January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Nomz]

GFS is odd. Has two closed lows at h90, then the southern one becomes the dominant low and looks like its gearing up to smash something.

[Weather Will]

4pm; compared to last run 

[bncho]

this one might do it

[AlexD1990]

nice to see, but we all know, its the GFS...interested to see what Euro and Euro-AI show in comparison. 

[Random Chaos]

I feel like GFS is back!

[Weather Will]

10pm

[Solution Man]

Yes, and lock the door to Deb’s 

[mitchnick]

[snoworbust]

Surface Trend

edit ninja'd

[Thewiledcard]

Me gusta

[bncho]

Heavy snow over the area at hr 114

[Weather Will]

Sunday. 1am!

[clskinsfan]

Goes negative right where we have to have it. GFS for the win. 

[Bob Chill]

Neg tilt on the ULL is a must have feature. Nice run no matter what 

[Chris78]

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

10pm

I hate to say this but the GfS just adds confusion.  It constantly plays catch up to the other models

Of course I want it to be right but.....

[Scraff]

Get ready f words…

[SnowenOutThere]

Just chiming into say absolutely classic look

[Ephesians2]

I really wish we had the Euro on our side and not the GFS 

But at least not everything is trending in the wrong direction!

[Weather Will]

4 am

[MN Transplant]

What a gorgeous 500 pass for Richmond

[bncho]

@AlexD1990 is going to get 30+" on this run again

[AlexD1990]

i hear a stampede of redeemed Deb's

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Small changes, we’re in the game.  Stay the course people the upside potential here is big.  Let’s get the euro back now. 

[Weather Will]

7am: there will be snow in August at OC!

[AlexD1990]

Just now, bncho said:

@AlexD1990 is going to get 30+" on this run again

I was waiting for you to tag me LOL. this one would be worth staying up for lol

[SnowenOutThere]

The wind is something else as well

[Alfoman]

Lord Almighty (not done yet either)

[Conway7305]

1 minute ago, Ephesians2 said:

I really wish we had the Euro on our side and not the GFS 

But at least not everything is trending in the wrong direction!

Hopefully it will trend W at 12z 

[Shad]

FOOK    man i hope other models follow the GFS....   if you look at the ensembles the GFS is clearing in the camp of the lows closer to the coast......Euro and others not so much.....be interesting to see if CMC holds

[DanTheMan]

Ya know if I get 18” I can live with Richmond getting 30”