TSSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 About 14 mins from euro ai. Hopefully it’s similar to the 6z beat down 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GEFS; last picture compared to 6Z. Backing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, TSSN+ said: About 14 mins from euro ai. Hopefully it’s similar to the 6z beat down If it goes the other way, I'll be worried for some peeps in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terrapinwx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 The ICON should have been more tucked than it was with that 500 representation. It is really close to Euro. And the GFS took a step in that direction as well. This thing has real legs now.The individual members on the ensemble support this. Still no consensus but seems that any storm that amplifies put us in the game. Even a few that take the low up the Bay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: If it goes the other way, I'll be worried for some peeps in here As long as it not a complete disaster I’m not going to worry if it is a little worse we are 5 days out. It’s going to change multiple times, better or worse. As long as it doesn’t stay worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 I wonder what Louis Uccellini would say about this one? 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: If it goes the other way, I'll be worried for some peeps in here Not really, in my head I only still have this at about a 20% chance of happening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Ready for the AI shellacking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 49 minutes ago, bncho said: Start the Thread. The good news here is that a 400-mile north shift would still give us the 2.5" that Savannah gets on this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro seems late again at least on WB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 I know we obviously want to see as much guidance on board as possible, but the euro / ai / cmc sniffed out yesterday’s storm first as well. We certainly have the best camp in our corner - especially at day 5. Plenty of time to reel this fish (storm) in. If in 48 hours most guidance is still OTS, we will have to re-evaluate. But as bob chill said, an in between solution can still be a 2-4/3-6 of fresh pow type clipper to add to our snowpack that’s going nowhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro is running 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, jayyy said: I know we obviously want to see as much guidance on board as possible, but the euro / ai / cmc sniffed out yesterday’s storm first as well. We certainly have the best camp in our corner - especially at day 5. Plenty of time to reel this fish (storm) in. If in 48 hours most guidance is still OTS, we will have to re-evaluate. But as bob chill said, an in between solution can still be a 2-4/3-6 of fresh pow type clipper to add to our snowpack that’s going nowhere. For sure. I'd rather have the euro fam in our corner than the gfs fam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Good thing is we're starting at under 120, so should know something pretty quick 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro is runningI’m 40 but I still get a lump in my stomach before these runs lol. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somecallmetim Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, Heisy said: I’m 40 but I still get a lump in my stomach before these runs lol . I'll be 55 this year, and I expect to have the same feeling when I'm 85. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 AIFS worse - but in the range 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 WB 12Z AI EURO is east this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro AI worse than 6z, but not a disaster by any means 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, Heisy said: I’m 40 but I still get a lump in my stomach before these runs lol . It ain't just you trust me, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Nothing wrong with the Euro-AI. You don't want to be in the bulls eye this far out. 6 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Nothing wrong with the Euro-AI. You don't want to be in the bulls eye this far out. Ya talk to North Carolina how that worked out 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Nothing wrong with the Euro-AI. You don't want to be in the bulls eye this far out. Yeah, it's the ensembles we should focus on at this point. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Really should lean on the ensembles 5-6 days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Nothing wrong with the Euro-AI. You don't want to be in the bulls eye this far out. Seems to me it would be pretty incredible if any model has locked in at this lead without any wavering...just as long as we can still smell the snow nearby i'm good at this point. Come wednesday different story i would like to see models start to narrow in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 it looks like it was a stronger storm though overall...just more east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ya talk to North Carolina how that worked out Hell or Richmond who was bullseye on Tuesday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 23 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Already seeing snowfall maps making the rounds on Twitter and other platforms. We need to limit access to this information for the general public, lol. Hilariously stupid to post these so early in a forum like that! People post em and they will end up there. Plenty of folks on those platforms generate them.. And why not? Its happening here lol, and still 5+ days out. I have liked the potential for this window for awhile, but probably a little soon to go nuts over snow maps. I'm focused on h5 and what the 'trends' are looking like, mostly leaning on the ensembles. Signal for something good is getting stronger. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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