canderson Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago That N trend still has a hundred or so miles to go imo. I wonder if sleet makes it into the DC metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago CMC Monster Hit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Monster GFS run! Long duration nearly 24 hour event that starts Sunday am & ends Monday am. Height of the storm looks to be Sunday late afternoon & evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Long duration nearly 24 hour event that starts Sunday am & ends Monday am. Height of the storm looks to be Sunday late afternoon & evening. 0z GFS snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Long duration nearly 24 hour event that starts Sunday am & ends Monday am. Height of the storm looks to be Sunday late afternoon & evening. the time frame for this storm keeps bouncing around first sat to early mon then sun to tuesday morning now sunday to early am mon? not only the storm changing time frame the long duration went form almost 2 days to 1? are models having a hard to with how fast or slow? the precip shield still looks just as big thats why im confused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, paweather said: CMC Monster Hit! It gets sleet really close to the PA border. I have read here in those huge 90s storms it sleeted here during them too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, canderson said: It gets sleet really close to the PA border. I have read here in those huge 90s storms it sleeted here during them too. Yep maybe some sleet for a period of time but it should be minimal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, paweather said: CMC Monster Hit! Indeed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Man, it could be a beautiful sight around here if the CMC/UKMet come to fruition. I am actually on vacation and willing to travel if need be to get into the jackpot. Anyone care to host a meteorologist? I can cook really well, clean up after myself, and I’m a big fan of geeking out over snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago Hey Guys... Take a look at this. These are the forecast temperatures at 7AM Tuesday morning. Some of these temps have to be historical. Atlanta is -18 F degrees. Nearly all of Kentucky and Tennessee is between -10 and -20 degrees. Places like Atlanta are likely going to experience a crippling ice storm, along with a ton of locations in the deep south. What if these people lose power during the ice storm and then have temperatures near 20 below zero before power is restored? I'm not trying to throw cold water (sorry for the poor pun) on this upcoming event. Up here regardless of the final snow totals, we will likely not lose power because of how light weight the powder is when the entire storm snows with temps in the low teens start to finish. Say some prayers for all of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Man, it could be a beautiful sight around here if the CMC/UKMet come to fruition. I am actually on vacation and willing to travel if need be to get into the jackpot. Anyone care to host a meteorologist? I can cook really well, clean up after myself, and I’m a big fan of geeking out over snowstorms Talk to Horst. At this point you can give him some advice. Always appreciate you coming into our thread to share. There aren't many on the entire board that I listen to and respect more than you. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago 1 minute ago, CarlislePaWx said: Hey Guys... Take a look at this. These are the forecast temperatures at 7AM Tuesday morning. Some of these temps have to be historical. Atlanta is -18 F degrees. Nearly all of Kentucky is between -10 and -20 degrees. Places like Atlanta are likely going to experience a crippling ice storm, along with a ton of locations in the deep south. What if these people lose power during the ice storm and then have temperatures near 20 below zero before power is restored? I'm not trying to throw cold water on this upcoming event. Up here regardless of the final snow totals, we will likely not lose power because of how light weight the powder is when the entire storm snows with temps in the low teens start to finish. Say some prayers for all of them. That's a sobering reminder of what this setup could create. It's a scary thought for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago Here in Carlisle (at 12:25am) my projected low temp of zero degrees upcoming around dawn is getting really close. I'm now down to +4.3 degrees F. I've been as low as +3.9 F. Temps with radiation nearly always fluctuate up and down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 27 minutes ago Share Posted 27 minutes ago Latest NBM is now bringing nearly 1 foot to the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 18 minutes ago Share Posted 18 minutes ago 0z Euro is amped with a ton of precip for southern PA. Waiting for snow maps… Where do I sign for over 1 inch of precip! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted 16 minutes ago Share Posted 16 minutes ago Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: 0z Euro is amped with a ton of precip for southern PA. Waiting for snow maps… Where do I sign for over 1 inch of precip! Haha I was wondering who would be up checking out the Euro. Ukie Dropped 20 inches again for central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted 15 minutes ago Author Share Posted 15 minutes ago 1 hour ago, canderson said: That N trend still has a hundred or so miles to go imo. I wonder if sleet makes it into the DC metro area. Possibly, I certainly think further down in VA may mix with this. I’ve not really sweated us missing out if the phasing scenario came to fruition, because of the pattern setup as I alluded to yesterday. 500mb ridge axis is west along the Pac Coast (classic for C-PA is Boise, ID ridge axis), height’s build in the SE US ahead of this system. Still relatively progressive though even with the phase, so I think that and the very anomalous cold air mass in place are what make this potential event go. A more typical cold airmass in place probably would have us under the gun for yet another messy winter storm that we’ve had too many of the last several years. Models have been more consistently showing some surface low reflection west of the Apps as well, which given the depth of the cold air mass and strong high pressure in place should be a good thing for us in terms of enhancing the snowfall across all of PA. Most of our classic big ones (96, 03, etc) have that signature. Comparison wise it’s tough, no storm is ever the same. Some shades of 2003, but that one didn’t have the prolific ice/snow zone the whole way back to Texas that this one’s forecast to have. The Baja low component of this reminds me of 2010, but this is a way colder setup and probably a weaker low that will keep moving. Antecedent cold air mass comparable to 1996 or even colder, but that was a much more amplified 500mb setup in the classic positioning. I personally don’t think the top end accum potential is going to get near any of those 3 in the Mid-Atlantic/PA but we’re not in NAM range yet haha. The overall impact and the sheer area of the US that is going to get significant snow/ice out of this though, is going to be biggest story with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted 5 minutes ago Share Posted 5 minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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