New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible

[Baroclinic Zone]

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Kinda catching up now…I do see some models trying to pop a secondary near the Cape.

Yeah, pop that secondary a bit sooner and we can pull in more moisture. Not a ton but enough to bump up totals.

[weatherwiz]

This isn't a terrible looking sounding on the Cape. Def unstable in the lowest 3km

But can anyone say Martha's vineyard jackpot?

[dendrite]

An inch of fluff in Jan. 

Be still my heart. 

[dryslot]

Leaf blower downy flakes.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Coating to an inch seems likely here.  Maybe 2" if we can get a little more H2O in there.  I won't hate it

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Coating to an inch seems likely here.  Maybe 2" if we can get a little more H2O in there.  I won't hate it

yup nice refresher for us

[weathafella]

I really don’t like events like this.  At least the most recent event prompted homeowners to clear and salt while these dinkleshit 1-2 inchers don’t get removed, everything stays icy until it rains or warms up otherwise, and makes for unpleasant walking conditions.  Give me big storms followed by warmups and rain and I’m a lot happier these days.

[SouthCoastMA]

Rgem was advisory here. Let's ramp it up at 18z

[DavisStraight]

14 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Rgem was advisory here. Let's ramp it up at 18z

Good storm for Novie. Hazey still hang around?

[dendrite]

12z euro has a weak, brief inverted trough setup across C NH/SW ME as that H5 vortmax passes through.

[dryslot]

Won't see another once in 20yr IVT for a bit here, But GYX does have a map out, DE Maine jack AWT.

[dryslot]

Can tell what type of yr its been so far when you really need the Reggie and the HRRR to be right.

[Hazey]

Good storm for Novie. Hazey still hang around?

Yup still here. I’m watching but have had the rug pulled on me too many times to get excited. Need another day of model runs. Could be the critter that bites.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

26 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Can tell what type of yr its been so far when you really need the Reggie and the HRRR to be right.

I also wouldn’t be expecting much outside of the previously highlighted areas.

It’s a moisture starved clipper. The accumulation Hope is on some form of redevelopment.

People are deluding themselves if they think this is going to drop a widespread inch or two 

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I also wouldn’t be expecting much outside of the previously highlighted areas.

It’s a moisture starved clipper. The accumulation Hope is on some form of redevelopment.

People are deluding themselves if they think this is going to drop a widespread inch or two 

18z Nam really blows this low up towards DE Maine down to 987mb dropping a foot there, May watch this to see if this can happen a bit sooner in the next 24hrs, That would at least get some accumulating snow further west but as of now, Its a bit to late for most, Nothing else better to do.........lol

[Damage In Tolland]

It’s very easy to look at literally every model and see steady light snow shown on all of them . All for a 1-4” event from west to east. Not rocket science 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

7 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z Nam really blows this low up towards DE Maine down to 987mb, May watch this to see if this can happen a bit sooner in the next 24hrs, That would at least get some accumulating snow further west but as of now, Its a bit to late for most, Nothing else better to do.........lol

Yeah, NAM is a good illustration how this may play out. Couple inches for SE Mass and Downeast Maine. Flurries elsewhere.

 

If it could get going even 6 hours earlier, could get more involved 

[dryslot]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah, NAM is a good illustration how this may play out. Couple inches for SE Mass and Downeast Maine. Flurries elsewhere.

 

If it could get going even 6 hours earlier, could get more involved 

These have had surprises over the past years once they hit the Atlantic they can develop rapidly.

[SJonesWX]

i am really looking forward to my 0.5"

awesome

[klw]

47 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Can tell what type of yr its been so far when you really need the Reggie and the HRRR to be right.

Can we wait until 2026 starts before we comment about how lame the year has been so far?

 

[ORH_wxman]

Seems like most should get measurable but 2”+ will probably be in isolated pockets or out on/near Cape. 

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

I really don’t like events like this.  At least the most recent event prompted homeowners to clear and salt while these dinkleshit 1-2 inchers don’t get removed, everything stays icy until it rains or warms up otherwise, and makes for unpleasant walking conditions.  Give me big storms followed by warmups and rain and I’m a lot happier these days.

You mean like this? 

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

I really don’t like events like this.  At least the most recent event prompted homeowners to clear and salt while these dinkleshit 1-2 inchers don’t get removed, everything stays icy until it rains or warms up otherwise, and makes for unpleasant walking conditions.  Give me big storms followed by warmups and rain and I’m a lot happier these days.

Of course…biguns are preferable, and I see your point of view.  But anything that can add to the “pack” and to my little ski area helps. 

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, weathafella said:

I really don’t like events like this.  At least the most recent event prompted homeowners to clear and salt while these dinkleshit 1-2 inchers don’t get removed, everything stays icy until it rains or warms up otherwise, and makes for unpleasant walking conditions.  Give me big storms followed by warmups and rain and I’m a lot happier these days.

My daughter who is a orthopedic PA calls it distal radius fracture season .