Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 20 minutes ago, weathafella said: Nor is op euro. Gfs at 0Z seems alone. But it’s pretty early still so we stay the course. I accidentally booked my car at RSW for Monday evening vs our scheduled arrival Sunday. I told my wife it’s easier to leave it be until we’re sure we’re getting out Sunday. Its 125 miles west of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 00z EPS pretty close to 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 EPS followed the Euro with a marked improvement to the NW. One more run like that and much of E MA will be sharing the cape's good stuff. I was comparing to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 28 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Any mention of the 00z ICON-EPS? solid hit over eastern areas. Soon we'll be reduced to tracking westward movements on the JMA model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 hours ago, tiger_deF said: Soon we'll be reduced to tracking westward movements on the JMA model Rule number one of weenie forecasting: Ride the model that provides snow. Rule number two of weenie forecasting: Toss anything that doesn't. Rule number three of weenie forecasting: Say "these always come north/south/east/west" (whichever correction says snow. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 BOX tosses weenies--at least for SE areas. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Blustery and not as cool with lows 10 to 15. Temperature rising into the lower 20s after midnight. Sunday Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Snow may be heavy at times. Windy with highs around 30. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Windy with lows around 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: BOX tosses weenies--at least for SE areas. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Blustery and not as cool with lows 10 to 15. Temperature rising into the lower 20s after midnight. Sunday Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Snow may be heavy at times. Windy with highs around 30. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Windy with lows around 20. New Pit 1 might not be so bad after all! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 12 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Rule number one of weenie forecasting: Ride the model that provides snow. Rule number two of weenie forecasting: Toss anything that doesn't. Rule number three of weenie forecasting: Say "these always come north/south/east/west" (whichever correction says snow. You forgot rule four: If I'm in an area less likely to be affected, there is no storm for anyone. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 14 hours ago, Henry's Weather said: Tonight I think it’s full OTS on operationals but ensembles only get marginally worse. Tomorrow night, thinfs will start to tick back All part of my plan… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 GFS OTS but what is that piece of energy coming in from Quebec.. its looks like it originated from the North Atlantic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Greenland Air Force? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 If this ends up scraping, the GFS needs to be retired, that would be 4 medium range busts/caves in a row. Still have 84-96 hours to get it 75 miles west for most of us though so we track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Meh trends overnight. Still have a few cycles though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Euro is further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, MJO812 said: Euro is further west Ya looks a good amount better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Really nice hit for the Cape on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 It is pretty clear for me after the overnight runs that we are not in the game up here. I still think though, because this will get northerly component and not just slide east that the eastern parts particularly of southern New England are still going to have a decent snowstorm and I think it’ll trend in that direction. Best I can hope for us maybe 2 to 4 inches if lucky. Bummer because it’s fun to get back to back big storms, but it’ll probably snow again in the next 10 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 This thing is causing model mayhem, so much flip flopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Damn high stakes for ENE .. Flip flopping continues ENE - equal odds for either: 1. Major hit 2. light to moderate blow 3. Scrape miss West of River - 50% miss/scrape 30% light to mod hit 20% major hit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Euro is snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 6z euro AI out to sea. She gone. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 lol…that CMC low looked tropical forming in convection over the gulf stream. 100kt at 925 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 6z euro AI out to sea. She gone. Not for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 We don’t have a February thread and we probably should. There are I’m sure other dates of interest for early February. I can start it but it’s not like I have any meteorological knowledge to add. But I’ll do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Wonky Euro track , Bombs and stalls off Hatteras, goes ENE then curls back in .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Not for you 50/50. Don’t like seeing euro AI pretty much a whiff. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, CoastalWx said: 50/50. Don’t like seeing euro AI pretty much a whiff. 6z Euro jeus cristi Scooter where ya gonna put the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, CoastalWx said: 50/50. Don’t like seeing euro AI pretty much a whiff. 50/50 it’s pretty good when it comes to intense coastal storms. But are you becoming one of these AI tech icons? Don’t forget the rest of us back here in the real world where people live not robots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z euro AI out to sea. She gone. You said that about the last storm and then look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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