January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[AlexD1990]

Lol I may try to claim this one 

[Shad]

Like to see what the 0z looks like tonight but this is less than 6 days out at this point…not exactly fantasyland


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[Maestrobjwa]

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

Everybody is not paying attention but when they see this shit

Bruh I totally forgot to check the 18z Euro. Huh...

[LeesburgWx]

40 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB AI EPS really shifted west with snow mean for the upcoming weekend compared to 12Z.

Right when I thought I could catch up on sleep after this past week and today, this happens…

[aldie 22]

What does the nam nest say 

[Paleocene]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

What does the nam nest say 

Mid levels torched and screaming easterlies

[87storms]

I’m here bc of the 18z euro.

[87storms]

3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

What does the nam nest say 

The Nam is the new sheriff in town 

[csnavywx]

[NorthArlington101]

Rumor on the block is this nailed today’s storm. Got any more thoughts on it from a more educated perspective?

[diatae]

7 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

What does the nam nest say 

My cackle echoed.

[bncho]

2 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

How do you access it?

[bncho]

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Rumor on the block is this nailed today’s storm. Got any more thoughts on it from a more educated perspective?

Apparently it was showing something like the Euro AI was 5 days out

[osfan24]

21 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

Lol I may try to claim this one 

I believe my whining brought it back so

[mitchnick]

1 hour ago, Heisy said:

18z Euro Ai keeping hope slightly alive for next week, 12z eps still had a few good members in there.


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Looks like a New England clobbering Heisey, as if they need another one.

[csnavywx]

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Rumor on the block is this nailed today’s storm. Got any more thoughts on it from a more educated perspective?

It's another tool in the toolbox. I am personally *very* pleased with the EC-AIFS and AIGFS with the last storm. Helped me keep my sanity when every other piece of guidance was insisting on washing out the CAD here today, against every bone in my body.

 

Anyways, link is here: WeatherNext 2.0 Model Viewer

[benjammin]

Our new king?

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[jayyy]

The Nam is the new sheriff in town 

Is it though? Got thermals right but QPF very wrong. GFS totals across dc & Maryland likely verified better than the NAM. Gfs got the thermals wrong but NAM missed in an equally huge way on the front end. Euro got this most right IMO.

[nj2va]

16 minutes ago, 87storms said:

The Nam is the new sheriff in town 

It was close with thermals but terrible with QPF.  

[winter_warlock]

Man it's a shame 18z euro don't go past 144 hrs. Would like to see where this goes

 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

2 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Man it's a shame 18z euro don't go past 144 hrs. Would like to see where this goes

 

This looks like it’s going to nuke the entire 95 corridor! 

[MDsnowPRO]

2 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Man it's a shame 18z euro don't go past 144 hrs. Would like to see where this goes

 

Snowing all the way down to South Carolina, color me skeptical 

[anotherman]

Snowing all the way down to South Carolina, color me skeptical 

With this cold and no transitioning low, why not?

[Kmlwx]

3 minutes ago, MDsnowPRO said:

Snowing all the way down to South Carolina, color me skeptical 

 

1 minute ago, anotherman said:

With this cold and no transitioning low, why not?

Yeah this airmass is anomalous to say the least! 

[snowfan]

The GFS is whack on Tuesday morning. 

 

[bncho]

Euro AI trend:
More consolidated, closer to the coast!

[Maestrobjwa]

7 minutes ago, snowfan said:

The GFS is whack on Tuesday morning. 

 

With snow cover I'd imagine that's attainable, no?

[MDsnowPRO]

12 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

 

Yeah this airmass is anomalous to say the least! 

If it 48 hours out and an El Niño year I could believe it, but given the La Niña I don’t see this verifying, believe me I hope I’m wrong. At least it gives us something to look at this week 

[Ralph Wiggum]

8 minutes ago, bncho said:

Euro AI trend:
More consolidated, closer to the coast!

I like that moisture near the TV associated with the closed ull. That would probably be a capture on the next frame and slp either stalling on the coast or drifting NNE.

[mitchnick]

33 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Is it though? Got thermals right but QPF very wrong. GFS totals across dc & Maryland likely verified better than the NAM. Gfs got the thermals wrong but NAM missed in an equally huge way on the front end. Euro got this most right IMO.

Euro got everything right except for mby as usual. 12-14" of snow was it's forecast the last day. Nope. I hate the Euro because it always effs my forecast with too much snow.