Brian5671 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 36 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said: We might get above freezing next week! Time to break out the shorts and tshirts! Streak could be ruined by 1 degree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Streak could be ruined by 1 degree We've gone this far to see one 33 or 34 degree day next week would actually suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Made it to 20 woohoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago If the wind dies down tonight could be some well below zero temperatures in the coldest locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 19.5 today...counts as a 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Currently 15 here in HPN, reached 18 earlier this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago High here today was 14. The cold spot in NJ today was High Point with a high temperature of 8. Lowest temp of the season here to date is 1. It is currently 11. Clear skies and light winds should get me to at least 1 and perhaps the first zero or a touch below by tomorrow morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago The January 24-30 period has had a mean temperature of 16.9°. That is the coldest one week period since January 1-7, 2018 when the one-week average temperature was 16.4°. In addition, New York City saw its second single digit low of this winter. That's the most such days since Winter 2022-2023 when there were three such days. Today's high temperature was 18°. That is the second high temperature below 20° this winter. The last time that happened was Winter 2018-2019. The temperature will again fall into the single digits tomorrow morning. The high temperature will rise into the upper teens or lower 20s. Temperatures should begin to moderate on Sunday into early next week and could briefly rise to or above freezing. Nevertheless, readings are likely to remain below normal into at least the start of next week. A passing flurry is possible on Sunday. Eastern Long Island into southeastern New England could see some light snow as parts of the region are brushed by a blizzard that will bring heavy snow and high winds to the Southeast. Overall, January 20th-February 3rd will likely be the coldest and perhaps snowiest two-week period this winter. The forecast WPO-/EPO-/AO-/PNA+ pattern is typically the coldest pattern in January and among the coldest during the first half of February. A persistently positive PNA will have above climatological risk of moderate or significant snowfalls. For perspective, the coldest two-week period this winter prior to January 20th was January 3-16, 2026 and January 4-17, 2026 with a mean temperature of 30.3°. The snowiest two-week period was December 14-27, 2025 when 7.2" of snow fell. Already, snowfall since January 20th has surpassed that figure. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around January 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.68°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +11.22 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.616 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 30.3° (3.4° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 7 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The January 24-30 period has had a mean temperature of 16.9°. That is the coldest one week period since January 1-7, 2018 when the one-week average temperature was 16.4°. In addition, New York City saw its second single digit low of this winter. That's the most such days since Winter 2022-2023 when there were three such days. Today's high temperature was 18°. That is the second high temperature below 20° this winter. The last time that happened was Winter 2018-2019. The temperature will again fall into the single digits tomorrow morning. The high temperature will rise into the upper teens or lower 20s. Temperatures should begin to moderate on Sunday into early next week and could briefly rise to or above freezing. Nevertheless, readings are likely to remain below normal into at least the start of next week. A passing flurry is possible on Sunday. Eastern Long Island into southeastern New England could see some light snow as parts of the region are brushed by a blizzard that will bring heavy snow and high winds to the Southeast. Overall, January 20th-February 3rd will likely be the coldest and perhaps snowiest two-week period this winter. The forecast WPO-/EPO-/AO-/PNA+ pattern is typically the coldest pattern in January and among the coldest during the first half of February. A persistently positive PNA will have above climatological risk of moderate or significant snowfalls. For perspective, the coldest two-week period this winter prior to January 20th was January 3-16, 2026 and January 4-17, 2026 with a mean temperature of 30.3°. The snowiest two-week period was December 14-27, 2025 when 7.2" of snow fell. Already, snowfall since January 20th has surpassed that figure. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around January 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.68°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +11.22 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.616 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 30.3° (3.4° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. How will the current, and predicted MJO phases factor in to short and medium term predictions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Just now, Wannabehippie said: How will the current, and predicted MJO phases factor in to short and medium term predictions? My guess is that it will increase the likelihood that the next 1-2 weeks see generally colder than normal temperatures. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 hour ago, psv88 said: 19.5 today...counts as a 20 Ditto. 19.6 here. 20 with an asterisk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Currently +7.3F with a gusty breeze. Clear sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Again wind has to calm down if we’re going to really bottom out. If so we’ll approach zero outside the city. If not we’ll end up in the high single digits like last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 6/-7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 40 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Again wind has to calm down if we’re going to really bottom out. If so we’ll approach zero outside the city. If not we’ll end up in the high single digits like last night. Agreed. It's not windy per se but it's too windy here for the temps to really drop, 8/-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 13 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago down to 11.3 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Yea this wind is too strong. I don’t think we go sub 5 tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 6/-6 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4.1* light breeze. sub zero is a lock, if we stay clear and get winds to zero and we go -10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12. Already colder than this time last night but wind will make it tough to go below 5-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Who's ready to go ice skating on the East River? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Yea this wind is too strong. I don’t think we go sub 5 tonight Down to 9-10 for most. If we can calm down for a few hours we’ll drop like a rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Currently 0 here in the Berkshires, it's 6 back in HPN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 8 here in Hillsborough. Forecast of -4 aint happening. It’s interesting because the coldest nights here last 2 seasons have included little to no snow on ground. -3 earlier this month and -4 last year on 1/22. Both those nights were predicted by NWS around 5-10 about IIRC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Down to 4… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Allegedly -4 in Tom's river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Wow. Down to 1.8 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: Wow. Down to 1.8 here Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Down to 3. Could make a run at 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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