12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?

[JenkinsJinkies]

Just now, CAPE said:

Apple weather app lol. Holy Shit. And you are an actual weather hobbyist?

It’s gotten rain right more often than not in recent years at the local level.

[EB89]

Bee drizzling here in Frederick for the last 30ish minutes. 

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

It’s gotten rain right more often than not in recent years at the local level.

Lol rain. This is big boy shit. We aren't dealing with rain here lad.

[Maestrobjwa]

4 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

It’s gotten rain right more often than not in recent years at the local level.

But why use that when we have access to all the actual weather models themselves? I mean you know how to use TT (tropicaltidbits) and pivotal's sites, right?

[Bubbler86]

Steady Light snow and 35 in Pen-Mar, MD.  

[mitchnick]

17 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Just why man, lol

He's in Philly.

[mitchnick]

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Steady Light snow and 35 in Pen-Mar, MD.  

He was lost...but not forgotten.  Glad to see ya'!

[Terpeast]

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Steady Light snow and 35 in Pen-Mar, MD.  

35 here too. Dew at 29. Don’t think temps will be an issue

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, mitchnick said:

He's in Philly.

Yes I realized that a few mins ago, haha

[Maestrobjwa]

Maybe it will take a little more for the city...still at 38 here it seems.

[nj2va]

Nice big dendrites mixing in now with the smaller flakes.  This is fluffy AF so will pile up nicely.

[IronTy]

8 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

It’s gotten rain right more often than not in recent years at the local level.

My weatherbug app seems more accurate for the ten day than just looking at the GFS.  Don't know how they massage the data but you never see fantasy storms show up on the app vs. the actual model.   

[Jebman]

Congrats to all who are getting snow! Let's hope this goes BOOM!

[mitchnick]

20 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

looks better than 12z from this angle

Like I said, he lives in Philly. You know, the State of Pennsylvania!

[SnowenOutThere]

Dunno if anyone posted the RAP but it looks pretty good for all of us

[mitchnick]

A bit off topic, but Euro is bringing thru an area of lt snow Monday night with some small accumulations.

[IronTy]

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Dunno if anyone posted the RAP but it looks pretty good for all of us

Holy South RAP.  A couple more runs and there'll be snow in Charleston. 

[CAPE]

Liking the latest HRRR runs. Has 4" here with the heavy band still ongoing at the end of the run.

[aldie 22]

Just now, CAPE said:

Liking the latest HRRR runs. Has 4" here with the heavy band still ongoing at the end of the run.

Next Mt Holly update less than an inch lol

[mitchnick]

Just now, CAPE said:

Liking the latest HRRR runs. Has 4" here with the heavy band still ongoing at the end of the run.

Big haired 80's look too?

[mitchnick]

For posterior....18z Eps

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Liking the latest HRRR runs. Has 4" here with the heavy band still ongoing at the end of the run.

Actually moderate, but I will take 3-4. That seems to be the high end for here.

[Eskimo Joe]

Winter Weather Advisory extended to western Loudoun County

[WEATHER53]

Anybody else see that orange shaft of ligh from the sun at sunset ?

[yoda]

3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Winter Weather Advisory extended to western Loudoun County

O.EXA.KLWX.WW.Y.0028.251214T0500Z-251214T1500Z/
Western Loudoun-
701 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM
EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3
  inches.

* WHERE...Western Loudoun County.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may briefly start as rain in
  some locations this evening but quickly turn to snow. A narrow
  band of heavier snow may develop during the late evening and
  overnight which could produce more rapid accumulations and
  visibility less than one half mile.

[yoda]

MDZ004>006-507-140815-
/O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0028.251214T0100Z-251214T1200Z/
Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford-
701 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3
  inches. Localized totals of 4 to 5 inches are possible, especially
  across northern Frederick, Carroll, Baltimore, Harford, and
  Carroll counties.

* WHERE...Carroll, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, and Northwest
  Harford Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may briefly start as rain in
  some locations this evening but quickly turn to snow. A narrow
  band of heavier snow may develop during the late evening and
  overnight which could produce more rapid accumulations and
  visibility less than one half mile. Highest totals look to be just
  north of I-695 and I-70. Other roadways likely to see impacts
  include MD-136, MD-145, MD-24, and I-83 points north toward the
  PA/ MD line.

[Paleocene]

2 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Anybody else see that orange shaft of ligh from the sun at sunset ?

It lit up some clouds over downtown silver spring at sunset

[yoda]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
701 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016-018-503>506-508-VAZ053-054-506-140815-
/O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0028.251214T0500Z-251214T1500Z/
District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne
Arundel-Charles-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and
Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast
Howard-Southeast Harford-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls
Church/Alexandria-Eastern Loudoun-
701 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of DC, central, northeast, northern, and southern
  Maryland, and northern Virginia.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may briefly start as rain in
  some locations this evening but quickly turn to snow. A narrow
  band of heavier snow may develop during the late evening and
  overnight which could produce more rapid accumulations and
  visibility less than one half mile.

[dailylurker]

14 minutes ago, Jebman said:

Congrats to all who are getting snow! Let's hope this goes BOOM!

I just ate a 150 milligrams of thc that I grew in my garden. I'm hoping for a spiritual, magical, Christmas Jebwalk around midnight. If i see any rouge snow piles I'll definitely give them a wack with my shovel for ya.

[Roger Smith]

Temps in mid 20s by morning, could be very icy on untreated roads. Could fall as low as 0-5 F in rural areas by midnight Sunday, temp now in parts of lower MI despite daytime heating and lakes being 45 F. I see 498 dm thickness indicated at present there, modifies only slightly heading to coast.