CAPE Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: I'm happy with a few 1"-3" events. Just want snow. Had 2 of those. How about a few 2-4/3-6 deals? I'll be greedy lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Had 2 of those. How about a few 2-4/3-6 deals? I'll be greedy lol. I have minimal interest in anything less than a 4-6”+ event. I like snowstorms a lot more than I like snow lol. Hopefully this winter includes something substantial for this area. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 26 minutes ago, CAPE said: Had 2 of those. How about a few 2-4/3-6 deals? I'll be greedy lol. I'll take anything honestly. I'm not picky. This is the first time in almost a decade I have off for the holidays (12/31 to 1/5). I'd like to have some stress free snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 1 hour ago, cbmclean said: No explanation, but I have to mention that someone posted JB saying he thought a trough would retrograde from the east. Maybe he was on to something. Or maybe just regurgitating the Euro. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 56 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Maybe it’s just me, but I don’t think the Dec 29-Jan 5 window favors EC snowstorms (apart from lighter snows that don’t pop up in modeling until less than 5 days). But once the +PNA develops after Jan 5 (if it does), all bets are off. 6z EuroAI likes the 10th-11th. We'll see how many more runs it can hold. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: 6z EuroAI likes the 10th-11th. We'll see how many more runs it can hold. Lol Lock that up...the 12.5 is right over my new house 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 Hard to not be even slightly optimistic about this: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Hard to not be even slightly optimistic about this: I'll wait until Ralph tells me when to be optimistic 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 Lock that up...the 12.5 is right over my new house You should tell us you moved again 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 Tony Pann @TonyPannWBAL Go Time??? I have to admit; the weather alphabet is looking good for the chance at a coastal snowstorm going into the first few weeks of the New Year. +PNA, -EPO, -NAO. Does that mean Baltimore will finally get a Monster Snow for sure? No, of course not. But the table is set. Stay tuned... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 Once you see the crazy eyed smiling face blocking pattern you can't unsee it. One of the wildest looking progs I've seen basically ever lol. Break out the Visine and stuff haha 7 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Once you see the crazy eyed smiling face blocking pattern you can't unsee it. One of the wildest looking progs I've seen basically ever lol. Break out the Visine and stuff haha If we can't score just one warning level snowfall in this setup, then something's wrong. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 IMO I like the Jan 10-13 timeframe better than Jan 5-8 just because we're more likely to have the PNA and EPO in our favor. Lots of members show big hits on each ensemble then. Jan 5-8 will be hard to get a big storm more than 6+" just because the PNA and EPO are unfavorable. The odds are stacked against us there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 Getting 2016 pre storm pattern vibes 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 ^man there are some royalty level snowfall events listed in the analogs 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 33 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I'll wait until Ralph tells me when to be optimistic If you need a random person online to tell you when to choose optimism, seek help Modeled pattern seems reason enough for me to be optimistic anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 9 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Once you see the crazy eyed smiling face blocking pattern you can't unsee it. One of the wildest looking progs I've seen basically ever lol. Break out the Visine and stuff haha I see Sid: 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 Realizing its just the op but cant help noticing several runs now how active the stj is starting to look. No shortage of southern disturbances moving across 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 10 minutes ago, frd said: Those top analogs for both periods are absolutely insane. What a list. Cautiously optimistic for this potential pattern. 12 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 13 minutes ago, bncho said: IMO I like the Jan 10-13 timeframe better than Jan 5-8 just because we're more likely to have the PNA and EPO in our favor. Lots of members show big hits on each ensemble then. Jan 5-8 will be hard to get a big storm more than 6+" just because the PNA and EPO are unfavorable. The odds are stacked against us there. I’m thinking the same. But i’ll take anything before the 10th! 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 I see why no one is talking about the 12Z GFS but it does have a big dog in the 2nd weekend of Jan...so now we wait for the triumphant victory or the agony of defeat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 Jaws at the end of the 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 I know it's the OP at range, but the 12z GFS is really trying to tee up a legit nuke job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I know it's the OP at range, but the 12z GFS is really trying to tee up a legit nuke job. It's been forever since I've seen a low in Texas pulling in that much gulf moisture. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 34 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Tomer stated the following today, " While a major snowstorm is never a guarantee, chances of at least one or two in the January 8-25 time frame are higher than average. " 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 3 hours ago, CAPE said: 0z EPS for the 4th- vorticity and surface pressure- got some southern stream action. Precip stays just to the south. As mentioned by other posters the time period after this particular storm signal look to be more promising but I really cant help but like this depiction for the 4th. We have a good amount of vorticity to our south, a block to our north, and surface low pressure across Georgia in a position to bring in both gulf and Atlantic moisture. Of course, as depicted the bowling ball to our north would suppress the storm but for a week out I really can't hate it. We just need to see the trends but as it currently stands it is more than trackable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 Eps, as usual, are a miss tonthe north for the 8th/9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2025 Share Posted December 28, 2025 20 minutes ago, frd said: Tomer stated the following today, " While a major snowstorm is never a guarantee, chances of at least one or two in the January 8-25 time frame are higher than average. " Congrats northern jersey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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