from 1984-85 to 1991-92), it could have been *much* better!
 

[DavisStraight]

30 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

Buy citrus soon, prices will skyrocket next week. (Florida freeze coming)

Go long frozen concentrated orange juice.

[bristolri_wx]

[Abbyme24]

4 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya, all two of em. 

Make that three of us! 

This forum I guess is the closest thing to discussion for Atlantic Canada. It’s my first winter up here since moving from MA, there seems to be less interest in chasing winter weather. 

[ineedsnow]

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

 

The dearth of posts overnight said it all.

Only 5 of those have any impact up this way.  I knew it was a long-shot; this seals the deal.

[CoastalWx]

Not the best looks overnight. 

[ineedsnow]

14 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

 

The death of posts overnight said it all.

Only 5 of those have any impact up this way.  I knew it was a long-shot; this seals the deal.

I'll give it until 12z today but could even see changes after that.. if we get that low to the east to change up a bit i think we could move this much further west

[MJO812]

Off hour runs suck. Never trust them. 

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Off hour runs suck. Never trust them. 

yep i knew that 18Z EC/EPS was bullshit. its been happening all winter...watch 6Z come back again. 

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not the best looks overnight. 

Ok, this time i think it's safe to say she's gone, though for you, you might be scraped. For CT its gone. 

[ineedsnow]

-14 didn't  see that coming.. maybe when the snow melts we can look forward to ice jams.. 6Z GFS was meh

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

yep i knew that 18Z EC/EPS was bullshit. its been happening all winter...watch 6Z come back again. 

Ok, this time i think it's safe to say she's gone, though for you, you might be scraped. For CT its gone. 

Very weird but its over for us

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

yep i knew that 18Z EC/EPS was bullshit. its been happening all winter...watch 6Z come back again. 

Ok, this time i think it's safe to say she's gone, though for you, you might be scraped. For CT its gone. 

She about gone here. 

[dendrite]

WTTTE

[NeonPeon]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

-14 didn't  see that coming.. maybe when the snow melts we can look forward to ice jams.. 6Z GFS was meh

Wasn't just meh, it's really odd.

It suggests near concurrent bombogensis for two competing lows as part of the same energy 

It then resolves the two into one lobular thing.

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

She about gone here. 

kevin will hold on to the sinking ship to the bitter end though 

[ineedsnow]

6 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

Wasn't just meh, it's really odd.

It suggests near concurrent bombogensis for two competing lows as part of the same energy 

It then resolves the two into one lobular thing.

Thinking one takes over and models are having a tough time figuring out what to do.. or I could be wrong and we get two that go OTS 

[ineedsnow]

GEFS meh

[The 4 Seasons]

great consistency.

sometimes i think we should have stuck to having it run 2X/day, same with the GFS. The mesos can run 4X so we have more up to the hour information getting close to a storm <60hrs or so. 

 

[Kitz Craver]

This thing is cooked. Multiple lows suck, always screws a good event.