mitchnick Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said: FV3 shows that rates can overcome upper level warmth. You can see that possibility on the Nam 850's at 57hrs. Look at the colder line of temps thanks to uvv and precip intensity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago If there's anything I've learned from Baltimore specifically, it's that we rarely pull off the rate-driven p-type change. Maybe because of urban heat island or something, idk. But I can't remember a case of "rates will get us the snow we need" working out for us. If a last minute miracle was to appear for this, wouldn't feel comfortable here if it was solely depending on rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 13 minutes ago, baltosquid said: If there's anything I've learned from Baltimore specifically, it's that we rarely pull off the rate-driven p-type change. Maybe because of urban heat island or something, idk. But I can't remember a case of "rates will get us the snow we need" working out for us. If a last minute miracle was to appear for this, wouldn't feel comfortable here if it was solely depending on rates. This will be a non issue for baltimore proper. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, snowfan said: This will be a non issue for baltimore proper. Don’t forget NOVA no issue. We continue to fail at an excellent rate. Merry Christmas though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago RGEM with basically nothing south of the Mason Dixon line.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: RGEM with basically nothing south of the Mason Dixon line.... It's a beyond terrible model, I don't even bother looking at it. Not saying we're getting a crippling ice storm, but it'll be disruptive to a few areas here I think. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Oh well look at that... the GFS really dried up around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Oh well look at that... the GFS really dried up around here. It's a shame it can't be trusted AT ALL anymore. It used to have some coups, but now it just stinks. And shows that the Nam and even the Rgem are better once in their range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Hard to tell if I need to rush home Friday morning or not 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 52 minutes ago, mappy said: Hard to tell if I need to rush home Friday morning or not Don’t rush, Merry Christmas @mappy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago State College NWS has issued watches for all their counties along the M/D line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: State College NWS has issued watches for all their counties along the M/D line They been up since 2am lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, Solution Man said: Don’t rush, Merry Christmas @mappy Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: They been up since 2am lol I wasn’t awake then to post about it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago WB 12Z EURO. EURO is below freezing on Friday just North of DC all day. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO. EURO is below freezing on Friday just North of DC all day. According to @snowfanthis is nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, ravensrule said: According to @snowfanthis is nothing. It is not the torch that was advertised less than a week ago... baby steps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Weather Will said: It is not the torch that was advertised less than a week ago... baby steps. It’s going to be slippery and wet on Friday. Make sure to wear your rubbers. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 8 minutes ago, ravensrule said: According to @snowfanthis is nothing. Actually, if you would slow down and read you'll note that I wrote this would be a non issue for most on this board. I've seen nothing in any guidance to counter that given the geographic distribution of posters in this sub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 hours ago, snowfan said: This will be a non issue for baltimore proper. 10 minutes ago, snowfan said: Actually, if you would slow down and read you'll note that I wrote this would be a non issue for most on this board. I've seen nothing in any guidance to counter that given the geographic distribution of posters in this sub. This is what you wrote. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Another nothing burger out here. We are going to be in very dire straights out here this summer unless something drastically changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Another nothing burger out here. We are going to be in very dire straights out here this summer unless something drastically changes. You may need to import water from the Chesapeake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago WSW hoisted for up here in Bittinger. Up to 0.4" ice and 1" of sleet apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO. EURO is below freezing on Friday just North of DC all day. Yessssss 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago Nam said what storm 18z run lol. What a crap model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted 18 minutes ago Share Posted 18 minutes ago 10 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Nam said what storm 18z run lol. What a crap model. I'm sticking with the RRFSOPQXYZ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted 6 minutes ago Share Posted 6 minutes ago 10 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: I'm sticking with the RRFSOPQXYZ We really need to see the RRFSOPQXYZ ensembles. I hear there are 26 members!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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