“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco

[8611Blizz]

GFS doesn't stop until 00z Tuesday.  Means I'll get home sometime on Wednesday ! LOL

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

I doubt this storm will have those types of crazy snowfall gradients. There will obviously be some enhanced areas but prob more like someone getting 19” or 20” versus 15” instead of 25-burgers 10 miles away from a foot. 

The massive thump should be relatively uniform 10-15” and then anything on top of that will probably be Monday onshore flow stuff. 

Yea, I was being facetious with those comps, but I would still like to avoid getting 15" while Norwell gets 27". That said, it definitely wouldn't induce a melt with another shot on the horizon.

[dryslot]

Last 5 runs of the GFS has a been a a slow tic north and bump up on qpf.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Canadian coming in further south with thermals.

[40/70 Benchmark]

If I were the Pats, I would have practiced in Denver all week to get acclimated to the altitude and avoid the travel delays.

[DomNH]

QPF distribution on that GFS run looks more like the Euro. Like to see it. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If I were the Pats, I would have practiced in Denver all week to get acclimated to the altitude and avoid the travel delays.

Yup

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Canadian coming in further south with thermals.

Seems less dynamic as well. QPF cut back

[SouthCoastMA]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Canadian coming in further south with thermals.

Saw that. Looked great wrt to keeping it 95% snow. Agreed it did cut back on qpf though. Low went weaker ( 998 to 1000mb. 

[TalcottWx]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

The coastal front is going to be insane. I think we know where the jackpot zone is going to be

Scott has a real chance. 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Seems less dynamic as well. QPF cut back

GGEM QPF kinda looks like that rufus run

[CoastalWx]

Canadian and Reggie both have weird mini max and mins.

[SeanInWayland]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If I were the Pats, I would have practiced in Denver all week to get acclimated to the altitude and avoid the travel delays.

This has been hashed out endlessly in football forums far and wide. It apparently takes about 1 1/2 weeks until the acclimation process kicks in to the point you are better off. Short of that, you are best off getting there the day before.

[DomNH]

Yeah the maple models have a weird look. Lots of local max/mins. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

12z GEFS bumping up QPF over eastern areas

[TalcottWx]

Tumble down shack in Big Foot county
Snowed so hard that the roof caved in
Delilah Jones went to meet her God
And the old man never was the same again

[40/70 Benchmark]

14 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

Scott has a real chance. 

EURO and some TV outlets have it by me Sunday night before collapsing Monday.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Weird Canadian run, seems like the true heavy stuff stays offshore. 
 

all relative of course, still prints out over an inch of qpf in eastern areas 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Gfs is incredible here. 1.5” qpf all snow 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

EURO and some TV outlets have it by me Sunday night before collapsing Monday.

CF will push to near you for sure..probably for several hours. 

[wx2fish]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

EURO and some TV outlets have it by me Sunday night before collapsing Monday.

Yeah the euro basically gets the CF to the NH border for a while. Itll be interesting to see the high res models when were in range. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Solid GEFS.

[dendrite]

Ukie with a 0.50” of QPF for NYC. 

[Ginx snewx]

25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

EURO matches my forecast best RN.

IMHO Rather than your maxes N to south banding should be more orientated like this OES could max coast EMA TO 2FT. But we all know Hubbdave wins 

[MJO812]

Just now, dendrite said:

Ukie with a 0.50” of QPF for NYC. 

It has been doing that. Weird glitch. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I was being facetious with those comps, but I would still like to avoid getting 15" while Norwell gets 27". That said, it definitely wouldn't induce a melt with another shot on the horizon.

This is one of those occasions where your spot is probably more favorable than mine.    Ratios might help me a little but it’s not like you are getting paste. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, wx2fish said:

Yeah the euro basically gets the CF to the NH border for a while. Itll be interesting to see the high res models when were in range. 

I'd rather see it get west of me than stay well east TBH....last think I want is it pinned inside of 128.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

IMHO Rather than your maxes N to south banding should be more orientated like this OES could max coast EMA TO 2FT. But we all know Hubbdave wins 

The N to S bands over interior are orographically enhanced due to onshore H850 inflow.

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Ukie with a 0.50” of QPF for NYC. 

What a crush job for Scooter that run. 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The N to S bands over interior are orographically enhanced due to onshore H850 inflow.

Its a hybrid east se flow someone like Scooter Tim Marshfield get obliterated