January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[ineedsnow]

like really good

[dryslot]

12z CMC brings the mix line up into LI.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

36 hours or so? Sunday through late Monday for many 

GFS wasn't quite that long... 24ish hours with mood stuff before and after.  But it will likely be closer to 36 hours IMHO

[ineedsnow]

Huge hit for SNE on the CMC! we pray! 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

12z CMC brings the mix line up into LI.

That’s how I kinda envisioned that gfs run going

[The 4 Seasons]

lol

[OrangeCTWX]

CMC kinda looks like the Ukie from last night lol

[Damage In Tolland]

13 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

That is something we haven't seen in a while.  High impact over many US regions

We want the entire East coast shut down . Maine to FLorida to Miss River. Shut 

[dryslot]

Just now, dendrite said:

That’s how I kinda envisioned that gfs run going

It may eventually get there, Its still not real good at handling these types of systems, Its trying to make this more into an overunning event.

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

GFS is still mostly southern stream driven…that was juiced coming out of TX vs 6z. I can’t help but think the northern stream phasing in will be a bigger player in the end.

yeah, see I think it can.  I mentioned this just a moment ago.  It's really how much that geometry of the N/stream orients itself.  Easily correctable from this range 'cuz we're not talking a major change there to lift everything.   

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

CMC is a little slower than the gfs, but end result will be better 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, OrangeCTWX said:

CMC kinda looks like the Ukie from last night lol

Very amped

Sleet up to coastal SNE but that's when the storm is over. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z CMC brings the mix line up into LI.

Talk dirty...oh so dirty...

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Talk dirty...oh so dirty...

You know how we should feel about this...............

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

yeah, see I think it can.  I mentioned this just a moment ago.  It's really how much that geometry of the N/stream orients itself.  Easily correctable from this range 'cuz we're not talking a major change there to lift everything.   

Maybe you misunderstood me…I think it will be a bigger player 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Talk dirty...oh so dirty...

Since it's the CMC, it will be very proper and polite

[dryslot]

3z Tuesday its still snowing on the CMC................

[MVOyster]

Here on the Vineyard, we still have rare coverage on the ground.

I just went outside and wrote "James" in the snow, surrounded by a heart.

He'll see it.

It's Happening, James

[moneypitmike]

13 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Big bump on the QPF

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
 

Need a fee more.

[TheSnowman]

17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We should put a lock on his account in general…

Ya, No one wants the 3X World Champion Accordionist who travels the world performing & is a companion of our beloved 98.5 SportsHub and a Motorsports historian who writes for Car Magazines & who’s one of the only FreeSledders in the world with his own Sledding Minoan which might be the only one in the world and who wrote articles on Weather Statistics at 16 for Accuweather and created the Official 2005 Hurricane Records List & does Guinness World Records with Mario Andretti & who opened the 2024 Election on Worldwide TV with the National Anthem.  

God No, we don’t want Him to be part of our weather world banter because he posts too loudly since he’s Italian and gets screwed on snowstorms all the time.  

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1.25” qpf across most of SNE.

if ratios are a little better than 10:1, that’s a solid 10-15”

[HoarfrostHubb]

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

You know how we should feel about this...............

Yea, I want sleet into the tri state....would like to flip winds more NE instead of NNE, too.

[Typhoon Tip]

It's pretty clear the GGEM is partially grabbing the low ... but only managing to shear/pull the pressure field west when it fails.  I wouldn't trust this run, just sayn' what's doing there.

It's significantly enough different in its handling the deep layer between the 00z and 12z to qualify as bad continuity.   Those two runs have a different spectrum of implications between D.C. and PWM/D.E.M.

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, TheSnowman said:

Ya, No one wants the 3X World Champion Accordionist who travels the world performing & is a companion of our beloved 98.5 SportsHub and a Motorsports historian who writes for Car Magazines & who’s one of the only FreeSledders in the world with his own Sledding Minoan which might be the only one in the world and who wrote articles on Weather Statistics at 16 for Accuweather and created the Official 2005 Hurricane Records List & does Guinness World Records with Mario Andretti & who opened the 2024 Election on Worldwide TV with the National Anthem.  

God No, we don’t want Him to be part of our weather world banter because he posts too loudly since he’s Italian and gets screwed on snowstorms all the time.  

2026 weenie of the year

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I want sleet into the tri state....would like to flip winds more NE instead of NNE, too.

CMC would a long duration event verbatim.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Ya, No one wants the 3X World Champion Accordionist who travels the world performing & is a companion of our beloved 98.5 SportsHub and a Motorsports historian who writes for Car Magazines & who’s one of the only FreeSledders in the world with his own Sledding Minoan which might be the only one in the world and who wrote articles on Weather Statistics at 16 for Accuweather and created the Official 2005 Hurricane Records List & does Guinness World Records with Mario Andretti & who opened the 2024 Election on Worldwide TV with the National Anthem.  

God No, we don’t want Him to be part of our weather world banter because he posts too loudly since he’s Italian and gets screwed on snowstorms all the time.  

Have some punctuation.

[Ginx snewx]

17 !!

[Torch Tiger]

11 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z CMC brings the mix line up into LI.

sweet hopefully it's ma border soon

[TalcottWx]

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z CMC brings the mix line up into LI.

excellent