TSSN+ Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, Ji said: yea euro is garbage Getting close to the mute button… 7 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Getting close to the mute button… Do it. You’ll feel so much better 2 8 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago The Euro is a big step to the GFS. We're SO CLOSE. If the PV backs off and that kicker leaves us alone, which is more plausible than I thought, we have a real chance on our hands. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago as i said--the euro made improvments at 500mb but its garbage. which moron said it showed 3-6 inches? 3 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, bncho said: The Euro is a big step to the GFS. We're SO CLOSE. If the PV backs off and that kicker leaves us alone, which is more plausible than I thought, we have a real chance on our hands. Just need the sw to dig a bit more there. The lows a little too far nw. But I mean that was a big jump so gfs might have legs. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago WB 12Z EURO and GFS pressure maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 12z Euro AI gave us snow next weekend curious what this will bring 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Idk about you all but I’m cracking open a beer for 18z happy hour. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago euro hates the 2nd event too---its the ultimate Dr no. Luckily, i think its been a garbage model this season. When it does show yes..its always been wrong 2 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 8 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: stop doing what? that is a significant move towards a more amplified solution... definitely much more than I thought was going to happen Ignore him and please don’t stop doing that. The whole board would rather you post more and Ji post less. 8 11 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Biggest takeaway from 12z is that we’re headed in the right direction. Doesn’t seem like anything trended badly. Curious to see the EPS-AIFS and EPS; an increased coastal signal would make me feel a lot better that we’re catching the start of a trend and not a blip. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 2 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: Ignore him and please don’t stop doing that. The whole board would rather you post more and Ji post less. Wow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Euro is close but without cold air we’re relying on the storm bombing out in the right spot to bring in enough cold air, like the GFS shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 10 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now Seems like the GFS has a better look in the Canadian plains as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago The good difference in the 12z Euro vs. the 0z Euro last night shows well in the 48 hr. total precipitation through Friday early afternoon. Quite the positive jump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Ji said: euro hates the 2nd event too---its the ultimate Dr no. Luckily, i think its been a garbage model this season. When it does show yes..its always been wrong Shut the fuck up 8 4 18 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Main take is euro made a pretty big move toward a gfs like solution. Onto 18z 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: Shut the fuck up I get that it’s his schtick but jfc 6 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: Shut the fuck up That’ll never happen unless forced to. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Both euro and cmc shifted towards gfs this run. Let’s keep this going. 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Looks like the Euro is starting the cave to the gfs. LFG! 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 17 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now Do you have a side by side of this with the 6z Euro? (Trying to see if those features you pointed out trended better and I don't have the pretty maps, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, Terpeast said: Both euro and cmc shifted towards gfs this run. Let’s keep this going. Yup that’s all you take away from this set of runs especially being 120hrs out. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Euro is so close to a legit event. I'm happy with the bump. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Yup that’s all you take away from this set of runs especially being 120hrs out. Yup. For me, the Euro did what it needed to do...lend some credence to the GFS and the idea of a storm in the area. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago What’s clear is that the wimpy warmup we had this week is looking temporary. Winter seems to be returning next week to the chilly base state we’ve had since September. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Getting close to lock in time, we are in a good place 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, Solution Man said: Getting close to lock in time, we are in a good place Hm...with this kind of setup it feels like lock in time is still 4 days away, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Getting close to lock in time, we are in a good place In a normal year, maybe. This year? For me, lock in time is 84 hours or less 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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