OBS/Totals for 12/26-27 Storm

[TJW014]

CPK <4" streak is going to continue

[jm1220]

And that being said since the system is headed more SE now the sleet line should stop advancing-it’s already headed back west a little and snow should refire/linger through a good part of overnight. Still quite a bit of precip to go on the short range modeling especially from the city and east. 

[SnowGoose69]

Ratios are not as good either as I thought they'd be.  POU has had .38 liquid, friend lives about 2 mi from the airport he has had only 4.9 so far, similar readings on LI it seems where its about 10 or 11:1.  I felt maybe 15 was possible especially up in the LHV

[rickymortyx]

Overcast conditions now - WNJ. We'll see if this backfills in, but not worth staying up for. Active pattern as we head into next month!

Enjoy your night fellas.

 

[lee59]

Rhinebeck NY near Kingston in Mid Hudson Valley reporting 7 inches.

[Intensewind002]

Mostly sleet here in sw Suffolk now. Measured 1.3" of snow at 7:00 earlier not sure if higher or not

[dmillz25]

Best rates of the storm

[MJO812]

Just now, dmillz25 said:

Best rates of the storm

Yep. I think this is where we see a few inches. Temperature is down to 26.

[binbisso]

Heavy snow now heaviest so far. This is easily 2" per hour rates. I did mix with sleet for a bit but mostly snow in southern Westchester 

[ILoveWinter]

10 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

Best rates of the storm

Yea quite heavy in the UWS right now

[MJO812]

Just now, Rmine1 said:

Massive bust for LI. 

Busting high 

[BoulderWX]

Turned out my QPF concern was right all along. We’ll be luck to hit .20”

[TriPol]

More sleet than snow here in Bronx. Not as bad as March 2001, but still bad.

[psv88]

Just now, Rmine1 said:

Massive bust for LI. 

What? We have more than 3” here with another 3-4” to go 

[Rmine1]

Light rain

[Krs4Lfe]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Busting high 

Massive bust low for us. I doubt Central Park even makes it to 3” at this rate. It’s been a while since we’ve had a busy like this. We’re more overdue for bad busts than we are for a 4” snowfall. Pitiful 

[MJO812]

Just now, Krs4Lfe said:

Massive bust low for us. I doubt Central Park even makes it to 3” at this rate. It’s been a while since we’ve had a busy like this. We’re more overdue for bad busts than we are for a 4” snowfall. Pitiful 

Snowing good now

[NJwx85]

Massively underperforming here near the Palisades/87 interchange in Rockland.

[Krs4Lfe]

1 minute ago, TriPol said:

More sleet than snow here in Bronx. Not as bad as March 2001, but still bad.

Upton never should have upgraded to 6-9. A winter weather advisory for 2-5” would have been better. This thing is hauling, I thought I would stay up most of night for it but it’ll be done by midnight over here at this rate 

[SnowGoose69]

Just now, Krs4Lfe said:

Massive bust low for us. I doubt Central Park even makes it to 3” at this rate. It’s been a while since we’ve had a busy like this. We’re more overdue for bad busts than we are for a 4” snowfall. Pitiful 

They'd actually get over 4 easily probably if the back edge of this was not so quickly approaching.  Its mostly all snow there now once again

[psv88]

1 minute ago, Rmine1 said:

Light rain

You drunk? It’s 22 degrees out. No rain within 100 miles 

[North and West]

So I just saw this thread for the first time in 300 replies…


Regardless, been around long enough to know it doesn’t always go to forecast and neat to see a sleetstorm. Always the best sledding conditions: sleet packed snow.


.

[Prue11]

Western edge of precipitation in Jersey. Is that going to fill in?

[BxEngine]

If you declared winter over before christmas, expect your bust post to disappear…you cant claim bust if you already declared winter over 2 weeks ago. 

[weatherpruf]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Snowing good now

never snowed here; all sleet and didn't even cover the grass. there's a bit of a glaze but as far as sleet storms go, this doesn't even register much in that regard out this way. at this point, nothing is going to save the day here, so i'm good with a quick exit. snow blowers are ready for an actual snow storm should we get another one this winter. cheers.

[jm1220]

4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Ratios are not as good either as I thought they'd be.  POU has had .38 liquid, friend lives about 2 mi from the airport he has had only 4.9 so far, similar readings on LI it seems where its about 10 or 11:1.  I felt maybe 15 was possible especially up in the LHV

Probably just crappy snow growth caused by poor lift and the mid level warm layer. Another reason why those inflated Kuchera maps should be thrown in the trash. 

HRRR takes some of that precip in central PA and moves it east and refires it over the next few hours, snow lingers east of the city until 5-6am. Who knows how accurate it is but hope isn't over IMO for at least an advisory event in the city and parts of NJ. From West Milford to New Brunswick and east it has over 0.5" liquid still to fall after 0z and 0.7-0.8" for Suffolk. Someone out by Riverhead might see a foot. I doubt it will be here, some of these crap subsidence areas are surviving past the border. I'm hoping still to get the 7" I predicted last night. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

snowing moderately but man this thing is speeding

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

2 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

Western edge of precipitation in Jersey. Is that going to fill in?

If you believe the 0z hrrr,yes 

[sussexcountyobs]

9 minutes ago, wdrag said:

It reads the 9000 ft near 32F TT very well.... repeatedly. While NAM has lots of variability in its modeling of this storm... when you see it have ice, be cautious.  Those that get my FB messages knew of my concern in NJ/PA.

This is not a classic storm... no closed low at 850MB.  Banding into good snow growth in the cold air produced. se NYS/CT/parts of LI.  still a little hope for tail end southward rotate 1-2" down to I80 but the models overall were too snowy in ne PA/nw NJ including the SPC HREF big time.   Euro prob for 4"+ seems pretty good.  What I used this morning at 5s30A. 

 

Pattern still good for us into January. Good night. 

Great to hear from you Walt. We needed your input on this event for the last few days. Hope you had a great Christmas. And you and all your family is well.

[BoulderWX]

11 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

this thing will be over by midnight lol

Yup. Not just bad forecasting on amounts but timing. This has one - two hours left for Morris county