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January Banter 2026


George BM
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32 minutes ago, das said:

Flying down to DC Monday morning.  I asked the Vermont cold to head down a few days ahead of me.  You're welcome.

I’m supposed to be on a Monday 6am flight to Culebra, PR.
 

It’s 88 there now.  Not optimistic at this point. Big question is will I even be able to get from house to BWI if flight is a “go”.  Hopefully any cancellations can be announced early. 

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43 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

I don't know ow about that especially if it brings a chance of ice into Magnolia Delaware. 

I, for one, believe you are a sound addition to not only this thread but this board in general.  Your posts are well formulated, thoughtful, and time/regionally aligned.  Please do not be discouraged. 

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4 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

That's a heck of a commute. 

Retired military worked with the some of the elite. Now working doing what I do best and the money is great. Getting ready to retire a second time and have been ask to return for a couple days a week.

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Just now, Herb@MAWS said:

I’m supposed to be on a Monday 6am flight to Culebra, PR.
 

It’s 88 there now.  Not optimistic at this point. Big question is will I even be able to get from house to BWI if flight is a “go”.  Hopefully any cancellations can be announced early. 

Leave Saturday.  Airlines usually work with you…hopefully you don’t connect through Atlanta, Charlotte…

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1 minute ago, GreyHat said:

Retired military worked with the some of the elite. Now working doing what I do best and the money is great. Getting ready to retire a second time and have been ask to return for a couple days a week.

We’re really screwed if you’re defending our Country. Dear lord. 

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1 minute ago, grhqofb5 said:

I, for one, believe you are a sound addition to not only this thread but this board in general.  Your posts are well formulated, thoughtful, and time/regionally aligned.  Please do not be discouraged. 

Thank you and I know I'm not that good. Constructive criticism is always welcomed. 

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Just now, Herb@MAWS said:

I’m supposed to be on a Monday 6am flight to Culebra, PR.
 

It’s 88 there now.  Not optimistic at this point. Big question is will I even be able to get from house to BWI if flight is a “go”.  Hopefully any cancellations can be announced early. 

Dude—you cray. Change your flight if you really want to go. The airlines should not charge change fees. If they do, ask for a supervisor right away. Tell them your weather buddies said we are going to get pummeled. And you need to get the F outta town ASAP. Good luck! :lol:

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3 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Retired military worked with the some of the elite. Now working doing what I do best and the money is great. Getting ready to retire a second time and have been ask to return for a couple days a week.

Ahh. My late mother-in-law worked there for one of the Generals back in WWII, and she commuted from northern Baltimore City, which I considered a heck of a commute for the 1940's. But DE is a whole different ballgame. 

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5 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Dude—you cray. Change your flight if you really want to go. The airlines should not charge change fees. If they do, ask for a supervisor right away. Tell them your weather buddies said we are going to get pummeled. And you need to get the F outta town ASAP. Good luck! :lol:

Other stuff keeping me in town Saturday. Maybe I enjoy the storm and then go. 
 

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18 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

There are almost entire pages in the model thread totally blacked out because it's only posters who i have on ignore, it's pretty funny and sad :(

I've been busy all day. Wonder if the whinging and meltdowns over op runs have been predominant from the usual. (my guess is yes)

I just checked the 12z ensembles and they all look fine. All I need to see until HH. On we go.

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7 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I've been busy all day. Wonder if the whinging and meltdowns over op runs have been predominant from the usual. (my guess is yes)

I just checked the 12z ensembles and they all look fine. All I need to see until HH. On we go.

The goofus just totally drives people nuts, really. Which, I want to make fun of but also...it's annoying that the GFS is doing this. Then again, it is up against itself in terms of its insane windshield wiping even from run to run.  

 

In any event, as I noted previously up thread in this here banter hangout, if the GFS was showing us getting hammered like it is the Carolinas in this instance and every other model was showing everything Philly and north we would be absolutely certain that we were hosed...

 

And yet, hard to feel completely ok with the GFS continuing to intermittently spit in the pool. 

But I sure do like where we sit. 

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558
FXUS61 KLWX 202014
AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
314 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Confidence is continuing to increase for a significant winter storm for the region Saturday into Sunday. Additionally, snow accumulations increase for upslope snow showers in the Alleghenies Wednesday night.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
-  1) Significant winter storm expected across the Mid- Atlantic states late Saturday through Sunday bringing widespread snow. Arctic high pressure will build into the area Friday afternoon into Saturday morning providing the source for very cold temperatures this weekend into early next week.

- 2) Accumulating snow is likely along the Alleghenies Wednesday night through Thursday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1...Significant winter storm expected across the Mid-Atlantic states late Saturday through Sunday bringing widespread snow. Arctic high pressure will build into the area Friday afternoon into Saturday morning providing the source for very cold temperatures this weekend into early next week.

Broad upper troughing will remain established across the Great Lks into the northern Mid-Atlantic through at least early next week. Southern stream energy is expected to interact with very cold air to the north to produce moderate to heavy snow across the area this weekend. Looking at most recent model data, the 12Z GFS and 12Z NAM remain the furthest south and weakest solutions as it leaves more energy cut off while the 12Z EC and Canadian models show more energy getting absorbed into the northern stream. The 12Z EPS and AIFS are more consistent with their deterministic runs while the GFES shows a very different solution to its deterministic run. Will continue to highlight a significant winter storm affecting the area this weekend in our Hazardous Weather Outlook.

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1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said:

The goofus just totally drives people nuts, really. Which, I want to make fun of but also...it's annoying. Then again, it is up against itself in terms of its insane windshield wiping even from run to run.  

 

In any event, as I noted previous thread, if the GFS was showing us getting hammered like it is the Carolinas in this instance and every other model was showing everything Philly and north we would be absolutely certain that we were hosed...

 

And yet, hard to feel completely ok with the GFS continuing to intermittently spit in the pool. 

But I sure do like where we sit. 

Completely agree. 

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4 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Hey boss, is this travel truly mission critical?

I mean, I’m happy to travel and want to be part of this meeting, but I’m going to miss potentially the biggest snow in 6-10 years over my dead body 

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I’ve had both my kids and a neighbor text me about the storm today. And it was just mentioned in a work meeting (although they didn’t ask for my opinion). Normies gonna get crazy in another day or two if things stay on track.

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41 minutes ago, Herb@MAWS said:

I’m supposed to be on a Monday 6am flight to Culebra, PR.
 

It’s 88 there now.  Not optimistic at this point. Big question is will I even be able to get from house to BWI if flight is a “go”.  Hopefully any cancellations can be announced early. 

I've missed many a snowstorm in Puerto Rico. It's beautiful, hope you get to make it there (on Wednesday).

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