Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[HKY_WX]

As wow said, no words needed on this one.... Like when a 10 walks in the room. But it is a Miller A/B hybrid. So we will likely battle ice or a changeover in NC. Classic split flow pattern out west. STJ wave with Arctic HP in place. Still a long way out. Would like to get this one inside of 5 days before getting overly excited. Checkout president's day 2 storm back in 2023 for a pattern comparison. But colder.

[SnowDawg]

Seems like BAM and a few others aren’t buying the southern shift for next weekend and think it’ll be more of a southern Great Lakes/Ohio Valley system. Up until those 12z runs I definitely thought the same, that next weekend would largely be north of us and a stage setter for multiple chances in the week that follows. 

[wncsnow]

16 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

Seems like BAM and a few others aren’t buying the southern shift for next weekend and think it’ll be more of a southern Great Lakes/Ohio Valley system. Up until those 12z runs I definitely thought the same, that next weekend would largely be north of us and a stage setter for multiple chances in the week that follows. 

BAM has been struggling lately. But I too thought it was a better setup for the mid Atlantic. We'll see what happens from here on out. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[andyhb]

That is a catastrophic ice storm on the 12z Euro for this region and particularly Atlanta.

[NC_hailstorm]

22 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

Seems like BAM and a few others aren’t buying the southern shift for next weekend and think it’ll be more of a southern Great Lakes/Ohio Valley system. Up until those 12z runs I definitely thought the same, that next weekend would largely be north of us and a stage setter for multiple chances in the week that follows. 

There's a -4 to -5 AO and a 1045-1050 high,that's most of it in my opinion.

[lilj4425]

I’ll start the storm thread.  

[Jimbo!]

I started a thread for fun


.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Hallelujah 

[cheapdad00]

3 hours ago, suzook said:

That would shut this area down for a week. I would rather it be sunny and 70 than more than 2 inches of freezing rain. Trees and power lines would be down, with no power for a week or more. 

Freezing rain accretion is rate dependent, so if the precipitation is heavy enough, much of it washes away, instead of icing trees and power lines.

[buckeyefan1]

7 minutes ago, cheapdad00 said:

Freezing rain accretion is rate dependent, so if the precipitation is heavy enough, much of it washes away, instead of icing trees and power lines.

As depicted that's not washing away. That's a low/mid 20 deg catastrophic ice storm 

[wxdawg10]

Very strong signals this far out. Cold appears to be in place before the storm arrives.  I doubt the wide spread foot of snow across the carolinas verifies but 3-5 inches feels like a good bet