January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[zgummy]

6 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

 

never before has someone flown onto my ignore list so quickly.

 

[Jersey_Snowhole]

21 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

I am as frustrated as anyone. sometimes this is how it goes

 

[anotherman]

Just now, Jersey_Snowhole said:

 

Bot?

[Bob Chill]

My browser must be glitching. Every time I click the long range thread I end up in the cope and therapy thread. Weird. 

[AlexD1990]

ok guys, back to the storm you've all convinced yourselves isn't happening. 

[Rnt1969]

I’m pooh poohing this storm. It isn’t happening.


.

[Steve25]

It would be just like the GFS if it’s a hit at 12z while everything else stays or moves further out to sea lol

[RevWarReenactor]

The one thing we might have going for us is that some models have beach communities of NC getting a foot of snow. Has that ever even happened before? Climo argues for that to change. But who knows. Would be crippling for them thats for sure. 

[Weather Will]

12Z runs are beginning.... take whining to the Panic thread.

[bncho]

It's not over until the CFS says it's over.

[dailylurker]

I'm not seeing the social media hype over this one. Grocery stores are quite. If this suddenly trends our way the normies are going to die fighting over toilet paper. 

[AlexD1990]

2 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

The one thing we might have going for us is that some models have beach communities of NC getting a foot of snow. Has that ever even happened before? Climo argues for that to change. But who knows. Would be crippling for them thats for sure. 

it actually has happened before, several times as I'm aware. may not be common place, but its not unpreceded, for sure

[TowsonWeather]

39 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

guys, take a break, I know I m getting killed here, but this one just isn't meant to be. that's ok. next one will get us

Thanks, no one else realized this so it’s a big deal you were here to dispense this unique and keen insight. 

[osfan24]

7 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

The one thing we might have going for us is that some models have beach communities of NC getting a foot of snow. Has that ever even happened before? Climo argues for that to change. But who knows. Would be crippling for them thats for sure. 

We actually dont have that going for us because it does happen and it would fit this pattern.

[Bubbler86]

9 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

The one thing we might have going for us is that some models have beach communities of NC getting a foot of snow. Has that ever even happened before? Climo argues for that to change. But who knows. Would be crippling for them thats for sure. 

Even Myrtle Beach can say it has happened

• Top 5 Snowiest Events:
  1. 14 inches – Dec. 22-24, 1989
  2. 9 inches – Feb. 9-11, 1973
  3. 7 inches – March 24-25, 1983
  4. 6 inches – Dec. 15, 1943
  5. 5 inches – Jan. 15, 1988 & March 2-3, 1980

[GreyHat]

20 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I'm not seeing the social media hype over this one. Grocery stores are quite. If this suddenly trends our way the normies are going to die fighting over toilet paper. 

Actually someone did post the big hit on Facebook already. 

[Climate175]

11 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

Thanks, no one else realized this so it’s a big deal you were here to dispense this unique and keen insight. 

You can tell the experience of tracking by comments like those lol.

[anotherman]

9 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I'm not seeing the social media hype over this one. Grocery stores are quite. If this suddenly trends our way the normies are going to die fighting over toilet paper. 

Probably because the insane totals are not on Apple Weather anymore.

[soadforecasterx]

Just want to post some hope. 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

At this point, I've more or less "given up" on a major, huge storm.  It was a long shot anyhow even with the amazing couple of model runs.  Though I would be glad if indications went back that way and it were to happen, of course!  That said, I'm kind of wondering more now about the possibility of eeking out a minor 2-4"/3-5" type deal, along the edge of whatever monster system develops.  It would be cold, high-ratio powder stuff presumably.  I think @Bob Chill or perhaps @psuhoffman kind of discussed that the other day to an extent?  I don't think this necessarily has to be an all-or-nothing raging blizzard or smoking cirrus that seems to be the general feeling in here from some people.

[clskinsfan]

Out here in the boonies we are cooked for this one. Another south and east hit incoming. Unreal. 

[LeesburgWx]

9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Out here in the boonies we are cooked for this one. Another south and east hit incoming. Unreal. 

It might even miss them, per the euro

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z 12K NAM at range: 

[Scraff]

Just now, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z 12K NAM at range

I’m extrapolating a big nor’easter. Somewhere. 

[Snowciopathic Snow Bro]

47 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I'm not seeing the social media hype over this one. Grocery stores are quite. If this suddenly trends our way the normies are going to die fighting over toilet paper. 

Grocery stores are quiet around here because nobody can get out of their unplowed neighborhoods to get to them, lmao.  VDOT, where art thou?

[Miss Pixee]

54 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I'm not seeing the social media hype over this one. Grocery stores are quite. If this suddenly trends our way the normies are going to die fighting over toilet paper. 

Go to facebook, its being hyped with the usual acid trip maps. "We aren't saying it's going to do anything, but the potential for a blizzard is there." In other words, 1 to 36 inches.

Who's dying over toilet paper? Nobody can even get out of their house from all this igloo ice. I spent three hours yesterday hacking.

[WhiteoutMD]

Just now, Snowciopathic Snow Bro said:

Grocery stores are quiet around here because nobody can get out of their unplowed neighborhoods to get to them, lmao.  VDOT, where art thou?

On my street in Annapolis we just got a plow at 5 am moved the top layer then dropped all of the Mortens salt in the state on our road but only did the part that is flat the hill was not touched lol.  Sorry for the banter let real this snow in for this weekend!

[JenkinsJinkies]

4 minutes ago, Scraff said:

I’m extrapolating a big nor’easter. Somewhere. 

Cape Cod and not a hair further west. Boston will get fringed.

[IUsedToHateCold]

I'm not out. Things could trend back the right way. I'd say if by end of day tomorrow it's considerably offshore it's time to turn out the lights. But if all we need is a 100-200 mile shift then we can get that as we approach the event. 

[LeesburgWx]

7 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z 12K NAM at range: 

We still doing this?