January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

I'm in the WWA and sitting at 33.6, down from 47.

Im at 38, too warm, your in a better spot.

[dendrite]

33.9F and spitting flakes.

[cleetussnow]

Shes got the key.  Someone needs to snatch the key and take off with the bus before she figures out what happened.  

[powderfreak]

12 hours ago, alex said:

Pack down to 9” after the warmup. Temp down to 31/28, gonna be some icy runs today

Interesting you are down to 9” at 1500ft.  That’s about what the valley is around these parts.

1500ft in these parts (the base of the ski area) is a frozen solid 26” pack that you can walk on this morning.

 

[powderfreak]

Steady light snow up this way.

Be interesting to see what happens tonight.

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Interesting you are down to 9” at 1500ft.  That’s about what the valley is around these parts.

1500ft in these parts (the base of the ski area) is a frozen solid 26” pack that you can walk on this morning.

 

Damn my snow banks weren’t even 26” at the peak last Sunday 

[alex]

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Interesting you are down to 9” at 1500ft.  That’s about what the valley is around these parts.

1500ft in these parts (the base of the ski area) is a frozen solid 26” pack that you can walk on this 

Doesn’t surprise me. Your base area gets stronger upslope flow and less down sloping during the warmups we’ve had. Our pack never gets as substantial as even the Mg Washington Valley because of the effect of these torches 

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, bristolri_wx said:

That's quite a mickey mouse pattern depicted on the models...

Great, first it's huge boobs lows... and now Mickey Mouse model runs. 

[powderfreak]

26 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Damn my snow banks weren’t even 26” at the peak last Sunday 

Sitting at a firm 58” today at 3,000ft after last evening’s rain and freeze.  Not all fake, has decent water content in it.  Hope you guys can hit on the 15th threat.

[powderfreak]

28 minutes ago, alex said:

Doesn’t surprise me. Your base area gets stronger upslope flow and less down sloping during the warmups we’ve had. Our pack never gets as substantial as even the Mg Washington Valley because of the effect of these torches 

Were you torching yesterday?  We only saw 1-2” decreases in snow depth during this “thaw”… quickly working to make it back up now.

I do think it’s much less snow at 1500ft on the west side of Mansfield, maybe even half that 26”.   This SE side locks in cold on those warmer south flows for sure.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Lot more drinking this Kool aid than I thought would. 

Yup, kind of sad. This has a lot working against it. Kicker lows, and more importantly, it kind of is an occluded mess one it gets here. If there is a storm, I think the best is in the mid Atlantic and we are fighting for shredded scraps here.

I think the desperation is getting to normally level headed people.

[Go Kart Mozart]

Critical runs incoming.  On-hour, full data.  LFG.

[weathafella]

15 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yup, kind of sad. This has a lot working against it. Kicker lows, and more importantly, it kind of is an occluded mess one it gets here. If there is a storm, I think the best is in the mid Atlantic and we are fighting for shredded scraps here.

I think the desperation is getting to normally level headed people.

Do you mean experienced posters and meteorologists?  You sound like you think you’re superior to everyone….

[powderfreak]

15 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

If there is a storm, I think the best is in the mid Atlantic and we are fighting for shredded scraps here.

Surprised you don’t think your area can do as well as anyone, even the mid-Atlantic.

[40/70 Benchmark]

25 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yup, kind of sad. This has a lot working against it. Kicker lows, and more importantly, it kind of is an occluded mess one it gets here. If there is a storm, I think the best is in the mid Atlantic and we are fighting for shredded scraps here.

I think the desperation is getting to normally level headed people.

You're going to catch a lot of shit for that one  I'd just leave it and see how much everyone measures. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

11 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Do you mean experienced posters and meteorologists?  You sound like you think you’re superior to everyone….

Negative, just feels like a lot of people have been preaching patience, and it’s been stated why this is low probability, yet, we get a random big solution on the gfs and people go wild. I don’t get it

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You're going to catch a lot of shit for that one  I'd just leave it and see how much everyone measures. 

See my above post. Theres been great discussion over the last week about why this period is pretty low probability, but you see a big solution and people go wild. 
 

There are real issues with the setup, I don’t think that’s controversial 

[UnitedWx]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You're going to catch a lot of shit for that one  I'd just leave it and see how much everyone measures. 

Well, everyone SHOULD know that... it's just his damn delivery. Took lessons from Rorch or something 

[WxWatcher007]

9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Negative, just feels like a lot of people have been preaching patience, and it’s been stated why this is low probability, yet, we get a random big solution on the gfs and people go wild. I don’t get it

1) People love the dopamine 

2) Absolutely nothing comes easy around here. When low probability is the default, your hopes change. The 2010s are not walking through the door. 

[weathafella]

We should move to AK.  4-8 with lollies to 12 doesn’t warrant anything higher than advisory 

 

WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations 4 to 8 inches with localized amounts up to 12 inches possible.

* WHERE...Anchorage and Lower Matanuska Valley.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM AKST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of early this afternoon, a band of heavier snowfall is just west of Anchorage and is expected to drift eastward this afternoon across Anchorage and Eagle River. It will then spread northeast into the Matanuska Valley through this evening. The heaviest snow will likely be this evening through the overnight hours. Snow will then gradually end through Sunday morning.

[Diggiebot]

13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

1) People love the dopamine 

2) Absolutely nothing comes easy around here. When low probability is the default, your hopes change. The 2010s are not walking through the door. 

We are in a lull but snow will happen again. This is New England it snows here. And yes the 2010’s will eventually walk through the door. Larry bird might not walk through the door but Tatum might!! 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Bregman to Cubs

[WxWatcher007]

12 minutes ago, Diggiebot said:

We are in a lull but snow will happen again. This is New England it snows here. And yes the 2010’s will eventually walk through the door. Larry bird might not walk through the door but Tatum might!! 

Eventually things will turn around. Totally agree. Just don’t know when that’ll be so we should appreciate whatever opportunities we do get. 

[MJO812]

Gfs looking good

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Looking a little 12z-ish early on…

[MJO812]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looking a little 12z-ish early on…

Yep going negative 

[brooklynwx99]

it’s gonna do it again

[brooklynwx99]

PVA axis is more N-S 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

it’s gonna do it again

Well, hr 108..one camp will cave soon.

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, hr 108..one camp will cave soon.

What camp? They are all pretty similiar.