Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion

[roardog]

1 hour ago, frostfern said:

What happened to lake effect?  Warm lake temps going to waste.  Bunch of weak garbage clippers.

I don’t think the lake temps are even above normal anymore. 

[mimillman]

Trend this evening has been to narrow the band of heavier precip but maintain it for longer through northern Illinois / southern WI. GFS is now showing the same 

[cyclone77]

Wagons north on the 00z guidance.  Also seem to be much drier than previous model cycles for the northwestern half of Iowa.  The Des Moines office are probably pulling their hair out this evening.

I'd probably favor a 1-3" call for the QC.  2-4" up along the 20 corridor in Iowa.  

[frostfern]

6 hours ago, ChiTownSnow said:

Different definitions of garbage I guess  2-3 isnt bad in my backyard. Especially snow on top of snow

Mainly just not getting any lake enhancement + sloppy drizzly sub 1-inch WAA sludge.

It’s early, but below normal temp days with sunshine and not a flurry to be found is not normal climo for here.  If it’s in the 20s there should be some fluff in the air at times.

I was just hopeful this was going to be a year where the snowpack can build.  

[A-L-E-K]

23 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Going with a bullish 2.5 on the duster. 

$$$

[Brian D]

Thinking 8-12" potential along the shore with these 2 classic Alberta clippers. Lake enhancement will really help here, especially for the higher terrain with the 2nd one, which is pretty strong. Track could change some, tho, making a big difference. The boundary between the 2 may allow for some LES banding to develop Tues between systems. Something to watch.