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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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3 hours ago, Ji said:

They broke the GFS something bad. Used to give us fantasy snowstorms all the time.

So you would rather have a model that teased every single run post 200 hrs rather than a piece of guidance that 'should' be more accurate, at least in theory? 

I bet you were a huge fan of the DGEX too?

 

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JFC that 0z GFS had lots of chances but nothing worked out. The end of the GFS looked good as well. Nice pattern we're starting to enter

Legit upper air pattern incoming and a bunch of chances to track. That’s really all we should be taking from models this far out. Specifics of a given threat is pointless at this range. If models hold this look for the next week, we have reason to get excited.
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