12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?

[TSSN+]

4 minutes ago, Scraff said:

I was too lazy to zoom in. Looks like you are too. 

Here you guys go. 

[mitchnick]

26 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I have a feeling they will upgrade to warnings for the upper MD eastern shore, N DE, and a chunk of NJ with the afternoon package.

Nws forecast for Elkton is 4-7"!

[Terpeast]

Nws reduced expected amt to less than 1” for mby and no WWA (eastern loudoun) but increased high-end potential to 4-5”. Low expectations but high upside. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Here you guys go. 

It’s actually pretty cool to look at snowfall maps on this scale now that you’ve posted, it gives you a sense of how narrow these systems are on a global scale and therefore how hard it is for models to pin down small bands of heavy snow. 

[snowfan]

Hoping this one holds or improves slightly. Has the feeling of a close call for many w guidance shifting ever so slightly ENE as we close. 2” IMBY would be nice. I don’t think that’s being too greedy

 

[TSSN+]

12z hrrr is just crushing northern crew thru hour 18. Already 3-4” in me, psu and Mitch area and band is going off. 

[MillvilleWx]

17 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Uh:

 

 

He ain’t wrong. I think 5-9” is in the cards for some from South Jersey back to NE MD. I’ll be at the shore for this one. I want to be able to drive around in it with my Dad and enjoy it, so I’m hoping for 1-2” that falls a light to moderate clip. Time to enjoy what falls! 
 

Good luck to all, and remember, all December snow is good snow  

[Stormchaserchuck1]

12z Hrr cutting back totals a little bit south of PA

[MillvilleWx]

15 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Where is Burg?

North-central NJ

[MN Transplant]

1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

12z Hrr cutting back totals a little bit south of PA

Ends up about identical to 6z around DC.  2"

[BlizzardNole]

32 minutes ago, Mrs.J said:

I am seeing conflicting start times. It is the oldest Ms J’s birthday today and we are headed into DC this evening for dinner. Guess we will have to watch driving home. 

With afternoon temps well into the 40s you're probably looking at just wet roads on the drive home.  Roads might be dicey after midnight though!

[TSSN+]

Just now, MN Transplant said:

Ends up about identical to 6z around DC.  2"

Way more up here. Almost 6” lol

[snowfan]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Way more up here. Almost 6” lol

But he was referring to DC not S PA. 

[TSSN+]

I literally didn’t think when I said if I get 5” of snow last night I’d go streaking cause I thought there was no chance but… 

 

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z HRRR....if I get 1-2 inches will be satisfied until my one foot Christmas Eve storm!

[Mrs.J]

9 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said:

With afternoon temps well into the 40s you're probably looking at just wet roads on the drive home.  Roads might be dicey after midnight though!

Thanks! We have reservations at 6:30. Should be home well before midnight. 

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z HRRR....if I get 1-2 inches will be satisfied until my one foot Christmas Eve storm!

Over 1/2” qpf here… gimme 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

29 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Here you guys go. 

Can you zoom that out to the global scale, please?? 

[MN Transplant]

5pm Sunday wind chills of -5 to +5.  Get your stuff done today.

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Can you zoom that out to the global scale, please?? 

Think might have the view from Planet X somewhere 

[dailylurker]

8 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Over 1/2” qpf here… gimme 

This is why us lowland fokes don't have a lot of symphony for you northern fokes snow drought lol. 

Hrrr sucked for DC and east.

[TSSN+]

4 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Can you zoom that out to the global scale, please?? 

Here ya go 

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

This is why us lowland fokes don't have a lot of symphony for you northern fokes snow drought lol. 

Hrrr sucked for DC and east.

Shows 2-3” there. I wouldn’t say that sucks. And seeing how you guys already scored snow us catching up is fair lol. 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

1 minute ago, dailylurker said:

This is why us lowland fokes don't have a lot of symphony for you northern fokes

Paging Beethoven (and @stormtracker, @Maestrobjwa...fellow classical music afficionados!)...

[Eskimo Joe]

24 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Way more up here. Almost 6” lol

This is a great write up by Tomer Burg on what the HRRR may be sniffing out

 

 

[NorthArlington101]

3 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

This is why us lowland fokes don't have a lot of symphony for you northern fokes snow drought lol. 

Hrrr sucked for DC and east.

It’s an IMBY sport, but do think people should always try and caveat their statements about who it’s a best run for, lol. 

Really like the LWX map. Probably wouldn’t change a thing. It’s about time NE MD got pummeled. Feeling like 1.5” or so is the bar for DC. Wouldn’t want to be any more west or south of that. 

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Paging Beethoven (and @stormtracker, @Maestrobjwa...fellow classical music afficionados!)...

Hahaha

First of all...LOVE this poster--hadn't seen this one before (only thing I'd fo is make it a little brighter)

Second of all: YES...we have PLENTY of symphony for you all 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

It's the trend. It's a little warmer at the start, then it only snows for a few hours, albeit heavy. My guess would be 1-2" DC to Baltimore

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It’s an IMBY sport, but do think people should always try and caveat their statements about who it’s a best run for, lol. 

Really like the LWX map. Probably wouldn’t change a thing. It’s about time NE MD got pummeled. Feeling like 1.5” or so is the bar for DC. Wouldn’t want to be any more west or south of that. 

Agree with LWX and wouldn’t make any big changes based on HRRR, it is very jumpy outside of 12-15 hours.  I think Baltimore to NE Maryland to S Jersey for this one to jackpot is more likely than northern tier. 

[nj2va]

Morning fellow weenies! 24/23 with flurries. Had a fresh coating overnight. Heading to the tire shop to get my snow tires put on for the season.