psuhoffman Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 14 minutes ago, bncho said: why would you mention my username So we know who to sacrifice when it doesn’t snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 7 hours ago Author Share Posted 7 hours ago 2 hours ago, bncho said: why would you mention my username Spunky for a newbie to open a thread; but we need some new energy!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago All of the models are too warm with their surface temps for this weekend..and here's why: Their snow cover estimates are too aggressive with melting. They're assuming typical snow density and compaction. They can't handle the slow pace of north facing snowcrete melt-off. Please hit the hot dog emoji 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Man does the long range look bad on long range models.. +EPO has the chance of making it warmer than average the last week of Feb possibly into early March. The Euro weeklies are warm through March 15th. MJO going through Phases 3-6 is a warm composite in late Feb/early March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Euro continues to show a shot at 60s Feb 19-20.. Sounding is 67F around DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Euro continues to show a shot at 60s Feb 19-20.. Sounding is 67F around DC Can’t say I’m surprised. Feb-Mar usually torches during a Nina, with a few exceptions. In fact this was baked into my winter outlook. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Euro continues to show a shot at 60s Feb 19-20.. Sounding is 67F around DC Yep, and on the same Euro run 5 days later there are these temp anomalies. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS pops a fantasy storm Day 10. All I take that to mean is it’s not a shutout pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: GFS pops a fantasy storm Day 10. All I take that to mean is it’s not a shutout pattern. @CAPE Storm is back?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 29 minutes ago Share Posted 29 minutes ago 58 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @CAPE Storm is back?? I've been posting about that period in the other thread. The 'good' pattern has been getting delayed a bit but beyond the 20th has been looking more favorable on the ens means, with hints of storms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted 1 minute ago Share Posted 1 minute ago 28 minutes ago, CAPE said: I've been posting about that period in the other thread. The 'good' pattern has been getting delayed a bit but beyond the 20th has been looking more favorable on the ens means, with hints of storms. But Chuck says July and August are looking warm though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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