First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us

[Sey-Mour Snow]

looking like a nice fronto band slices through the area with haves and have nots in the morning, then the meat of the storm in the afternoon, those that can cash in on both stand the best chance of 6"+.. a lot of mesos indicating that fronto band could be 20 miles either side of a line from nyc to boston 

[weatherwiz]

Please let these trends continue 12z today. 

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That short wave is looking tasty.

Has that nice curl to it 

[Torch Tiger]

On 1/15/2026 at 1:46 AM, Torch Tiger said:

looks like a decent-moderate snower for ENE, and maybe further west. 5-10"er?  overall, the ceiling seems low because of the fast flow    

wttte

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Sexy

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Thanks AI, thanks reggie. YTTTE.

[Fozz]

This was going out to sea, now it’s being amped to a 3-6” event?

Bring it on.

[Baroclinic Zone]

That’s a solid hit on nammy. Looks like verbatim it comes in 2 pulses. The initial WAA followed by the ML centers passing by.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

NAM going to bring some heavy snow into SE areas this run 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

wrong thread , but just interesting how bad mesos have been with this mornings snow.. snowing again already with the radar looking nothing like what was modeled on any model.. 

[The 4 Seasons]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I need this for a multitude of reasons. I just need this.

I hope for the sake of the subforum you get 6+

You're still payi...

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Has that nice curl to it 

As we noticed last night. Nice to see that being there still. Other guidance also is showing that.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

NAM going to bring some heavy snow into SE areas this run 

ya thats like 6-8" for many 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

wrong thread , but just interesting how bad mesos have been with this mornings snow.. snowing again already with the radar looking nothing like what was modeled on any model.. 

see, we just don’t know…

[DJln491]

Could just be getting NAM’d but a good start to the 12z suite. Amped and a pretty big NW tick

[Baroclinic Zone]

Ray somehow manages to be in the screw zone.

[dendrite]

3k a lot more SE of the 12k…always gotta be concerned about the 12k being too juiced for a run or so.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Man, we pray for the NAM. That’s a legit warning event south of Boston. Would be like 6-10”

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

Could just be getting NAM’d but a good start to the 12z suite. Amped and a pretty big NW tick

12Z FV3 is a solid hit as well, moved way northwest from 0Z. Looks to other mesos, not quite as strong.. a little toned down. Not that anyone uses that thing with any seriousness just another 12z model to throw on the pile. I thought it was replacing NAMs years ago but it seems to be stuck in no mans land with the load of the other WRFs. 

 

[WxWatcher007]

I’m not in yet, but I have a feeling I’ll be guns blazing by about 12:45pm…

The trend is emphatically our friend this morning.

[SouthCoastMA]

Let's keep the track position, but strengthen the center. Get this under 990 or 988, as it passes east of us

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Let's keep the track position, but strengthen the center. Get this under 990 or 988

I was thinking more on the lines of getting the MLs more organized a bit sooner. That would do wonders.

[weatherwiz]

This is so tough...not sure exactly how much I'm sold on that much QPF extended back west. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I was thinking more on the lines of getting the MLs more organized a bit sooner. That would do wonders.

yup...that is going to be a big key I think

[WinterWolf]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

This is so tough...not sure exactly how much I'm sold on that much QPF extended back west. 

Gotta see where the rest of the 12z suite goes…

[weatherwiz]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Gotta see where the rest of the 12z suite goes…

Yup...I want to see Euro/GFS continue with this. This has the makings of yet another big cutoff...I would feel much better if I was farther east for a bigger hit. I really have no clue where to lean right now lol. this is nuts

[SouthCoastMA]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I was thinking more on the lines of getting the MLs more organized a bit sooner. That would do wonders.

Whatever it takes to get those rates, since it's pretty cold at 925

[Baroclinic Zone]

And for those you like to see. 09z SREFs. 24hr mean QPF. A solid uptick from the 03z run and worlds different from 21z run last night.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Yup...I want to see Euro/GFS continue with this. This has the makings of yet another big cutoff...I would feel much better if I was farther east for a bigger hit. I really have no clue where to lean right now lol. this is nuts

We will need to wait until tonight to get any confidence in decent snow for WNE. 

[ineedsnow]

Straight to warnings for some later on?