January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[cut]

And at 5 or so days out we are already getting into a higher confidence reading of the models - and with model agreement too!!!!

[MJO812]

Euro has below 0 temps for Friday morning for many areas . Also euro doesnt get above freezing for highs through February 9th.

[MJO812]

6z eps more west with coastal

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just for fun and an idea of what that 6z run showed if it went out 24 more hours, it's widespread 2' plus of snow for at least SNE, with 50-70 mph winds.. On top of what we have now 

[mahk_webstah]

This one looks real.  I’m on tracking overload.

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Just for fun and an idea of what that 6z run showed if it went out 24 more hours, it's widespread 2' plus of snow for at least SNE, with 50-70 mph winds.. On top of what we have now 

Miller A?  That would make me somewhat less interested

[CoastalWx]

Let’s do it 

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We are back 

I said it a couple months ago and I’ll say it again. We’re getting her band back together!

[NoCORH4L]

What's wrong with Miller A's?

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

No rest coming at all this week. 

Well I was going to take a break from model watching today.. now not so sure 

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Just for fun and an idea of what that 6z run showed if it went out 24 more hours, it's widespread 2' plus of snow for at least SNE, with 50-70 mph winds.. On top of what we have now 

Now that might be a reason to go to grocery stores lol

[dryslot]

10 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

What's wrong with Miller A's?

They can tend to blow there load to the SW and we end up with an occluded POS in the Northeast.

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Euro has below 0 temps for Friday morning for many areas . Also euro doesnt get above freezing for highs through February 9th.

I have 0 or below temps every night this week.

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

OMG wow, this is unreal lol going to be a wild 12z

lol - this weekend's storm was stressful...five days of fighting a (successful) battle against the sleet line.  Now right into this?  I can't take it...OTOH.....but please sir, may I have another?

[mahk_webstah]

28 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

What's wrong with Miller A's?

Lbsw for us up here. Not always, but definitely a red flag

[Go Kart Mozart]

29 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

What's wrong with Miller A's?

They can be squirrelly bastards.  Often a very narrow zone of heavy snow, precip-tpye issues, overall very sensitive to small modelling changes..  OTOH, they tend to give SWCT our best chances for huge totals.

[Chrisrotary12]

Well hello there. We had a storm like this recently….. LP center occluded way to south but a massive band rotated through. Going to need @ORH_wxman’s encyclopedic memory. 

[ineedsnow]

[WxWatcher007]

Just getting back inside from a nice walk. So what’s happening with the…

1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Just for fun and an idea of what that 6z run showed if it went out 24 more hours, it's widespread 2' plus of snow for at least SNE, with 50-70 mph winds.. On top of what we have now 

[mahk_webstah]

This seems like a different set up, so I wonder how it will trend. Could be a classic Miller A Richmond to Boston with lighter snow up here, but perhaps it will trend north like a lot of stuff has. That would imply more of a Miller B I suppose which is a different set up.

[Henry's Weather]

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

This seems like a different set up, so I wonder how it will trend. Could be a classic Miller Ray Richmond to Boston with lighter snow up here, but perhaps it will trend north like a lot of stuff has. That would imply more of a Miller be suppose which is a different set up.

Ghost of 2015… hate to say it for the WOR crowd

[SJonesWX]

4 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Well hello there. We had a storm like this recently….. LP center occluded way to south but a massive band rotated through. Going to need @ORH_wxman’s encyclopedic memory. 

December 2020?

[MuddyWx]

[wx_observer]

7 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

lol - this weekend's storm was stressful...five days of fighting a (successful) battle against the sleet line.  Now right into this?  I can't take it...OTOH.....but please sir, may I have another?

I was getting pretty stressed out reading the public freakout posts from the fella that wasn't going to be here for the storm for the last few days.  Hopefully he will be back in time for this one lol.

[dryslot]

I like those low positions on the EPS, Many tucked members in there.

[George001]

3 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

December 2020?

Early Jan 2018 had a huge miller A that occluded too far south. Still was a great storm, but was 12-16 rather than a widespread 2 footer due to it blowing its load too early.

[Spanks45]

It is nice to see, 5/6 days out and every model has a storm somehwere nearby. It has also been on the ensembles and OP run off and on from days ago. If it was a couple rogue runs from the EURO and nowhere else showing it, then maybe ignore it. But, something is there, details in the days to come

[mahk_webstah]

6 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

December 2020?

No that was LBOMF

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

Early Jan 2018 had a huge miller A that occluded too far south. Still was a great storm, but was 12-16 rather than a widespread 2 footer due to it blowing its load too early.

I seem to recall great rates, just that it only snowed hard for 8 hours 

[mahk_webstah]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I like those low positions on the EPS, Many tucked members in there.

As always, the question is, does it reach the latitude of Cape Cod or into the Gulf of Maine as opposed to including off of South Jersey?