“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco

[codfishsnowman]

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

hm... man, relative to ambient surface pressure ( super synoptic foot at the time of this...) these sub 990mb members oblonging the spread back west on the GEFs are an impressive implication ... these are new as of this morning... 06z had more than 00z, but we're adding to

I think there's gotta be an upper limit to how much a coastal can take over in terms of lasting/impact.  The totality of the backgroung synopsis that all this is embedded in is still quite fast.  We could be looking at a regional scoped isentropic thump followed by a 4-6 hour Nor'easter snows and wind into eastern sections. 

Be nice to get both regionwide 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Long range amp happy NAM with a respectable output at 84.. pretty solid agreement out there besides the GFS slower and colder outlier but not by much.. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Long range amp happy NAM with a respectable output at 84.. pretty solid agreement out there besides the GFS slower and colder outlier but not by much.. 

Nam is def pretty low with the heights to our northeast. I think the NAM would definitely go more coastal on Monday. 

[Prismshine Productions]

18z Nam has that bastardized shortwave that compresses the system that showed up in the 12z OP suites

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[CoastalWx]

Yeah, that’s a great 500 to look for potentially Monday.

[SouthCoastMA]

NAM would be pretty great here and for SNE in general. someone in Eastern Plymouth/Norfolk county going to score big 

[Go Kart Mozart]

5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Long range amp happy NAM with a respectable output at 84.. pretty solid agreement out there besides the GFS slower and colder outlier but not by much.. 

Great for us....best yet to come for ENE?

[das]

2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I know this is a little OT, but oh my GOD, I just had an epic squall roll through here. Pure whiteout conditions. I ran outside barely clothed.

Let’s bring hours of this for all Sunday-Monday

 

Here in Burlington too.

 

 

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Great for us....best yet to come for ENE?

Based on that picture, .looks like a big suck for maine

[ORH_wxman]

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah, that’s a great 500 to look for potentially Monday.

All that energy loading into the trough and nowhere to go except into a brick wall. That would prob go crazy Monday. 

[codfishsnowman]

30 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I mean, until the next model runs, there’s only so much you can say about it.

I’m personally still going with a slightly more conservative regionwide 8”-14” until Friday evening model output.   I always worry about the snow growth factor, especially anywhere between Springfield and Brattleboro in the CRV. 

That's still a lot of snow and if its arctic sand it will be denser and have better staying power afterwards.

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Nam would go bonkers with redevelopment. Oh boy…

[weatherwiz]

I could picture the NAM ending up with one of those runs that produces 1.50-1.75"+ of QPF. I really need to get to Lowes and get those yard sticks. Might have time to go Saturday, hopefully they'll have some in stock 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

All that energy loading into the trough and nowhere to go except into a brick wall. That would prob go crazy Monday. 

It’s been a long time coming where I can enjoy a storm and not worry about ptype. Almost 4 years man. Just gonna enjoy this one. If at worst it gives me snizzle I’m not worried.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I could picture the NAM ending up with one of those runs that produces 1.50-1.75"+ of QPF. I really need to get to Lowes and get those yard sticks. Might have time to go Saturday, hopefully they'll have some in stock 

Already bought one lol

[SouthCoastMA]

Once in range, I'd imagine the mesos will start upticking the qpf associated to ocean enhancement and long fetch easterly flow. Wouldn't be shocked to see 1.5-2" on those models as we get closer. Can already kinda see it on the Euro maps

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s been a long time coming where I can enjoy a storm and not worry about ptype. Almost 4 years man. Just gonna enjoy this one. If at worst it gives me snizzle I’m not worried.

Just feeling like Ron Washington as Scarface…

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I could picture the NAM ending up with one of those runs that produces 1.50-1.75"+ of QPF. I really need to get to Lowes and get those yard sticks. Might have time to go Saturday, hopefully they'll have some in stock 

Just use a tape measure 

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Already bought one lol

I already have four…well three, I lost one in a storm chase a few years ago. 

2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Once in range, I'd imagine the mesos will start upticking the qpf associated to ocean enhancement and long fetch easterly flow. Wouldn't be shocked to see 1.5-2" on those models as we get closer. Can already kinda see it on the Euro maps

It’s coming. The question will be if it’s real. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Just use a tape measure 

I like the good ole fashion wood 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Once in range, I'd imagine the mesos will start upticking the qpf associated to ocean enhancement and long fetch easterly flow. Wouldn't be shocked to see 1.5-2" on those models as we get closer. Can already kinda see it on the Euro maps

The ocean effect  usually is cellular or comes in bands so I’m not really sure what to expect. It’s not like you’re gonna have this massive band on the coast, I think it’s gonna be the cells or perhaps bands that come on shore. I can’t recall such a cold air mass with winds from the surface to 850 out of the east to east northeast. There’s some low level  CAPE modeled  too. Some of those bands might be intense but I’m unsure how they’ll align.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Just feeling like Ron Washington as Scarface…

“You’ll never see a bad guy like this again..”

[dryslot]

We ICON.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, dryslot said:

We ICON.

Icon gone wild!

[OrangeCTWX]

Still don’t like how the CMC/RGEM are stubbornly warm down here. Flips to sleet by Sunday evening.

[Torch Tiger]

for our nne friends, let's get that mix/slot into sne!

[SouthCoastMA]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We ICON.

lol - knew what to expect when you said that. definitely stronger low, would be nice for many - a little bit warmer here, but tough to trust the ICON thermals. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It’s been a long time coming where I can enjoy a storm and not worry about ptype. Almost 4 years man. Just gonna enjoy this one. If at worst it gives me snizzle I’m not worried.

Yeah i feel like any “issues” with ptype would be when the heavier stuff is gone…and that would also take a notable resumption of the northward trend which has mostly halted today. But if Mother Nature wants to try it, I’m here for it. It’s gonna be a steep cost in terms of dumping a ton of QPF as snow if we’re trying to get the mixing line up to the pike. My gut says that prob isn’t happening though with that airmass. 

[mattm4242]

I posted channel 5 earlier, but the other stations in Boston are going super aggressive as well.

Those are some big numbers to already be throwing out there lol

[tiger_deF]

2 minutes ago, mattm4242 said:

I posted channel 5 earlier, but the other stations in Boston are going super aggressive as well.

Those are some big numbers to already be throwing out there lol

If this pans out, and we get a nice coastal bomb in the next few weeks, this will make up for all the crappy winters of the past few years. Yes please!!