January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[mitchnick]

4 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Does the EPS like any other windows or is it mostly from the 1/25-27 period?

You made me look. Dang, Eps even better than the 6z Gefs 24hr period!

But to answer your question, looks like a weak sign of a threat at the end of the run.

[Heisy]

6z Ai puts all its eggs into the 28-29 range

HECS setup




.

[NorthArlington101]

Next Monday standing out on the EPS - consistent threat window trending snowier. Ofc, that was also the case for today, and well…

[Blizzard of 93]

46 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Does the EPS like any other windows or is it mostly from the 1/25-27 period?

0z EPS also likes the period centered on the 28th. Here’s the 2 day snow for that time period.

[Blizzard of 93]

41 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

You made me look. Dang, Eps even better than the 6z Gefs 24hr period!

But to answer your question, looks like a weak sign of a threat at the end of the run.

The 0z EPS is even better when you look at the 2 day period ending Monday to account for timing differences at this range.

[mitchnick]

6z Eps at the end of the 144hr run looks "right" if you know what I mean. Lol

Top is 6hr precip and bottom is 6hr snowfall. 

[aldie 22]

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z GFS...for upcoming weekend.

Mannnn....fuck that model 

[bncho]

0z Euro had a pretty impactful ice storm

[Scraff]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

0z Euro had a pretty impactful ice storm

GFS Snow. Euro Ice. Canadian Snow. Somewhere in that mix is the truth. Cold and windy also a possibility I suppose. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Bee discussed but 0z eps looks fantastic for next weekend.  Looks to favor a clean snow event vs ice. 

[JVscotch]

6 minutes ago, Scraff said:

GFS Snow. Euro Ice. Canadian Snow. Somewhere in that mix is the truth. Cold and windy also a possibility I suppose. 

6z Euro definitely already showing what would lead to a snowier outcome down the road IMO compared to 00z. Less troughing in the northwest US, more press of the trough over the north and eastern US and the digging shortwave over southwest US.  All looked better.  

[LeesburgWx]

If we fail here again, we will belong on the same level as the Bills in the playoffs

[Scraff]

Thanks @JVscotch and @SomeguyfromTakomaPark  I needed more coffee, but yeah. Looks good to me. For fun, looking at the 6z Euro AI now. Whoa! 
 

ETA—for 1/29 that is.