Boxing Day Ice Ice Baby!

[mitchnick]

2 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said:

FV3 shows that rates can overcome upper level warmth. 

You can see that possibility on the Nam 850's at 57hrs. Look at the colder line of temps thanks to uvv and precip intensity.

[baltosquid]

If there's anything I've learned from Baltimore specifically, it's that we rarely pull off the rate-driven p-type change. Maybe because of urban heat island or something, idk. But I can't remember a case of "rates will get us the snow we need" working out for us. If a last minute miracle was to appear for this, wouldn't feel comfortable here if it was solely depending on rates.

[snowfan]

13 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

If there's anything I've learned from Baltimore specifically, it's that we rarely pull off the rate-driven p-type change. Maybe because of urban heat island or something, idk. But I can't remember a case of "rates will get us the snow we need" working out for us. If a last minute miracle was to appear for this, wouldn't feel comfortable here if it was solely depending on rates.

This will be a non issue for baltimore proper. 

[Solution Man]

2 minutes ago, snowfan said:

This will be a non issue for baltimore proper. 

Don’t forget NOVA no issue. We continue to fail at an excellent rate. Merry Christmas though

[clskinsfan]

RGEM with basically nothing south of the Mason Dixon line....

[nj2va]

2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

RGEM with basically nothing south of the Mason Dixon line....

It's a beyond terrible model, I don't even bother looking at it.  Not saying we're getting a crippling ice storm, but it'll be disruptive to a few areas here I think.

[Interstate]

Oh well look at that... the GFS really dried up around here.

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, Interstate said:

Oh well look at that... the GFS really dried up around here.

It's a shame it can't be trusted AT ALL anymore. It used to have some coups, but now it just stinks. And shows that the Nam and even the Rgem are better once in their range.

[mappy]

Hard to tell if I need to rush home Friday morning or not 

[Solution Man]

52 minutes ago, mappy said:

Hard to tell if I need to rush home Friday morning or not 

Don’t rush, Merry Christmas @mappy

[WxUSAF]

State College NWS has issued watches for all their counties along the M/D line 

[TSSN+]

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

State College NWS has issued watches for all their counties along the M/D line 

They been up since 2am lol

[mappy]

1 hour ago, Solution Man said:

Don’t rush, Merry Christmas @mappy

Merry Christmas!

[WxUSAF]

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

They been up since 2am lol

I wasn’t awake then to post about it